Leones del Norte vs Barcelona SC Prediction
Ecuador · Regular Season - 23
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-1.4%
Leones del Norte Rest
3 days
Barcelona SC Rest
6 days
Leones del Norte vs Barcelona SC: result, form and history
Leones del Norte and Barcelona SC drew 1-1 in the Liga Pro on 3 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.51
X32%2.96
228%2.79
Double Chance
1X72%1.36
X260%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%2.00
No50%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.08 = 2.40
Over 1.567%1.44
Over 2.543%2.42
Over 3.522%4.60
Under 1.533%2.60
Under 2.557%1.50
Under 3.578%1.15
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
10'G. VallecillaFoul
14'C. SolanoFoul
22'P. MaderoAssist: D. Pazmino
46'R. Perlaza INJ. Perlaza out
55'R. ArroyoFoul
62'E. Mendoza IND. Benedetto out
62'G. Vallecilla INS. Diaz out
64'M. LugoUnsportsmanlike conduct
70'J. R. Quinonez Ruiz INT. Martinez out
72'B. CarabaliUnsportsmanlike conduct
73'D. PazminoUnsportsmanlike conduct
78'C. Solano INS. Portocarrero out
78'D. Pazmino INT. Coppo out
78'M. Caramuto INE. Pepinos out
78'S. Diaz
81'J. ContrerasUnsportsmanlike conduct
84'T. Rodriguez INM. Mejia out
86'R. Arroyo INB. Kreiman out
90+4'J. Anangono INT. Amilivia out
Lineups
Leones del NorteBarcelona SC
5-3-2Coach: Alejandro Farias Acosta CesarAvg ratingAvg rating
45L. Nazareno
4J. Arroyo
2J. Morán
23N. Monserrat
16M. De La Cruz
6E. Griffa
29P. Madero
70D. Pazmiño
11M. Caramuto
99C. Solano
C40J. Anangonó
1J. Contreras
18B. Carabalí
14A. Rangel
33J. Báez
4G. Vallecilla
25R. Perlaza
35J. Intriago
32M. Lugo
C28J. Quiñónez
7E. Mendoza
11T. RodríguezLeones del Norte Substitutes
34Segundo Portocarrero78'for C. Solano
5Tobías Coppo78'for D. Pazmino
19Elián Pepinós78'for M. Caramuto
25Brian Kreiman86'for R. Arroyo
17Thomas Amilivia90+4'replaced by J. Anangono
22Jeferson Arroyo
14Anthony Folleco
50Miguel Caicedo
3Frixon Joel Vargas Manzaba
55Ronny Borja
8Charles Vélez
27Nestor Caicedo
Barcelona SC Substitutes
15Jonathan Perlaza46'replaced by R. Perlaza
9Darío Benedetto62'replaced by E. Mendoza
8Sergio Díaz62'for G. Vallecilla78'
23Tomás Martínez70'for J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
70Marcos Mejía84'for T. Rodriguez
22Jose Gabriel Cevallos
44Jhonnier Chalá
26Byron Castillo
27Willian Vargas
29Jordan Medina
63Klever Caicedo
51Jefferson Wila
Match Stats
Leones del NorteBarcelona SC 49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal1
8Shots Inside Box2
7Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
18Fouls8
4Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
307Total Passes315
234Passes Accurate238
76%Pass Accuracy76%
Team Comparison
Leones del NorteBarcelona SC1513Elo Rating 1578
1.47Attack 1.81
1.15Defense 1.85
27%Hit Rate 27%
17.6Shots per Game 9.1
4.5Shots on Target 3.9
5.0Corners per Game 5.9
2.4Cards per Game 3.8
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Leones del Norte- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Barcelona SC- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Leones del Norte0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Barcelona SC1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
11/04/2026Barcelona SCLeones del Norte21
Recent Form
Leones del Norte5W3D2L
30/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte60
L26/07/2026
Delfin SCLeones del Norte
Delfin SCLeones del Norte01
W23/07/2026Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del NorteGuayaquil City FC11
D18/07/2026LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte01
W16/07/2026Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del NorteDeportivo Cuenca11
D11/07/2026Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
04/07/2026Leones del NorteUniversidad Catolica10
W
LibertadLeones del Norte13
W02/06/2026Leones del Norte
Macara
Leones del NorteMacara11
D30/05/2026
HuaquillasLeones del Norte
HuaquillasLeones del Norte01
W24/05/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioLeones del Norte
Tecnico UniversitarioLeones del Norte21
LBarcelona SC3W2D5L
27/07/2026Barcelona SCLDU de Quito
Barcelona SCLDU de Quito01
L22/07/2026Universidad CatolicaBarcelona SC
19/07/2026Universidad CatolicaBarcelona SC21
LBarcelona SCLibertad10
W16/07/2026Barcelona SCGuayaquil City FC11
D13/07/2026
EmelecBarcelona SC00
D05/07/2026Barcelona SCDeportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SCDeportivo Cuenca20
W02/06/2026Tecnico UniversitarioBarcelona SC
Tecnico UniversitarioBarcelona SC10
L29/05/2026
CruzeiroBarcelona SC
CruzeiroBarcelona SC40
L25/05/2026Delfin SCBarcelona SC
Delfin SCBarcelona SC12
W22/05/2026
U. CatolicaBarcelona SC
U. CatolicaBarcelona SC20
LReferee Profile
4.73Cards per match
4.27Yellow cards per match
0.45Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.73 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.80).
Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | WDLWW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | LDWLL |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | WLDLL |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LLDWW |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | LWLLD |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WWLLD |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | DWLWD |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LLWLL |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | LWWDD |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | DWDDL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | DWLLD |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | WLWWD |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Championship Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 77:35 | +42 | 81 | WDLWW |
| 2 | Macara | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 66 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Aucas | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 38:38 | 0 | 54 | WLDLL |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 54:33 | +21 | 53 | LDWLL |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 37:31 | +6 | 53 | LLDWW |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 38:31 | +7 | 48 | LWLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 34 | 77:35 | 81 |
| 2 | Macara | 35 | 50:35 | 66 |
| 3 | Aucas | 35 | 38:38 | 54 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica | 35 | 54:33 | 53 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 35 | 37:31 | 53 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 34 | 38:31 | 48 |
Liga Pro: Placement Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 43:39 | +4 | 51 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 47 | DWLWD |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 46 | WWLLD |
| 10 | Emelec | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 42 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 35 | 43:39 | 51 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 35 | 38:43 | 47 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 35 | 39:40 | 46 |
| 10 | Emelec | 35 | 31:43 | 42 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- Universidad Catolica vs Tecnico Universitario 01/08/26
- Emelec vs Aucas 02/08/26
- Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca 02/08/26
- Macara vs Guayaquil City FC 02/08/26
- LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle 08/08/26
- Barcelona SC vs Macara 09/08/26
- Delfin SC vs Orense SC 09/08/26
- Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec 10/08/26
About the Leones del Norte vs Barcelona SC forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Leones del Norte and Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro table
Barcelona SC and Leones del Norte are close in the Liga Pro table, 6th and 8th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Leones del Norte 31-32, Barcelona SC 32-25. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Leones del Norte and Barcelona SC have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.