LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction
Ecuador · Regular Season - 30
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.59
SignalNEUTRALModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.59
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+3.9%
LDU de Quito Rest
3 days
Deportivo Cuenca Rest
6 days
LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca: the result in context
LDU de Quito and Deportivo Cuenca drew 1-1 in the Liga Pro on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
161%1.59
X22%3.79
217%4.94
Double Chance
1X83%1.12
X239%2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.82
No52%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.06 + 0.74 = 2.80
Over 1.574%1.25
Over 2.553%1.85
Over 3.531%3.16
Under 1.526%3.46
Under 2.547%1.88
Under 3.569%1.30
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
44'Patricio BoolsenFoul
52'Deyverson(Penalty)
56'Matías Klimowicz INCristhian Benalcazar out
57'Elvis Kevin Velasco Chere INRuddy Mina out
70'Ruddy MinaFoul
70'Sebastián González INLucas Rodriguez out
70'Alexander Alvarado INFernando Cornejo out
70'Richard Mina INJesús Pretell out
72'Melvin Diaz INRomario Ibarra out
73'Eddie GuevaraAssist: Carlos Arboleda
84'Carlos Arboleda INJeremy Mejía out
85'Juan rodriguez INMichael Estrada out
Lineups
LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca
4-1-4-1Coach: Daniel NéculmanAvg ratingAvg rating
22A. Domínguez Carabalí
26I. Zambrano
3R. Alexander Mina Caicedo
30G. Allala
33L. Enrique Quiñónez Padilla
31J. RodrÃguez
5S. González Baquero
10A. Antonio Alvarado Carriel
67J. Carabalí
77K. Velasco
16Deyverson
1F. Ferrero
23E. Guevara
28P. Boolsen
6S. Postel
53Y. Hernán Erique Villigua
8É. Vega
19M. Fabricio Díaz Canencia
14J. Chacón
49D. González
37C. Arboleda
29M. KlimowiczLDU de Quito Substitutes
20F. Cornejo70'for Alexander Alvarado
13J. Corozo
28J. Cuero
11M. Estrada85'for Juan rodriguez
27Ruddy Mina57'for Elvis Kevin Velasco Chere70'
8J. Pretell70'for Richard Mina
23Yerlin Quinonez
7L. Rodríguez70'for Sebastián González
44L. Segovia
1G. Valle
57M. Weigandt
4Ricardo Ade
Deportivo Cuenca Substitutes
18I. Piedra
5David Alejandro Noboa Tello
3G. Nardelli
2Ignacio Ariel Mosquera Arroyo
12Ethan Gabriel Minda Humanante
16J. Mejia84'for Carlos Arboleda
10R. Ibarra72'for Melvin Diaz
20B. García
88C. Benalcazar56'for Matías Klimowicz
Match Stats
LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca 68%Ball Possession32%
3Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal7
11Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots0
18Fouls6
2Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves3
571Total Passes264
508Passes Accurate209
89%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca1677Elo Rating 1488
1.76Attack 1.30
1.83Defense 2.46
59%Hit Rate 50%
16.8Shots per Game 10.7
5.0Shots on Target 4.1
7.5Corners per Game 5.8
1.4Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+189 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
LDU de Quito- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Deportivo Cuenca- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
LDU de Quito5Wins · 50%Draws440%
Deportivo Cuenca1Wins · 10%
1Wins · 10%2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
24/05/2026Deportivo CuencaLDU de Quito11
13/11/2025LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca20
21/07/2025LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca22
29/03/2025Deportivo CuencaLDU de Quito12
01/12/2024LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca50
29/08/2024LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca30
03/06/2024Deportivo CuencaLDU de Quito22
08/08/2023LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca20
25/02/2023Deportivo CuencaLDU de Quito20
17/07/2022LDU de QuitoDeportivo Cuenca11
Recent Form
LDU de Quito5W2D3L
10/09/2026
PalmeirasLDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SCLDU de Quito
MirassolMirassolLDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
PalmeirasLDU de Quito10
L05/09/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioLDU de Quito
02/09/2026Tecnico UniversitarioLDU de Quito13
WLDU de QuitoMushuc Runa SC00
D29/08/2026
Guayaquil City FCLDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FCLDU de Quito21
L27/08/2026LDU de Quito
Aucas
LDU de QuitoAucas10
W24/08/2026LDU de Quito
Emelec
21/08/2026LDU de QuitoEmelec20
WLDU de QuitoMirassol5040
W17/08/2026AucasLDU de Quito
14/08/2026AucasLDU de Quito01
WMirassolLDU de Quito11
D08/08/2026LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle02
LDeportivo Cuenca2W1D7L
07/09/2026Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Deportivo CuencaLibertad01
L02/09/2026Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FC
29/08/2026Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FC10
WTecnico UniversitarioDeportivo Cuenca31
L22/08/2026Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC
Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC00
D16/08/2026
Orense SCDeportivo Cuenca
Orense SCDeportivo Cuenca20
L11/08/2026Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
02/08/2026Deportivo CuencaManta FC12
LIndependiente del ValleDeportivo Cuenca10
L28/07/2026Deportivo CuencaEmelec21
W22/07/2026
MacaraDeportivo Cuenca30
L18/07/2026Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica02
LLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LDLLD |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LWWWL |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WWDDD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | WLLDW |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWWDD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Championship Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 75:35 | +40 | 78 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 47:35 | +12 | 63 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 53:31 | +22 | 53 | DWLLW |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 37:29 | +8 | 53 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 51 | LDLLD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 38:28 | +10 | 48 | WLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 75:35 | 78 |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 47:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 53:31 | 53 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 37:29 | 53 |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 36:37 | 51 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 38:28 | 48 |
Liga Pro: Relegation Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 44 | WWDDD |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 40 | LDLDL |
| 13 | Orense SC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:50 | -8 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 34 | 11 | 3 | 20 | 33:46 | -13 | 36 | WLLDW |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 27:40 | -13 | 35 | LWWDD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 22:49 | -27 | 27 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 30:39 | 44 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 39:46 | 40 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 34 | 42:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 34 | 33:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 34 | 27:40 | 35 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 34 | 22:49 | 27 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- Leones del Norte vs Orense SC 03/09/26
- Libertad vs Emelec 04/09/26
- Independiente del Valle vs Macara 06/09/26
- Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC 12/09/26
- Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario 13/09/26
- Macara vs Emelec 13/09/26
- Barcelona SC vs Delfin SC 14/09/26
- Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte 19/09/26
About the LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
LDU de Quito and Deportivo Cuenca in the Liga Pro table
In the Liga Pro table, LDU de Quito are 5th and Deportivo Cuenca 12th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: LDU de Quito 31-24, Deportivo Cuenca 25-37. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.