Leones del Norte vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Liga ProEcuador Ecuador · Regular Season - 26
Leones del Norte
2-3
Finished
HT 1-0
Independiente del Valle
Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra·Jennifer Mishel Canchingre Preciado, Ecuador 22/08/2026
Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
2-3
Finished
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
56%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.66
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.66
SignalSOLIDModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Leones del Norte Rest
6 days
Independiente del Valle Rest
2 days

Leones del Norte vs Independiente del Valle: the result in context

Independiente del Valle beat Leones del Norte 3-2 in the Liga Pro on 22 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Independiente del Valle had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Leones del Norte.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%4.78
X
20%3.63
2
62%1.66
Double Chance
1X
38%2.07
X2
82%1.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.93
No
52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.95 + 1.5 = 2.45
Over 1.5
69%1.32
Over 2.5
45%2.00
Over 3.5
24%3.50
Under 1.5
31%3.10
Under 2.5
55%1.75
Under 3.5
76%1.26
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'J. AnangonoAssist: P. Madero
24'P. MaderoUnsportsmanlike conduct
27'B. KreimanDelay of game
46'E. Griffa INM. Luque out
51'D. Reasco
51'D. ReascoUnsportsmanlike conduct
55'R. BrionesFoul
64'C. Solano(Penalty)
66'Y. Ochoa INH. Quintana out
66'D. Reasco INC. Gonzalez out
66'J. Angulo INE. Pata out
66'M. Perello INA. Rodriguez out
70'Goal Disallowed - offsideA. Rodriguez
84'R. Briones INY. Vasquez out
86'C. Solano INE. Pepinos out
86'S. Portocarrero INM. De La Cruz out
87'J. Anangono INT. Amilivia out
90+3'C. GonzalezAssist: E. Pata
90+4'N. MonserratUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+6'C. Gonzalez
90+8'J. AlcivarUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
1513Elo Rating 1800
1.47Attack 1.42
1.15Defense 2.64
27%Hit Rate 58%
17.6Shots per Game 11.9
4.5Shots on Target 4.3
5.0Corners per Game 6.5
2.4Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Leones del NorteLeones del Norte0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Liga Pro25/04/2026
Independiente del ValleLeones del Norte
21

Recent Form

Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
5W3D2L
15/08/2026
Manta FCLeones del Norte
02
W
08/08/2026
AucasLeones del Norte
30
L
03/08/2026
Leones del NorteBarcelona SC
11
D
30/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
60
L
26/07/2026
Delfin SCLeones del Norte
01
W
23/07/2026
Leones del NorteGuayaquil City FC
11
D
18/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
01
W
16/07/2026
Leones del NorteDeportivo Cuenca
11
D
11/07/2026
Leones del NorteUniversidad Catolica
10
W
04/07/2026
LibertadLeones del Norte
13
W
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
10W0D0L
19/08/2026
Deportes TolimaIndependiente del Valle
01
W15/08/2026
Independiente del ValleDelfin SC
32
W08/08/2026
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
02
W02/08/2026
Independiente del ValleDeportivo Cuenca
10
W
30/07/2026
Independiente del ValleManta FC
10
W
26/07/2026
Orense SCIndependiente del Valle
23
W22/07/2026
Independiente del ValleTecnico Universitario
30
W
20/07/2026
Independiente del ValleEmelec
61
W
16/07/2026
AucasIndependiente del Valle
03
W
11/07/2026
Mushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
14
W

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WDLWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451LDWLL
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550WLDLL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LLDWW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744LWLLD
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141DLWWW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WWLLD
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339DWLWD
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LLWLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236LWWDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133DWDDL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432DWLLD
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228WLWWD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle34263577:35+4281WDLWW
2MacaraMacara35206950:35+1566WWWWW
3AucasAucas351591138:38054WLDLL
4Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3514111054:33+2153LDWLL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito351581237:31+653LLDWW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3412121038:31+748LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3477:3581
2MacaraMacara3550:3566
3AucasAucas3538:3854
4Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3554:3353
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3537:3153
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3438:3148

Liga Pro: Placement Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
7LibertadLibertad351491243:39+451DLWWW
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3512111238:43-547DWLWD
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3512101339:40-146WWLLD
10EmelecEmelec351191531:43-1242LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
7LibertadLibertad3543:3951
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3538:4347
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3539:4046
10EmelecEmelec3531:4342
PromotionRelegation

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About the Leones del Norte vs Independiente del Valle forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Leones del Norte and Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Independiente del Valle are 1st and Leones del Norte 8th, 35 points apart. League goal record so far: Leones del Norte 31-32, Independiente del Valle 73-33. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Leones del Norte and Independiente del Valle have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.