Delfin SC vs Orense SC Prediction

Delfin SC
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Orense SC
Estadio Jocay, Manta·Anthony Diaz, Ecuador 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalHIGHModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Delfin SC Rest
5 days
Orense SC Rest
8 days

Delfin SC vs Orense SC: the result in context

Delfin SC and Orense SC drew 1-1 in the Liga Pro on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.52
X
28%2.92
2
27%2.85
Double Chance
1X
73%1.36
X2
55%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.00
No
50%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 0.99 = 2.47
Over 1.5
69%1.47
Over 2.5
46%2.44
Over 3.5
26%4.60
Under 1.5
31%2.55
Under 2.5
54%1.50
Under 3.5
74%1.16
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'A. BedoyaAssist: K. Ushina
28'E. S. Zambrano Pesantez INV. Burgoa out
40'A. BedoyaFoul
62'G. Heredia INA. Alvarez out
64'A. AlvarezUnsportsmanlike conduct
65'A. Mena INR. Jaramilo out
67'D. Luna INE. Caicedo out
67'T. Ozaeta INF. Perinciolo out
75'M. BermudezAssist: S. Vasquez
80'F. PerincioloUnsportsmanlike conduct
82'R. JaramiloUnsportsmanlike conduct
84'M. Bermudez ING. Rostagno out
85'E. Pluas INW. Chuchuca out
86'J. L. Castillo SaaSerious foul
90+4'J. MorochoUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Delfin SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Juan Leon
Orense SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Agustin Robles
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.58
Brian Heras6.021B. Heras
Bryan Hernández6.277B. Hernández
Anthony BedoyaC7.532A. Bedoya
Ober Medina6.75O. Medina
Luis Castillo6.340L. Castillo
Gerónimo Heredia6.334G. Heredia
Jonathan Morocho7.718J. Morocho
Kevin Ushiña6.978K. Ushiña
Danny Luna7.210D. Luna
Thiago Ozaeta6.350T. Ozaeta
Franco Ayunta6.99F. Ayunta
Rolando Silva6.312R. Silva
Pedro VelascoC6.731P. Velasco
Alan Lorenzo6.65A. Lorenzo
Óscar Quiñónez6.545Ó. Quiñónez
Beder Caicedo6.215B. Caicedo
Erick Zambrano6.754E. Zambrano
Erick Plúas6.914E. Plúas
Michael Bermúdez7.719M. Bermúdez
Ángel Mena6.513Á. Mena
Sergio Vásquez7.37S. Vásquez
Agustin Herrera5.911A. Herrera

Delfin SC Substitutes

7Anthony Alvarez6.5
22José Cárdenas
33Ayrton Cisneros
3Darío Aimar
14Erick Zúñiga
98Edilson Cabeza
11Franco Perinciolo67'for T. Ozaeta80'6.7
51Carlos Carreno
31Jefferson Arce
27Erik Yepez
39Eber Caicedo67'for D. Luna6.9
99Leao Tenorio
20Iván Molano

Orense SC Substitutes

30Valentín Burgoa28'for E. S. Zambrano Pesantez6.9
60Jeremy Cobos
57Sleyder Mairongo
6Stéfano Callegari
24Gabriel Achilier
25Renny Jaramillo65'for A. Mena82'5.3
51Christian Ortíz
59Jostin Hurtado
50Eddie Hernandez
21Gonzalo Martin Rostagno84'replaced by M. Bermudez6.5
53Luis Garces
23Wilson Chuchuca85'for E. Pluas6.7

Match Stats

Delfin SCOrense SC
38%Ball Possession62%
3Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards1
9Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal10
6Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots1
17Fouls13
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
237Total Passes380
150Passes Accurate309
63%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Delfin SCDelfin SC
Orense SCOrense SC
1468Elo Rating 1477
1.95Attack 1.61
0.91Defense 2.16
56%Hit Rate 27%
13.7Shots per Game 12.2
3.9Shots on Target 5.4
5.0Corners per Game 3.9
2.6Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Delfin SCDelfin SC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Orense SCOrense SC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Delfin SCDelfin SC1Wins · 10%
Draws770%
Orense SCOrense SC2Wins · 20%
1.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro19/04/2026
Orense SCDelfin SC
00
Liga Pro26/08/2025
Orense SCDelfin SC
31
Liga Pro04/05/2025
Delfin SCOrense SC
00
Liga Pro01/11/2024
Orense SCDelfin SC
00
Liga Pro12/05/2024
Delfin SCOrense SC
01
Liga Pro05/08/2023
Orense SCDelfin SC
00
Liga Pro28/02/2023
Delfin SCOrense SC
11
Liga Pro02/10/2022
Orense SCDelfin SC
11
Liga Pro07/05/2022
Delfin SCOrense SC
21
Liga Pro01/08/2021
Orense SCDelfin SC
22

Recent Form

Delfin SCDelfin SC
2W2D6L
04/08/2026
LDU de QuitoDelfin SC
21
L
26/07/2026
Delfin SCLeones del Norte
01
L
21/07/2026
LibertadDelfin SC
10
L
18/07/2026
Delfin SCMacara
21
W
15/07/2026
Manta FCDelfin SC
01
W
12/07/2026
Guayaquil City FCDelfin SC
21
L
06/07/2026
Delfin SCEmelec
11
D
31/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaDelfin SC
10
L
25/05/2026
Delfin SCBarcelona SC
12
L
16/05/2026
Universidad CatolicaDelfin SC
22
D

Referee Profile

Anthony Diaz85 matches

4.70Cards per match
4.32Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anthony Diaz4.70
Other referees5.15

4.70 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.15).

Cards come from 73 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074DLWWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DWLLW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LDLLD
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LDWWD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744WLLDD
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWWWL
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WLLDL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLWDW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LWLLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WWDDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLDW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca341281430:39-944WWDDD
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC349131239:46-740LDLDL
13Orense SCOrense SC341081642:50-838WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario341132033:46-1336WLLDW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC34981727:40-1335LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC34762122:49-2727LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3430:3944
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3439:4640
13Orense SCOrense SC3442:5038
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3433:4636
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3427:4035
16Manta FCManta FC3422:4927
PromotionRelegation

About the Delfin SC vs Orense SC forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Delfin SC and Orense SC in the Liga Pro table

Orense SC and Delfin SC are close in the Liga Pro table, 13th and 15th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Delfin SC 19-31, Orense SC 36-47. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.