Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction

Estadio Bellavista, Ambato·Yerson Zambrano, Ecuador 10/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.60
SignalSOLIDModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
Tecnico Universitario Rest
8 days
Mushuc Runa SC Rest
9 days

Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC: result, form and history

Mushuc Runa SC beat Tecnico Universitario 3-0 in the Liga Pro on 10 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.4 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.74
X
30%3.05
2
33%2.55
Double Chance
1X
67%1.44
X2
64%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.88
No
53%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.12 = 2.27
Over 1.5
64%1.40
Over 2.5
37%2.25
Over 3.5
18%4.00
Under 1.5
36%2.67
Under 2.5
63%1.60
Under 3.5
82%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'R. IbarraAssist: K. Peralta
22'S. RazzetoUnsportsmanlike conduct
27'B. Delgado INA. Morales out
30'K. PeraltaFoul
33'A. CastilloFoul
45+2'R. Ibarra(Penalty)
46'K. Peralta INN. Bazan out
46'L. Estupinan INJohan Bocanegra out
46'J. Majao INW. Caicedo out
52'A. ZambranoFoul
53'A. Zambrano INL. Lemos out
60'E. E. Mesa MercadoFoul
71'M. Perea INB. Corozo out
71'J. Cusme INF. Carabali out
72'T. Minda INR. Tufino out
72'E. E. Mesa Mercado INC. Arteaga out
74'H. Guardia INJ. Caicedo out
85'C. AnguloAssist: R. Ibarra
90'E. DavilaFoul
90+2'J. AnayaFoul

Lineups

Tecnico Universitario
3-4-3Coach: Bernardo Redin
Mushuc Runa SC
4-4-2Coach: Paul Velez Ordonez Angel
Avg rating6.25
Avg rating7.04
Santiago Razzeto3.61S. Razzeto
Julian Anaya5.913J. Anaya
Luis Mario Córdova Mina6.34L. Mario Córdova Mina
Rafael Chila6.953R. Chila
Edwin Mesa6.723E. Mesa
Jonathan Majao6.333J. Majao
Anthony Castilo6.219A. Castilo
Bagner Delgado6.325B. Delgado
Mateo Castano6.670M. Castano
Heuyin Guardia6.09H. Guardia
Luis EstupiñanC6.57L. Estupiñan
Rodrigo FormentoC7.225R. Formento
Kevin Peralta6.926K. Peralta
Ronny Biojo7.94R. Biojo
Jeremy Cusme6.650J. Cusme
José Hernández7.233J. Hernández
Cristopher Angulo7.799C. Angulo
Arnaldo Zambrano6.98A. Zambrano
Nicolás Dávila7.25N. Dávila
Miguel Perea6.228M. Perea
Renato Ibarra10.030R. Ibarra
Tomson Minda6.37T. Minda

Tecnico Universitario Substitutes

12Ayrton Morales27'for B. Delgado6.7
10Johan Bocanegra46'for L. Estupinan6.7
90Wagner Caicedo46'for J. Majao6.2
16Jose Caicedo74'for H. Guardia6.5
67Marco Carrasco
30Kener Arce
11Cristopher Arteaga72'for E. E. Mesa Mercado6.6
15Felipe Castillo
6Liberman Torres
77Carlos Estupiñán
60Santiago Freire

Mushuc Runa SC Substitutes

11Nazareno Bazán46'for K. Peralta6.3
23Lucas Lemos53'for A. Zambrano6.6
42Adonnis Pabón
12Franklin Carabali71'for J. Cusme6.6
2José Flor
61Jefferson Caicedo
19Bryan Corozo71'for M. Perea6.7
52Derlys Gómez
10Freddy Mina
14Elian Caicedo
9Renso Tufino
53Jeremy Braye

Match Stats

Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SC
40%Ball Possession60%
3Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal4
3Shots Inside Box10
8Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots2
16Fouls11
2Goalkeeper Saves4
255Total Passes394
177Passes Accurate321
69%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
1401Elo Rating 1486
0.77Attack 1.23
1.61Defense 1.21
17%Hit Rate 0%
13.2Shots per Game 11.2
3.1Shots on Target 3.3
5.0Corners per Game 5.3
2.7Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3Wins · 30%
1.4Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro18/04/2026
Mushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
10
Liga Pro22/11/2025
Mushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
10
Liga Pro01/11/2025
Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SC
00
Liga Pro27/07/2025
Mushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
01
Liga Pro06/04/2025
Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SC
11
Liga Pro30/09/2024
Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SC
22
Liga Pro13/04/2024
Mushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
12
Liga Pro05/11/2023
Mushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
10
Liga Pro27/05/2023
Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SC
10
Liga Pro24/07/2022
Mushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
00

Recent Form

Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
3W3D4L
01/08/2026
Manta FCMushuc Runa SC
12
W
27/07/2026
Mushuc Runa SCLibertad
02
L
24/07/2026
EmelecMushuc Runa SC
11
D
20/07/2026
Mushuc Runa SCOrense SC
21
W
14/07/2026
MacaraMushuc Runa SC
21
L
11/07/2026
Mushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
14
L
06/07/2026
Universidad CatolicaMushuc Runa SC
23
W
03/06/2026
Gualaceo SCMushuc Runa SC
10
L
31/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCAucas
00
D
23/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCGuayaquil City FC
22
D

Referee Profile

Yerson Zambrano76 matches

5.13Cards per match
4.71Yellow cards per match
0.43Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Yerson Zambrano5.13
Other referees5.03

5.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.03).

Cards come from 68 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074DLWWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DWLLW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LDLLD
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LDWWD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744WLLDD
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWWWL
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WLLDL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLWDW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LWLLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WWDDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLDW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca341281430:39-944WWDDD
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC349131239:46-740LDLDL
13Orense SCOrense SC341081642:50-838WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario341132033:46-1336WLLDW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC34981727:40-1335LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC34762122:49-2727LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3430:3944
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3439:4640
13Orense SCOrense SC3442:5038
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3433:4636
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3427:4035
16Manta FCManta FC3422:4927
PromotionRelegation

About the Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tecnico Universitario and Mushuc Runa SC in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Mushuc Runa SC are 11th and Tecnico Universitario 14th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Tecnico Universitario 28-42, Mushuc Runa SC 35-38. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Tecnico Universitario have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.