LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito·B. L. Salazar 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalHIGHModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+8.0%
LDU de Quito Rest
4 days
Independiente del Valle Rest
5 days

LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle: result, form and history

Independiente del Valle beat LDU de Quito 2-0 in the Liga Pro on 8 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Independiente del Valle had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for LDU de Quito.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%2.86
X
28%3.14
2
47%2.35
Double Chance
1X
53%1.51
X2
76%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.73
No
44%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.38 = 2.53
Over 1.5
70%1.30
Over 2.5
47%1.98
Over 3.5
27%3.30
Under 1.5
30%3.20
Under 2.5
53%1.76
Under 3.5
73%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'J. Angulo
37'M. Estrada
42'Goal Disallowed - video reviewM. Estrada
46'R. Redes INJ. Rodriguez out
46'J. Corozo INDeyverson out
46'J. Angulo INA. Rodriguez out
46'R. Schunke INM. Carabajal out
61'C. Gonzalez IND. Reasco out
71'M. Perello INA. Velasco out
71'D. Guagua INJ. Alcivar out
74'F. Cornejo INR. Mina out
90'R. Briones

Lineups

LDU de Quito
3-5-2Coach: Gustavo Alvarez
Independiente del Valle
4-1-4-1Coach: Joaquin Papa
G. Valle1G. Valle
L. Segovia44L. Segovia
R. AdeC4R. Ade
J. Carabali67J. Carabali
R. Redes7R. Redes
F. Cornejo20F. Cornejo
J. Pretell8J. Pretell
S. Gonzalez Baquero5S. Gonzalez Baquero
Y. Quinonez23Y. Quinonez
J. Corozo13J. Corozo
M. Estrada11M. Estrada
A. Quintana1A. Quintana
J. Espinoza4J. Espinoza
R. SchunkeC5R. Schunke
J. Viacava23J. Viacava
G. Cortez15G. Cortez
J. Mendez32J. Mendez
M. Perello11M. Perello
D. Guagua55D. Guagua
R. Briones16R. Briones
C. Gonzalez9C. Gonzalez
J. Angulo50J. Angulo

LDU de Quito Substitutes

22A. Dominguez
30G. F. Allala Menendez
26I. Zambrano
28J. W. Cuero Mercado
31J. Rodriguez46'for R. Redes
21E. Castillo
27R. Mina74'for F. Cornejo
16Deyverson46'for J. Corozo
99C. Luna Tobar
3R. Mina74'for F. Cornejo
25P. Ortiz
32A. Gomez

Independiente del Valle Substitutes

70M. Peralta
99D. Reasco61'for C. Gonzalez
17A. Rodriguez46'for J. Angulo
33A. Velasco71'for M. Perello
13D. A. Romero Padilla
8Y. Ochoa
28H. Quintana
14M. Carabajal46'for R. Schunke
6J. Alcivar71'for D. Guagua
31E. Pata
52Y. Vasquez
56E. Quintero

Match Stats

LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
0Total Shots1
0Shots on Goal1
0Shots off Goal0
0Shots Inside Box1
0Shots Outside Box0
0Blocked Shots0
0Fouls0

Team Comparison

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
1664Elo Rating 1800
1.58Attack 1.42
1.50Defense 2.64
31%Hit Rate 58%
16.0Shots per Game 11.9
5.6Shots on Target 4.3
6.8Corners per Game 6.5
0.8Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle1Wins · 10%
2.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro19/04/2026
Independiente del ValleLDU de Quito
02
Liga Pro10/12/2025
Independiente del ValleLDU de Quito
00
Liga Pro29/11/2025
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
21
Liga Pro22/06/2025
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
11
Liga Pro23/02/2025
Independiente del ValleLDU de Quito
11
Liga Pro14/12/2024
Independiente del ValleLDU de Quito
10
Liga Pro07/12/2024
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
30
Liga Pro09/11/2024
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
21
Liga Pro19/05/2024
Independiente del ValleLDU de Quito
11
Liga Pro17/12/2023
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
3101

Recent Form

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
5W2D3L
04/08/2026
LDU de QuitoDelfin SC
21
W
30/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
60
W
27/07/2026
Barcelona SCLDU de Quito
01
W
23/07/2026
Manta FCLDU de Quito
11
D
18/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
01
L
16/07/2026
Universidad CatolicaLDU de Quito
10
L
12/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLibertad
00
D
09/07/2026
Ind. JuniorsLDU de Quito
3141
W
05/07/2026
MacaraLDU de Quito
10
L
02/07/2026
LDU de QuitoOrense SC
30
W
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
10W0D0L

Referee Profile

B. L. Salazar4 matches analysed

4.55Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 60% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074DLWWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451LDWLL
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550WLDLL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LLDWW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744LWLLD
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWWWL
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WWLLD
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLWDW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LLWLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236LWWDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLDW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228WLWWD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle33253575:35+4078DLWWW
2MacaraMacara35206950:35+1566WWWWW
3AucasAucas351591138:38054WLDLL
4Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3514111054:33+2153LDWLL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito341581137:29+853LLDWW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3412121038:31+748LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3375:3578
2MacaraMacara3550:3566
3AucasAucas3538:3854
4Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3554:3353
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3437:2953
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3438:3148
PromotionRelegation

About the LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

LDU de Quito and Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Independiente del Valle are 1st and LDU de Quito 5th, 28 points apart. League goal record so far: LDU de Quito 31-24, Independiente del Valle 73-33. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.