Santa Clara vs Rio Ave Prediction

Santa Clara
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Rio Ave
A. Rodrigues 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Santa Clara Rest
8 days
Rio Ave Rest
8 days

Santa Clara vs Rio Ave: the result in context

Santa Clara beat Rio Ave 4-0 in the Primeira Liga on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Referee A. Rodrigues averages 4.63 cards a game, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.84
X
26%3.26
2
24%4.52
Double Chance
1X
76%1.20
X2
50%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%2.00
No
63%1.74
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 0.86 = 2.30
Over 1.5
37%1.39
Over 2.5
19%2.21
Over 3.5
17%4.05
Under 1.5
63%2.89
Under 2.5
81%1.65
Under 3.5
83%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4 = 9.5
Over 8.5
53%1.60
Over 9.5
40%2.00
Over 10.5
31%2.54
Under 8.5
47%2.12
Under 9.5
60%1.73
Under 10.5
69%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.8 = 3.4
Over 3.5
43%1.41
Over 4.5
25%1.89
Under 3.5
57%2.50
Under 4.5
75%1.82

Match Events

3'Brenner Lucas Goncalves SantosAssist: Vinicius lopes
45'Diogo Bezerra INMalik Sellouki out
45'Marios Vrushai INPedro Amaral out
45'Dario Špikić INSebastian Clemensen out
47'Tiago RibeiroAssist: Gonçalo Paciência
52'Vinicius lopes
64'Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro INRoland Galcik out
66'Tiago Ribeiro INDani Borges out
66'Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos INLuiz Fernando Salles De Castro out
76'Vinicius lopes INJoao Vasconcelos out
76'Gonçalo Paciência INLuis Fernando Santos Oliveira out
77'Andreas Ntoi INJoão Tomé Baptista out
83'Tamas NikitscherFoul
84'Dani Borges
85'José Tavares INFrederico Medeiros Silva out
90'Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira

Lineups

Santa Clara
4-2-3-1Coach: Petit
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Silaidopoulos
Avg rating7.39
Avg rating5.96
Lucas França7.01L. França
Lucas Soares7.642L. Soares
Pedro Pacheco7.74P. Pacheco
Emanuel Fernandes7.421E. Fernandes
Guilherme Romão7.65G. Romão
Pedro Ferreira7.26P. Ferreira
José Luís Rocha Tavares7.08J. Luís Rocha Tavares
Vinícius Lopes9.070V. Lopes
Tiago Ribeiro8.020T. Ribeiro
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos8.210B. Lucas Gonçalves Santos
Gonçalo Paciência7.59G. Paciência
E. van der Gouw5.999E. van der Gouw
G. Liavas5.554G. Liavas
F. Petrasso6.123F. Petrasso
Gustavo Mancha6.039G. Mancha
M. Vrousai5.817M. Vrousai
T. Nikitscher6.244T. Nikitscher
A. Ntoi5.55A. Ntoi
Diogo Bezerra5.97D. Bezerra
J. Blesa6.211J. Blesa
D. Špikić5.777D. Špikić
Tamble Monteiro6.69T. Monteiro

Santa Clara Substitutes

99Sorriso66'for Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos6.5
25F. Medeiros85'for José Tavares6.5
11Welinton Torrão
12Neneca
3Henrique Silva
22Vitinho
41Daniel Borges66'for Tiago Ribeiro84'6.8
18A. Duarte
73Léo Jacó
80Tiago Ribeiro Duarte
7Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira76'replaced by Gonçalo Paciência90'
17João Vasconcelos76'for Vinicius lopes6.8

Rio Ave Substitutes

22K. Chamorro
79M. Patricio
20João Tomé77'for Andreas Ntoi5.7
30R. Galčík64'for Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro6.3
24Pedro Amaral45'for Marios Vrushai5.8
80S. Clemmensen45'for Dario Špikić6.4
60Caike
27T. Medina
98Rodrigo Ramos Real
19M. Sellouki45'for Diogo Bezerra6.0
70A. Wenck
67Samuel

Match Stats

Santa ClaraRio Ave
59%Ball Possession41%
8Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots5
6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal1
14Shots Inside Box3
2Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots1
12Fouls9
3Goalkeeper Saves2
502Total Passes356
447Passes Accurate301
89%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Santa ClaraSanta Clara
Rio AveRio Ave
1691Elo Rating 1573
1.66Attack 1.45
2.30Defense 1.29
54%Hit Rate 50%
12.9Shots per Game 8.5
3.2Shots on Target 4.9
5.5Corners per Game 4.6
4.2Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+118 Elo
📈BTTS Trend44% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Santa ClaraSanta Clara
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
Rio AveRio Ave
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Santa ClaraSanta Clara3Wins · 34%
Draws333%
Rio AveRio Ave3Wins · 33%
2.0Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
22%3+ goals2 of 9

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga11/04/2026
Santa ClaraRio Ave
02
Primeira Liga30/11/2025
Rio AveSanta Clara
11
Primeira Liga18/04/2025
Rio AveSanta Clara
11
Primeira Liga07/12/2024
Santa ClaraRio Ave
10
Primeira Liga17/03/2023
Santa ClaraRio Ave
02
Primeira Liga02/10/2022
Rio AveSanta Clara
10
Taça da Liga22/09/2021
Rio AveSanta Clara
22
Primeira Liga11/05/2021
Santa ClaraRio Ave
10
Primeira Liga25/01/2021
Rio AveSanta Clara
12

Recent Form

Santa ClaraSanta Clara
6W3D1L
29/08/2026
AlvercaSanta Clara
11
D
23/08/2026
Santa ClaraFamalicao
10
W
15/08/2026
Academico ViseuSanta Clara
01
W
10/08/2026
Santa ClaraNacional
22
D
25/07/2026
Santa ClaraArouca
30
W
22/07/2026
Santa ClaraFelgueiras 1932
11
D
22/07/2026
Santa ClaraMoreirense
21
W
18/07/2026
Santa ClaraParedes
20
W
15/07/2026
Santa ClaraLeça
40
W
16/05/2026
FC PortoSanta Clara
10
L
Rio AveRio Ave
4W2D4L
28/08/2026
Rio AveSporting CP
04
L
22/08/2026
EstorilRio Ave
02
W
15/08/2026
Rio AveFC Porto
02
L
09/08/2026
GIL VicenteRio Ave
10
L
01/08/2026
Rio AveTondela
31
W
19/07/2026
Rio AveAl-Ahli Jeddah
22
D
15/07/2026
PortimonenseRio Ave
03
W
11/07/2026
Rio AveArouca
21
W
16/05/2026
Casa PiaRio Ave
11
D
11/05/2026
Rio AveSporting CP
14
L

Referee Profile

A. Rodrigues93 matches

4.63Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Rodrigues4.63
Other referees5.28

4.63 cards a match, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.28).

Cards come from 38 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto990021:4+1727WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica971126:8+1822WWLWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP953121:11+1018LWDDW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara953113:6+718LWDWW
5AroucaArouca952212:7+517WWDLD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu952213:11+217WWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238:7+114LWWDL
8AlvercaAlverca932413:13011LWWWL
9SC BragaSC Braga93249:11-211LLLDW
10MoreirenseMoreirense932411:16-511WLDWL
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314:11+310WLWDD
12EstrelaEstrela924314:17-310LLLDW
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510:1008WLDLD
14MaritimoMaritimo92259:19-108LLDLL
15NacionalNacional921610:18-87WLLLL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia92165:17-127WLWLD
17Rio AveRio Ave92168:21-137LWLDL
18EstorilEstoril90275:15-102LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto921:427
2BenficaBenfica926:822
3Sporting CPSporting CP921:1118
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara913:618
5AroucaArouca912:717
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu913:1117
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente98:714
8AlvercaAlverca913:1311
9SC BragaSC Braga99:1111
10MoreirenseMoreirense911:1611
11FamalicaoFamalicao914:1110
12EstrelaEstrela914:1710
13Vitória SCVitória SC910:108
14MaritimoMaritimo99:198
15NacionalNacional910:187
16Casa PiaCasa Pia95:177
17Rio AveRio Ave98:217
18EstorilEstoril95:152
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Santa Clara vs Rio Ave forecast

The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Santa Clara and Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga table

The table shows a wide gap: Santa Clara are 4th in the Primeira Liga, while Rio Ave sit 17th, 11 points behind. League goal record so far: Santa Clara 13-6, Rio Ave 8-21. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.