Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC Prediction
Ecuador · Regular Season - 25
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+5.1%
Independiente del Valle Rest
7 days
Delfin SC Rest
5 days
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC: result, form and history
Independiente del Valle beat Delfin SC 3-2 in the Liga Pro on 15 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Independiente del Valle had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Delfin SC.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.4 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Russell Macario Teran Leon averages 4.22 cards a game, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
178%1.18
X15%6.03
27%13.00
Double Chance
1X93%1.03
X222%4.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%2.30
No53%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.19 + 0.64 = 2.83
Over 1.577%1.18
Over 2.556%1.60
Over 3.532%2.50
Under 1.523%4.40
Under 2.544%2.25
Under 3.568%1.47
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
14'H. QuintanaAssist: R. Briones
23'A. A. Cisneros MontenegroOG
45'F. AyuntaAssist: J. Morocho
45+4'C. GonzalezAssist: J. Angulo
46'H. Quintana INJ. Sornoza out
46'A. Alvarez ING. Heredia out
46'B. Hernandez INC. Banguera out
46'E. Pata INA. Rodriguez out
50'C. Gonzalez IND. Reasco out
60'D. Luna INJ. Arce out
63'J. Alcivar INJ. Mendez out
67'J. ArceAssist: J. Morocho
74'J. MorochoFoul
75'J. Angulo INM. Perello out
80'D. A. Romero PadillaUnsportsmanlike conduct
80'T. OzaetaUnsportsmanlike conduct
83'T. Ozaeta INF. Perinciolo out
90+4'J. SornozaDelay of game
Lineups
Independiente del ValleDelfin SC
4-4-2Coach: Juan LeonAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Quintana
13D. Romero
33A. Velasco
23J. Viacava
19L. Loor
C6J. Alcivar
50J. Riquelme Angulo
28H. Quintana
16R. Briones
31E. Pata
9C. González
C21B. Heras
77B. Hernández
5O. Medina
33A. Cisneros
14E. Zúñiga
78K. Ushiña
7A. Alvarez
18J. Morocho
50T. Ozaeta
10D. Luna
9F. AyuntaIndependiente del Valle Substitutes
10Junior Sornoza46'for H. Quintana90+4'
17Arón Rodríguez46'for E. Pata
99Djorkaeff Reasco50'for C. Gonzalez
32Jhegson Méndez63'for J. Alcivar
11Matías Perello75'for J. Angulo
70Miguel Peralta
14Mateo Carabajal
4Jhon Espinoza
5Richard Schunke
15Gustavo Cortez
8Youri Ochoa
56Edwin Quintero
Delfin SC Substitutes
51Carlos Carreno46'for B. Hernandez
34Gerónimo Heredia46'replaced by A. Alvarez
31Jefferson Arce60'for D. Luna67'
11Franco Perinciolo83'for T. Ozaeta
22José Cárdenas
3Darío Aimar
16Luis Castro
27Erik Yepez
99Leao Tenorio
39Eber Caicedo
20Iván Molano
Match Stats
Independiente del ValleDelfin SC 71%Ball Possession29%
9Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
26Total Shots7
10Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box5
12Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots1
5Fouls7
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves8
600Total Passes238
561Passes Accurate180
94%Pass Accuracy76%
Team Comparison
Independiente del ValleDelfin SC1793Elo Rating 1468
0.86Attack 1.95
2.44Defense 0.91
36%Hit Rate 56%
11.3Shots per Game 13.7
4.3Shots on Target 3.9
5.9Corners per Game 5.0
1.5Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+324 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Independiente del Valle- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
Delfin SC- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Independiente del Valle5Wins · 50%Draws330%
Delfin SC2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%1.4Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10
Previous meetings
22/04/2026Delfin SCIndependiente del Valle01
28/09/2025Independiente del ValleDelfin SC00
31/05/2025Delfin SCIndependiente del Valle11
03/08/2024Independiente del ValleDelfin SC12
02/03/2024Delfin SCIndependiente del Valle01
02/09/2023Delfin SCIndependiente del Valle10
09/04/2023Independiente del ValleDelfin SC30
11/09/2022Independiente del ValleDelfin SC20
24/04/2022Delfin SCIndependiente del Valle01
23/08/2021Delfin SCIndependiente del Valle00
Recent Form
Independiente del Valle10W0D0L
08/08/2026
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SCIndependiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
AucasIndependiente del Valle
Santo DomingoIndependiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
Manta FC
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle02
W02/08/2026Independiente del ValleDeportivo Cuenca10
W30/07/2026Independiente del ValleManta FC
26/07/2026Independiente del ValleManta FC10
WOrense SCIndependiente del Valle23
W22/07/2026Independiente del ValleTecnico Universitario30
W20/07/2026Independiente del Valle
Emelec
16/07/2026Independiente del ValleEmelec61
WAucasIndependiente del Valle03
W11/07/2026
Mushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
09/07/2026Mushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle14
WSanto DomingoIndependiente del Valle02
W04/07/2026Independiente del ValleManta FC40
WDelfin SC2W2D6L
09/08/2026Delfin SCOrense SC
LibertadDelfin SCDelfin SC
MacaraManta FCDelfin SC
Guayaquil City FCDelfin SCDelfin SCEmelec
Delfin SCOrense SC11
D04/08/2026LDU de QuitoDelfin SC
LDU de QuitoDelfin SC21
L26/07/2026Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
21/07/2026Delfin SCLeones del Norte01
LLibertadDelfin SC10
L18/07/2026Delfin SCMacara21
W15/07/2026Manta FCDelfin SC01
W12/07/2026Guayaquil City FCDelfin SC21
L06/07/2026Delfin SCEmelec11
D31/05/2026Deportivo CuencaDelfin SC
Deportivo CuencaDelfin SC10
L25/05/2026Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
Delfin SCBarcelona SC12
LReferee Profile
4.22Cards per match
3.93Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.22 cards a match, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.80).
Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | DLWWW |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LDLLD |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WWDDD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | WLLDW |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWWDD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Championship Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 75:35 | +40 | 78 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 47:35 | +12 | 63 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 53:31 | +22 | 53 | DWLLW |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 37:29 | +8 | 53 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 51 | LDLLD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 38:28 | +10 | 48 | WLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 75:35 | 78 |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 47:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 53:31 | 53 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 37:29 | 53 |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 36:37 | 51 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 38:28 | 48 |
Liga Pro: Relegation Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 44 | WWDDD |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 40 | LDLDL |
| 13 | Orense SC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:50 | -8 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 34 | 11 | 3 | 20 | 33:46 | -13 | 36 | WLLDW |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 27:40 | -13 | 35 | LWWDD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 22:49 | -27 | 27 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 30:39 | 44 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 39:46 | 40 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 34 | 42:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 34 | 33:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 34 | 27:40 | 35 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 34 | 22:49 | 27 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- Delfin SC vs Orense SC 09/08/26
- Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec 10/08/26
- Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC 10/08/26
- Libertad vs Universidad Catolica 10/08/26
- Manta FC vs Leones del Norte 15/08/26
- Leones del Norte vs Independiente del Valle 22/08/26
- Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC 22/08/26
- Barcelona SC vs Orense SC 23/08/26
About the Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Independiente del Valle and Delfin SC in the Liga Pro table
The table shows a wide gap: Independiente del Valle are 1st in the Liga Pro, while Delfin SC sit 15th, 46 points behind. League goal record so far: Independiente del Valle 73-33, Delfin SC 19-31. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.