Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction
Ecuador · Relegation Group - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Deportivo Cuenca Rest
7 days
Mushuc Runa SC Rest
7 days
Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC: the result in context
Deportivo Cuenca and Mushuc Runa SC drew 1-1 in the Liga Pro on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%2.31
X31%3.00
230%2.94
Double Chance
1X71%1.33
X261%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.95
No52%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1 = 2.33
Over 1.565%1.41
Over 2.540%2.40
Over 3.521%4.40
Under 1.535%2.59
Under 2.560%1.53
Under 3.579%1.16
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
24'J. Cusme INF. Carabali out
27'E. DavilaFoul
46'D. Gonzalez INM. Diaz out
46'M. Klimowicz INR. Ibarra out
55'A. ZambranoFoul
61'E. GuevaraAssist: G. Rivero
64'A. Zambrano INL. Lemos out
64'F. Mina INB. Corozo out
69'E. Davila INR. Tufino out
69'E. Caicedo INK. Peralta out
73'G. Rivero INC. Benalcazar out
76'C. BenalcazarFoul
81'J. Ordonez INA. Lopez out
86'R. TufinoAssist: M. Perea
88'J. Chacon IND. Noboa out
90+5'F. CarabaliFoul
Lineups
Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC
4-4-2Coach: Paul Velez Ordonez AngelAvg ratingAvg rating
1F. Ferrero
23E. Guevara
28P. Boolsen
6S. Postel
37C. Arboleda
14J. Chacon
C8E. Vega
43J. Ordóñez
29M. Klimowicz
49D. González
11G. Rivero
C25R. Formento
99C. Angulo
4R. Biojo
50J. Cusme
33J. Hernández
7T. Minda
8A. Zambrano
5N. Dávila
28M. Perea
10F. Mina
14E. CaicedoDeportivo Cuenca Substitutes
19Melvin Diaz46'for D. Gonzalez
10Romario Ibarra46'for M. Klimowicz
12Ethan Minda
53Yeltzin Erique
2Ignacio Mosquera
3Gian Nardelli
18Mateo Piedra
25Marcos Andrés López81'for J. Ordonez
20Bryan García
5David Noboa88'for J. Chacon
88Cristhian Benalcazar73'for G. Rivero76'
Mushuc Runa SC Substitutes
12Franklin Carabali24'for J. Cusme90+5'
42Adonnis Pabón
37José Luis Quiñones
26Kevin Peralta69'for E. Caicedo
2José Flor
56Gisson Tenorio
9Renso Tufino69'for E. Davila86'
52Derlys Gómez
18Jackson González
19Bryan Corozo64'for F. Mina
23Lucas Lemos64'for A. Zambrano
61Jefferson Caicedo
Match Stats
Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC 62%Ball Possession38%
2Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots5
1Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box4
2Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots2
2Fouls7
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves1
240Total Passes146
201Passes Accurate107
84%Pass Accuracy73%
Team Comparison
Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC1488Elo Rating 1486
1.30Attack 1.23
2.46Defense 1.21
50%Hit Rate 0%
10.7Shots per Game 11.2
4.1Shots on Target 3.3
5.8Corners per Game 5.3
1.3Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Deportivo Cuenca- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Mushuc Runa SC- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Deportivo Cuenca4Wins · 40%Draws330%
Mushuc Runa SC3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
22/08/2026Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC00
25/04/2026Mushuc Runa SCDeportivo Cuenca41
28/06/2025Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC10
01/03/2025Mushuc Runa SCDeportivo Cuenca31
19/10/2024Mushuc Runa SCDeportivo Cuenca11
27/04/2024Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC50
21/10/2023Mushuc Runa SCDeportivo Cuenca11
13/05/2023Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC30
22/10/2022Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC31
28/05/2022Mushuc Runa SCDeportivo Cuenca10
Recent Form
Deportivo Cuenca2W2D6L
13/09/2026
LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca
Tecnico UniversitarioDeportivo Cuenca
Independiente del ValleDeportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
Emelec
MacaraDeportivo Cuenca
LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca11
D07/09/2026Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Deportivo CuencaLibertad01
L02/09/2026Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
29/08/2026Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FC10
WTecnico UniversitarioDeportivo Cuenca31
L22/08/2026Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC
Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC00
D16/08/2026
Orense SCDeportivo Cuenca
Orense SCDeportivo Cuenca20
L11/08/2026Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
02/08/2026Deportivo CuencaManta FC12
LIndependiente del ValleDeportivo Cuenca10
L28/07/2026Deportivo CuencaEmelec21
W22/07/2026MacaraDeportivo Cuenca30
LMushuc Runa SC3W5D2L
12/09/2026Guayaquil City FCMushuc Runa SCLDU de QuitoMushuc Runa SCTecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SCManta FCMushuc Runa SCEmelecMushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FCMushuc Runa SC31
L08/09/2026Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
02/09/2026Mushuc Runa SCLeones del Norte11
DLDU de QuitoMushuc Runa SC00
D28/08/2026Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC10
W22/08/2026Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC
Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC00
D16/08/2026Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
10/08/2026Mushuc Runa SCBarcelona SC00
DTecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SC03
W01/08/2026Manta FCMushuc Runa SC12
W27/07/2026Mushuc Runa SCLibertad
24/07/2026Mushuc Runa SCLibertad02
LEmelecMushuc Runa SC11
DReferee Profile
4.73Cards per match
4.27Yellow cards per match
0.45Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.73 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.79).
Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | DLWWW |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LDLLD |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WWDDD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | WLLDW |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWWDD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Relegation Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 44 | WWDDD |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 40 | LDLDL |
| 13 | Orense SC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:50 | -8 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 34 | 11 | 3 | 20 | 33:46 | -13 | 36 | WLLDW |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 27:40 | -13 | 35 | LWWDD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 22:49 | -27 | 27 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 30:39 | 44 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 39:46 | 40 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 34 | 42:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 34 | 33:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 34 | 27:40 | 35 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 34 | 22:49 | 27 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- Barcelona SC vs Delfin SC 14/09/26
- Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte 19/09/26
- Emelec vs Libertad 20/09/26
- Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC 20/09/26
- LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica 21/09/26
- Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle 22/09/26
- Libertad vs Leones del Norte 09/10/26
- Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC 09/10/26
About the Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Deportivo Cuenca and Mushuc Runa SC in the Liga Pro table
Mushuc Runa SC and Deportivo Cuenca are close in the Liga Pro table, 11th and 12th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Deportivo Cuenca 25-37, Mushuc Runa SC 35-38. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.