Estrela vs Famalicao Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Estrela vs Famalicao: the result in context
Estrela and Famalicao drew 2-2 in the Primeira Liga on 5 Sep 2026. Estrela had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Famalicao.
Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Estrela
Avg ratingAvg rating
24L. Linck
21M. Scholze
30L. Patrick
5S. Lekovic
55R. Soares
39G. Doue
71E. Pedro Vanga
99A. Marcus
14L. Zvonarek
10I. Stoica
37L. Antonetti
25L. Carevic
17R. Pinheiro
3L. Realpe
4F. van Breemen
28P. Bondo
14M. De Amorim
8M. Pena
18R. Beney
19P. Moreira
7Sorriso
70G. KoutsiasEstrela Substitutes
Famalicao Substitutes
Match Stats
EstrelaFamalicao Team Comparison
EstrelaFamalicaoAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Estrela- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
Famalicao- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Estrela2Wins · 33%1Wins · 17%Previous meetings
11/05/2026EstrelaFamalicao27/12/2025FamalicaoEstrela25/01/2025FamalicaoEstrela19/08/2024EstrelaFamalicao16/03/2024FamalicaoEstrela29/10/2023EstrelaFamalicaoRecent Form
Estrela
NacionalEstrela
AlvercaEstrelaEstrela
Sporting CPEstrela
Al-Nassr
MaritimoEstrelaEstrela
Lusitano Évora 1911Estrela
PortimonenseEstrelaNacionalEstrela
Casa PiaEstrela
Naval 1893FamalicaoFamalicao
GIL Vicente
Santa ClaraFamalicaoFamalicaoMaritimo
EstorilFamalicaoFamalicao
ComoFamalicao
TondelaFamalicao
AroucaFamalicao
PenafielFamalicao
Lusitânia LourosaFamalicao
Famalicão U23Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.15 cards a match, 0.44 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.59).
Cards come from 75 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 | LWDDW |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 | LWDWW |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 21:4 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 9 | 21:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 9 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 5:17 | 7 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 8:21 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 5:15 | 2 |
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About the Estrela vs Famalicao forecast
The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Estrela and Famalicao in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Estrela (12th) and Famalicao (11th) are level on 10 points. League goal record so far: Estrela 14-17, Famalicao 14-11. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.