Manta FC vs Leones del Norte Prediction

Liga ProEcuador Ecuador · Regular Season - 25
Manta FC
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Leones del Norte
Estadio Jocay, Manta·Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar, Ecuador 15/08/2026
Manta FCManta FC
0-2
Finished
Leones del NorteLeones del Norte

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel32%SurpriseMediumGap+10.4%
Manta FC Rest
4 days
Leones del Norte Rest
6 days

Manta FC vs Leones del Norte: result, form and history

Leones del Norte beat Manta FC 2-0 in the Liga Pro on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 5 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them. Referee Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar averages 4.42 cards a game, 0.90 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.72
X
31%2.95
2
30%2.60
Double Chance
1X
70%1.44
X2
62%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%2.07
No
44%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.38 = 2.62
Over 1.5
72%1.50
Over 2.5
49%2.52
Over 3.5
29%4.95
Under 1.5
28%2.44
Under 2.5
51%1.45
Under 3.5
71%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'E. GriffaAssist: S. Portocarrero
20'S. PortocarreroFoul
40'S. Portocarrero INM. De La Cruz out
58'J. Blanco INJ. Angulo out
58'J. Troya INJ. Verges out
63'G. Mina INJ. Chala out
68'E. Pepinos INB. Kreiman out
68'D. Pazmino INC. Solano out
74'J. Anangono(Penalty missed)
76'B. RamirezFoul
79'O. Moscarelli INW. Chala out
79'R. Burbano INF. Asagidigbi out
82'L. NazarenoDelay of game
89'J. Anangono INT. Amilivia out
89'E. Griffa INR. Borja out
90+1'R. BorjaAssist: C. Solano

Team Comparison

Manta FCManta FC
Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
1389Elo Rating 1513
0.98Attack 1.47
1.38Defense 1.15
36%Hit Rate 27%
15.0Shots per Game 17.6
4.3Shots on Target 4.5
6.6Corners per Game 5.0
2.9Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Manta FCManta FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Manta FCManta FC2Wins · 40%
Draws120%
Leones del NorteLeones del Norte2Wins · 40%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Liga Pro22/04/2026
Leones del NorteManta FC
30
Liga Pro Serie B26/09/2024
Leones del NorteManta FC
11
Liga Pro Serie B07/08/2024
Manta FCLeones del Norte
21
Liga Pro Serie B05/06/2024
Manta FCLeones del Norte
31
Liga Pro Serie B11/04/2024
Leones del NorteManta FC
30

Recent Form

Manta FCManta FC
2W2D6L
11/08/2026
Deportivo CuencaManta FC
12
W
01/08/2026
Manta FCMushuc Runa SC
12
L
30/07/2026
Independiente del ValleManta FC
10
L
26/07/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioManta FC
10
L23/07/2026
Manta FCLDU de Quito
11
D
19/07/2026
Guayaquil City FCManta FC
10
L
15/07/2026
Manta FCDelfin SC
01
L
11/07/2026
Manta FCOrense SC
00
D
04/07/2026
Independiente del ValleManta FC
40
L
30/05/2026
Manta FCLibertad
21
W
Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
4W4D2L
08/08/2026
AucasLeones del Norte
30
L
03/08/2026
Leones del NorteBarcelona SC
11
D
30/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
60
L
26/07/2026
Delfin SCLeones del Norte
01
W
23/07/2026
Leones del NorteGuayaquil City FC
11
D
18/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
01
W
16/07/2026
Leones del NorteDeportivo Cuenca
11
D
11/07/2026
Leones del NorteUniversidad Catolica
10
W
04/07/2026
LibertadLeones del Norte
13
W
02/06/2026
Leones del NorteMacara
11
D

Referee Profile

Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar175 matches

4.42Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar4.42
Other referees5.32

4.42 cards a match, 0.90 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.32).

Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WDLWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451LDWLL
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550WLDLL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LLDWW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744LWLLD
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141DLWWW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WWLLD
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339DWLWD
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LLWLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236LWWDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133DWDDL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432DWLLD
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228WLWWD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Placement Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
7LibertadLibertad351491243:39+451DLWWW
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3512111238:43-547DWLWD
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3512101339:40-146WWLLD
10EmelecEmelec351191531:43-1242LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
7LibertadLibertad3543:3951
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3538:4347
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3539:4046
10EmelecEmelec3531:4342

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca351281531:42-1144LWWDD
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC349131239:46-740LDLDL
13Orense SCOrense SC351091643:51-839DWDDL
14Delfin SCDelfin SC351081730:41-1138WLWWD
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario351142034:47-1337DWLLD
16Manta FCManta FC34762122:49-2727LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3531:4244
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3439:4640
13Orense SCOrense SC3543:5139
14Delfin SCDelfin SC3530:4138
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3534:4737
16Manta FCManta FC3422:4927
PromotionRelegation

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About the Manta FC vs Leones del Norte forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Manta FC and Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Leones del Norte are 8th and Manta FC 16th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Manta FC 17-42, Leones del Norte 31-32. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.