Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario Prediction
Ecuador · Regular Season - 30
Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
Leones del Norte Rest
5 days
Tecnico Universitario Rest
8 days
Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario: result, form and history
Tecnico Universitario beat Leones del Norte 1-0 in the Liga Pro on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
157%1.91
X24%3.10
219%3.88
Double Chance
1X81%1.19
X243%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.97
No50%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.99 + 0.86 = 2.85
Over 1.576%1.39
Over 2.552%2.26
Over 3.531%4.20
Under 1.524%2.75
Under 2.548%1.59
Under 3.569%1.20
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
28'Yorlin Edwin Arce MinaFoul
36'Bagner DelgadoAssist: Luis Estupiñan
45'Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio INSegundo Portocarrero out
45'Jordan Eduardo Morán Cortez INBrian Gastón Kreiman out
53'Elian PepinosFoul
57'Segundo PortocarreroViolent conduct
60'Elian Pepinos INThomas Amilivia out
67'Yorlin Edwin Arce Mina INCarlos Cuero out
67'Johan Bocanegra INHeuyín Anel Guardia González out
69'E. Mesa INMarco Alexander Carrasco Bonilla out
69'Diego Armas INKener Arce out
74'Alexis Nicolás Monserrat INDario Pazmino out
77'Diego ArmasDissent
77'M. CórdobaDissent
78'Adrian CelaArgument
79'Luis Estupiñan INCesar Castano out
85'Patricio Madero INMaiky de la Cruz out
87'Emiliano GriffaDissent
90+6'A. MoralesFoul
Lineups
Leones del NorteTecnico Universitario
4-4-2Coach: Ismael BlancoAvg ratingAvg rating
45M. Ramírez
7M. Luque
23N. Monserrat
2J. Morán
50M. Yordan Caicedo Orobio
5T. Coppo
19O. Pepinos
29P. Madero
6E. Griffa
99C. Solano
40J. Luis Anangonó León
12A. Morales
23E. Mesa
13J. Anaya
5S. Mena
85Y. Arce
7L. Estupiñán
33J. Majao
29A. Cela
25B. Delgado
8D. Armas
10J. BocanegraLeones del Norte Substitutes
32A. Aguas
17T. Amilivia60'for Elian Pepinos
18J. Arellano
16M. de la Cruz85'for Patricio Madero
13O. Cabeza
14A. Rosales
25B. Kreiman45'for Jordan Eduardo Morán Cortez
70D. Pazmiño74'for Alexis Nicolás Monserrat
34S. Portocarrero45'for Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio57'
3F. Vargas
8C. Velez
1J. Congo
Tecnico Universitario Substitutes
1S. Razzeto
9H. Guardia67'for Johan Bocanegra
79C. Cuero67'for Yorlin Edwin Arce Mina
4Luis Mario Cordova Mina
19Anthony Castilo
15F. Castilllo
70C. Castaño79'for Luis Estupiñan
67M. Carrasco69'for E. Mesa
30Luis Arce Caicedo Kener69'for Diego Armas
Match Stats
Leones del NorteTecnico Universitario 63%Ball Possession37%
4Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
18Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots1
8Fouls13
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
482Total Passes288
398Passes Accurate202
83%Pass Accuracy70%
Team Comparison
Leones del NorteTecnico Universitario1513Elo Rating 1424
1.47Attack 1.34
1.15Defense 2.18
27%Hit Rate 41%
17.6Shots per Game 13.7
4.5Shots on Target 3.6
5.0Corners per Game 4.3
2.4Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Leones del Norte- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tecnico Universitario- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.3 in second half)
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Leones del Norte0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Tecnico Universitario1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
24/05/2026Tecnico UniversitarioLeones del Norte21
Recent Form
Leones del Norte3W3D4L
08/09/2026
Mushuc Runa SCLeones del Norte
03/09/2026Mushuc Runa SCLeones del Norte11
DLeones del Norte
Orense SC10
W31/08/2026
EmelecLeones del Norte
22/08/2026EmelecLeones del Norte21
LLeones del Norte
Independiente del Valle23
L15/08/2026
Manta FCLeones del Norte02
W08/08/2026
AucasLeones del Norte
03/08/2026AucasLeones del Norte30
LLeones del Norte
Barcelona SC11
D30/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte60
L26/07/2026
Delfin SCLeones del Norte
Delfin SCLeones del Norte01
W23/07/2026Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del NorteGuayaquil City FC11
DTecnico Universitario2W0D8L
05/09/2026Tecnico UniversitarioLDU de Quito
Tecnico UniversitarioLDU de Quito13
L01/09/2026Delfin SCTecnico Universitario
29/08/2026Delfin SCTecnico Universitario10
LTecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca31
W22/08/2026Tecnico UniversitarioGuayaquil City FC23
L16/08/2026EmelecTecnico Universitario
10/08/2026EmelecTecnico Universitario21
LTecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SC03
L01/08/2026
Universidad CatolicaTecnico Universitario50
L26/07/2026Tecnico UniversitarioManta FC10
W22/07/2026Independiente del ValleTecnico Universitario30
L19/07/2026Tecnico UniversitarioAucas01
LLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | WDLWW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | LDWLL |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | WLDLL |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LLDWW |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | LWLLD |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WWLLD |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | DWLWD |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LLWLL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | LWWDD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | DWDDL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | DWLLD |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | WLWWD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Placement Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 43:39 | +4 | 51 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 47 | DWLWD |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 46 | WWLLD |
| 10 | Emelec | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 42 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 35 | 43:39 | 51 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 35 | 38:43 | 47 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 35 | 39:40 | 46 |
| 10 | Emelec | 35 | 31:43 | 42 |
Liga Pro: Relegation Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 44 | LWWDD |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 40 | LDLDL |
| 13 | Orense SC | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 43:51 | -8 | 39 | DWDDL |
| 14 | Delfin SC | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 30:41 | -11 | 38 | WLWWD |
| 15 | Tecnico Universitario | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 34:47 | -13 | 37 | DWLLD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 22:49 | -27 | 27 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 35 | 31:42 | 44 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 39:46 | 40 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 35 | 43:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Delfin SC | 35 | 30:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Tecnico Universitario | 35 | 34:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 34 | 22:49 | 27 |
PromotionRelegation
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About the Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Leones del Norte and Tecnico Universitario in the Liga Pro table
In the Liga Pro table, Leones del Norte are 8th and Tecnico Universitario 14th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Leones del Norte 31-32, Tecnico Universitario 28-42. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Tecnico Universitario have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Leones del Norte and Tecnico Universitario have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.