Macara vs Emelec Prediction
Ecuador · Regular Season - 30
Estadio Bellavista, Ambato 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-0.4%
Macara Rest
7 days
Emelec Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
164%1.88
X22%3.15
214%4.00
Double Chance
1X86%1.20
X236%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.96
No50%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.22 + 0.81 = 3.03
Over 1.578%1.38
Over 2.557%2.21
Over 3.535%4.00
Under 1.522%2.75
Under 2.543%1.60
Under 3.565%1.19
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
37'Víctor GriffithFoul
45'Víctor Griffith INJose Francisco Cevallos out
45'Gonzalo Nápoli INReixon David Saya Paredes out
50'Ronie CarrilloFoul
60'augustin campana
66'Juan Pablo·Ruiz Gomez INJaime Ayoví out
66'luis Fragozo INTeodoro Arce out
73'M. Viera INJ. Klinger out
77'Estalin Segura INOrlando Herrera out
81'augustin campana INTono Espinoza out
81'Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar INMarlon Medranda out
87'Denilson Bolanos INJuan Espinoza out
Lineups
MacaraEmelec
4-2-3-1Coach: Ezequiel MedránAvg ratingAvg rating
1R. Rodriguez
25J. Bolaños
4J. Jiménez
14J. Marrufo
27J. Mohor
16J. Cazares
28A. Campana
5J. Estacio
15M. Tello
20M. Viera
9F. Posse
1M. Alfredo Valero Sánchez
13L. Fernando Gómez Angulo
27F. León
2A. Leguizamón
4E. Segura
32J. Valverde
6V. Griffith
19J. Ruíz
8G. Nápoli
15L. Fragozo
9R. CarrilloMacara Substitutes
50C. Caicedo
30T. Chamba
52B. Coello
12D. Cuero
3Juan Espinoza81'for augustin campana87'for Denilson Bolanos
11Tono Espinoza81'for augustin campana87'for Denilson Bolanos
22L. Ferro
87J. Klinger73'for M. Viera
26M. Medranda81'for Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
19P. Ramos
13L. Ayala
Emelec Substitutes
24A. Viteri
51S. Valencia
59Reixon Saya45'for Gonzalo Nápoli
16S. Quintero
5A. Mina
80O. Herrera77'for Estalin Segura
26I. Cuero
21J. Cevallos45'for Víctor Griffith
90Eduardo David Bores Díaz
17J. Ayoví66'for Juan Pablo·Ruiz Gomez
11S. Arce66'for luis Fragozo
Match Stats
MacaraEmelec 53%Ball Possession47%
7Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
23Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal5
14Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box8
14Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots2
15Fouls8
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves3
352Total Passes321
274Passes Accurate238
78%Pass Accuracy74%
Team Comparison
MacaraEmelec1689Elo Rating 1504
1.19Attack 1.60
2.38Defense 1.49
86%Hit Rate 41%
13.8Shots per Game 15.3
4.7Shots on Target 4.8
4.4Corners per Game 5.6
2.3Cards per Game 2.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+185 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Macara- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Emelec- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Macara3Wins · 30%Draws330%
Emelec4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.3Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
09/12/2025EmelecMacara02
02/11/2025MacaraEmelec30
30/06/2025MacaraEmelec11
01/03/2025EmelecMacara00
09/11/2024MacaraEmelec11
18/05/2024EmelecMacara01
10/07/2022MacaraEmelec13
19/02/2022EmelecMacara40
15/08/2021EmelecMacara30
07/04/2021EmelecMacara20
Recent Form
Macara4W2D4L
06/09/2026
Independiente del ValleMacaraMacara
SantosSantosMacara
Barcelona SCMacaraMacara
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del ValleMacara31
L02/09/2026Macara
Manta FC
MacaraManta FC43
W30/08/2026
Orense SCMacara
Orense SCMacara12
W25/08/2026
LibertadMacara
21/08/2026LibertadMacara10
LMacaraSantos00
D18/08/2026Macara
Universidad Catolica
14/08/2026MacaraUniversidad Catolica11
DSantosMacara21
L09/08/2026Barcelona SCMacara12
W02/08/2026MacaraGuayaquil City FC21
W29/07/2026
Gualaceo SCMacara
Gualaceo SCMacara4131
LEmelec3W3D4L
08/09/2026EmelecManta FC
04/09/2026EmelecManta FC10
WLibertadEmelec11
D31/08/2026Emelec
Leones del Norte
EmelecLeones del Norte21
W24/08/2026
LDU de QuitoEmelec
LDU de QuitoEmelec20
L16/08/2026Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
10/08/2026EmelecTecnico Universitario21
WGuayaquil City FCEmelec00
D02/08/2026Emelec
Aucas02
L28/07/2026
Deportivo CuencaEmelec21
L24/07/2026Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC11
D20/07/2026Independiente del ValleEmelec
Independiente del ValleEmelec61
LLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LDLLD |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WWDDD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | WLLDW |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWWDD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Championship Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 75:35 | +40 | 78 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 47:35 | +12 | 63 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 53:31 | +22 | 53 | DWLLW |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 37:29 | +8 | 53 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 51 | LDLLD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 38:28 | +10 | 48 | WLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 75:35 | 78 |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 47:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 53:31 | 53 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 37:29 | 53 |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 36:37 | 51 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 38:28 | 48 |
Liga Pro: Placement Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:39 | +4 | 50 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:40 | -3 | 43 | WLLDL |
| 10 | Emelec | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31:41 | -10 | 42 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 34 | 43:39 | 50 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 38:43 | 46 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 10 | Emelec | 34 | 31:41 | 42 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- Independiente del Valle vs Macara 06/09/26
- Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC 12/09/26
- LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca 13/09/26
- Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario 13/09/26
- Barcelona SC vs Delfin SC 14/09/26
- Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte 19/09/26
- Emelec vs Libertad 20/09/26
- Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC 20/09/26
About the Macara vs Emelec forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Macara and Emelec in the Liga Pro table
In the Liga Pro table, Macara are 3rd and Emelec 10th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Macara 41-33, Emelec 25-34. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.