Libertad vs Emelec Prediction
Ecuador · Regular Season - 28
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Libertad vs Emelec: result, form and history
Libertad and Emelec drew 1-1 in the Liga Pro on 4 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 7 matches. Referee L. Quinonez averages 3.70 cards a game, 1.05 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Libertad
Avg ratingAvg rating
12D. Cabezas
17E. Patta
6B. Caicedo
2R. Morinigo
19O. Quiñónez
20J. Rodríguez
70V. Germán Branda Merlín
63C. Valencia
80X. Pineda
49D. Coronel
33A. Chére
1M. Alfredo Valero Sánchez
13L. Fernando Gómez Angulo
27F. León
2A. Leguizamón
30M. Ariel Mina Ibarra
15L. Fragozo
5A. Mina
32J. Valverde
19J. Ruíz
10F. Pizzini
9R. CarrilloLibertad Substitutes
Emelec Substitutes
Match Stats
LibertadEmelec Team Comparison
LibertadEmelecAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Libertad- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Emelec- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Libertad1Wins · 14%2Wins · 29%Previous meetings
10/05/2026EmelecLibertad04/08/2025LibertadEmelec12/04/2025EmelecLibertad30/11/2024LibertadEmelec02/06/2024EmelecLibertad05/08/2023LibertadEmelec27/02/2023EmelecLibertadRecent Form
Libertad
AucasLibertadLibertad
Macara
Guayaquil City FCLibertadLibertad
Universidad CatolicaLibertad
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SCLibertadLibertad
Delfin SC
Barcelona SCLibertadLibertad
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de QuitoLibertadEmelecEmelec
Leones del NorteLDU de QuitoEmelecEmelecTecnico UniversitarioGuayaquil City FCEmelecEmelecAucas
Deportivo CuencaEmelecEmelecMushuc Runa SC
Independiente del ValleEmelecOrense SCEmelecEmelecBarcelona SCReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.70 cards a match, 1.05 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.75).
Cards come from 20 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LDLLD |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WWDDD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | WLLDW |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWWDD |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Placement Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:39 | +4 | 50 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:40 | -3 | 43 | WLLDL |
| 10 | Emelec | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31:41 | -10 | 42 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 34 | 43:39 | 50 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 38:43 | 46 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 10 | Emelec | 34 | 31:41 | 42 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- Aucas vs Libertad 30/08/26
- LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC 02/09/26
- Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle 03/09/26
- Leones del Norte vs Orense SC 03/09/26
- Independiente del Valle vs Macara 06/09/26
- Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC 12/09/26
- LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca 13/09/26
- Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario 13/09/26
About the Libertad vs Emelec forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Libertad and Emelec in the Liga Pro table
In the Liga Pro table, Libertad are 7th and Emelec 10th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Libertad 33-34, Emelec 25-34. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.