Independiente del Valle vs Macara Prediction
Ecuador · Regular Season - 29
Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito 06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.41
SignalNEUTRALModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-9.2%
Independiente del Valle Rest
2 days
Macara Rest
3 days
Independiente del Valle vs Macara: the result in context
Independiente del Valle beat Macara 3-1 in the Liga Pro on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Independiente del Valle have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
166%1.41
X20%4.17
214%6.75
Double Chance
1X87%1.08
X234%2.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.88
No47%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.02 + 0.87 = 2.89
Over 1.577%1.22
Over 2.555%1.72
Over 3.533%2.78
Under 1.523%3.90
Under 2.545%1.99
Under 3.567%1.38
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
8'Djorkaeff ReascosAssist: Ronald Briones
10'Djorkaeff ReascosAssist: Ronald Briones
15'Ronald BrionesAssist: Matias Mijail Perello
32'S. Etchebarne INJairo Jimenez out
38'Junior SornozaDissent
45'Luis Loor INJordán Josué Mohor Nazareno out
45'Luca Agustín Ferro INMartín Alejandro Tello Escobar out
66'Franco PosseFoul
70'Edwin Quintero INAron Rodríguez out
70'J. Klinger INM. Viera out
70'Ronald Briones INJunior Sornoza out
70'Jordy Alcivar INHugo Quintana out
75'Djorkaeff Reascos INCarlos González out
75'Andy VelascoOG
77'Andy Velasco INRichard Schunke out
Lineups
Independiente del ValleMacara
4-2-3-1Coach: G. SanguinettiAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Quintana
4J. Espinoza
33A. René Velasco García2323J. Viacava
15G. Cortéz
6J. Alcívar
56E. Quintero
8Y. Ochoa
11M. Perelló
16R. Briones
99D. Reasco
1R. Rodriguez
25J. Bolaños
21S. Etchebarne
14J. Marrufo
13L. Ayala
5J. Estacio
16J. Cazares
28A. Campana
22L. Ferro
87J. Klinger
9F. PosseIndependiente del Valle Substitutes
70M. Peralta
31Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
19L. Loor
20A. Gómez
28H. Quintana70'for Jordy Alcivar
9C. González75'for Djorkaeff Reascos
52Y. Vásquez
10J. Sornoza38'70'for Ronald Briones
5R. Schunke77'for Andy Velasco
13Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
17A. Rodríguez70'for Edwin Quintero
57H. Quintero
Macara Substitutes
26M. Medranda
4J. Jiménez32'for S. Etchebarne
19P. Ramos
15M. Tello45'for Luca Agustín Ferro
20M. Viera70'for J. Klinger
3Juan Espinoza
52B. Coello
30T. Chamba
23N. Caicedo
12D. Cuero
27J. Mohor45'for Luis Loor
Match Stats
Independiente del ValleMacara 49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots4
5Fouls11
3Offsides2
7Goalkeeper Saves3
376Total Passes399
313Passes Accurate330
83%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
Independiente del ValleMacara1793Elo Rating 1689
0.86Attack 1.19
2.44Defense 2.38
36%Hit Rate 86%
11.3Shots per Game 13.8
4.3Shots on Target 4.7
5.9Corners per Game 4.4
1.5Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+104 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Independiente del Valle- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
Macara- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Independiente del Valle7Wins · 78%Draws111%
Macara1Wins · 11%
1Wins · 11%2.9Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9
Previous meetings
16/05/2026MacaraIndependiente del Valle03
12/07/2025MacaraIndependiente del Valle12
16/03/2025Independiente del ValleMacara11
24/11/2024Independiente del ValleMacara70
26/05/2024MacaraIndependiente del Valle01
25/09/2022Independiente del ValleMacara10
10/05/2022MacaraIndependiente del Valle01
01/08/2021Independiente del ValleMacara40
27/02/2021MacaraIndependiente del Valle31
Recent Form
Independiente del Valle8W1D1L
03/09/2026
Barcelona SCIndependiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
Universidad CatolicaIndependiente del Valle
Deportes Tolima
Leones del NorteIndependiente del ValleDeportes TolimaIndependiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
Delfin SC
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SCIndependiente del Valle
Barcelona SCIndependiente del Valle21
L29/08/2026Independiente del ValleUniversidad Catolica22
D26/08/2026Independiente del ValleDeportes Tolima31
W22/08/2026Leones del NorteIndependiente del Valle23
W19/08/2026Deportes TolimaIndependiente del Valle01
W15/08/2026Independiente del ValleDelfin SC32
W08/08/2026LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle02
W02/08/2026Independiente del ValleDeportivo Cuenca10
W30/07/2026Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
26/07/2026Independiente del ValleManta FC10
WOrense SCIndependiente del Valle23
WMacara5W2D3L
02/09/2026MacaraManta FC
MacaraManta FC43
W30/08/2026Orense SCMacara
Orense SCMacara12
W25/08/2026
LibertadMacara
21/08/2026LibertadMacara10
LMacara
Santos00
D18/08/2026MacaraUniversidad Catolica
14/08/2026MacaraUniversidad Catolica11
DSantosMacara21
L09/08/2026Barcelona SCMacara12
W02/08/2026Macara
Guayaquil City FC21
W29/07/2026
Gualaceo SCMacara
Gualaceo SCMacara4131
L26/07/2026
AucasMacara
AucasMacara14
WLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LDLLD |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LWLLL |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WWDDD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | WDDLL |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | WLLDW |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWWDD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Championship Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 75:35 | +40 | 78 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 47:35 | +12 | 63 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 53:31 | +22 | 53 | DWLLW |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 37:29 | +8 | 53 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 51 | LDLLD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 38:28 | +10 | 48 | WLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 75:35 | 78 |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 47:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 53:31 | 53 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 37:29 | 53 |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 36:37 | 51 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 38:28 | 48 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC 02/09/26
- Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle 03/09/26
- Leones del Norte vs Orense SC 03/09/26
- Libertad vs Emelec 04/09/26
- Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC 12/09/26
- LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca 13/09/26
- Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario 13/09/26
- Macara vs Emelec 13/09/26
About the Independiente del Valle vs Macara forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Independiente del Valle and Macara in the Liga Pro table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Independiente del Valle are 1st in the Liga Pro, 23 points ahead of Macara in 3rd. League goal record so far: Independiente del Valle 73-33, Macara 41-33. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.