Estoril vs Arouca Prediction

Estoril
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Arouca
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril·F. Verissimo 07/09/2026
EstorilEstoril
0-0
Finished
AroucaArouca

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.66
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Estoril Rest
7 days
Arouca Rest
9 days

Estoril vs Arouca: result, form and history

Estoril and Arouca drew 0-0 in the Primeira Liga on 7 Sep 2026. Arouca had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against none for Estoril.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.8 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them. Referee F. Verissimo averages 5.86 cards a game, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.62
X
32%3.40
2
29%2.62
Double Chance
1X
71%1.44
X2
61%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.62
No
48%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.21 = 2.48
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
48%1.84
Over 3.5
25%3.02
Under 1.5
26%3.67
Under 2.5
52%1.97
Under 3.5
75%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.9 = 9.9
Over 8.5
65%1.52
Over 9.5
54%1.86
Over 10.5
43%2.40
Under 8.5
35%2.35
Under 9.5
46%1.84
Under 10.5
57%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.9 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.28
Over 4.5
34%1.60
Under 3.5
46%3.27
Under 4.5
66%2.21

Match Events

30'Antef TsounguiFoul
45'Francisco Reis FerreiraDissent
45'Espen van Ee INPedro Santos out
45'Antef Tsoungui INJordan Arnolin out
71'Jordan ArnolinFoul
72'João CarvalhoFoul
75'Fabrício Garcia INAndré Tiago Ramos das Neves out
75'Pablo Gozálbez INMateo Flores out
75'Iván Barbero INDylan Nandín out
79'Ricard Sanchez Sendra INPedro Carvalho out
79'André Lacximicant INRafik Guitane out
85'Alfonso Trezza INBrian Mansilla out
85'Jordan Holsgrove INTiago Brito out
86'Brian MansillaFoul

Lineups

Estoril
4-2-3-1Coach: Vasco Matos
Arouca
4-2-3-1Coach: Vasco Seabra
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.84
Joel Robles6.91J. Robles
Ricard Sánchez6.62R. Sánchez
Ferro6.84Ferro
Isma Sierra7.415I. Sierra
Fernando Medrano7.33F. Medrano
A. Tsoungui6.25A. Tsoungui
J. Holsgrove7.210J. Holsgrove
André Lacximicant6.47A. Lacximicant
João Carvalho6.512J. Carvalho
Fabrício Garcia6.598F. Garcia
Y. Begraoui6.314Y. Begraoui
I. de Arruabarrena8.812I. de Arruabarrena
Tiago Esgaio6.728T. Esgaio
B. Popović7.35B. Popović
José Fontán7.33J. Fontán
O. Lebedenko7.218O. Lebedenko
E. van Ee6.26E. van Ee
T. Fukui6.68T. Fukui
A. Trezza6.819A. Trezza
Pablo Gozálbez6.910P. Gozálbez
N. Djouahra6.57N. Djouahra
Barbero6.317Barbero

Estoril Substitutes

17Peixinho75'for Fabrício Garcia7.0
22Pedro Carvalho79'for Ricard Sanchez Sendra6.1
42J. Arnolin45'for Antef Tsoungui71'6.1
43fletcher lowe
16M. Turk6.9
80Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes
35S. Amissah
90Tiago Brito85'for Jordan Holsgrove6.6
9A. Camblan
99R. Guitane79'for André Lacximicant6.7
19Tiago Parreira Parente

Arouca Substitutes

37Mario Climent
21Mateo Flores75'for Pablo Gozálbez6.3
24B. Mansilla85'for Alfonso Trezza86'6.1
9F. Mayulu
4Diogo Monteiro
23D. Nandín75'for Iván Barbero6.4
77S. Park
89Pedro Santos45'for Espen van Ee7.2
1J. Vinarčík
27Mamadu Balde
71M. Duarte

Match Stats

EstorilArouca
47%Ball Possession53%
8Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal8
10Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots2
12Fouls9
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves8
449Total Passes499
359Passes Accurate422
80%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

EstorilEstoril
AroucaArouca
1537Elo Rating 1699
0.69Attack 1.62
1.72Defense 1.70
0%Hit Rate 46%
14.6Shots per Game 12.8
6.2Shots on Target 4.0
5.4Corners per Game 3.7
3.0Cards per Game 3.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EstorilEstoril
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AroucaArouca
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

EstorilEstoril4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
AroucaArouca5Wins · 50%
3.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga06/04/2026
AroucaEstoril
32
Primeira Liga07/11/2025
EstorilArouca
43
Primeira Liga16/03/2025
AroucaEstoril
11
Primeira Liga26/10/2024
EstorilArouca
41
Primeira Liga20/01/2024
EstorilArouca
12
Primeira Liga13/08/2023
AroucaEstoril
43
Primeira Liga15/05/2023
EstorilArouca
20
Primeira Liga07/01/2023
AroucaEstoril
20
Primeira Liga27/01/2022
EstorilArouca
12
Primeira Liga07/08/2021
AroucaEstoril
02

Recent Form

EstorilEstoril
1W4D5L
31/08/2026
BenficaEstoril
21
L
22/08/2026
EstorilRio Ave
02
L
16/08/2026
NacionalEstoril
20
L
07/08/2026
EstorilFamalicao
11
D
31/07/2026
CF Os BelenensesEstoril
11
D
25/07/2026
EstorilTorreense
00
D
22/07/2026
AlvercaEstoril
20
L
11/07/2026
EstorilAtlético CP
30
W
16/05/2026
EstorilBenfica
13
L
10/05/2026
AlvercaEstoril
11
D
AroucaArouca
5W2D3L
29/08/2026
AroucaMaritimo
21
W
23/08/2026
FC PortoArouca
20
L
16/08/2026
AroucaMoreirense
40
W
08/08/2026
GuimaraesArouca
01
W
01/08/2026
Lusitânia LourosaArouca
02
W
25/07/2026
Santa ClaraArouca
30
L
22/07/2026
FamalicaoArouca
00
D
18/07/2026
FeirenseArouca
00
D
11/07/2026
Rio AveArouca
21
L
16/05/2026
AroucaTondela
31
W

Referee Profile

F. Verissimo226 matches

5.86Cards per match
5.60Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
28.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

F. Verissimo5.86
Other referees5.35

5.86 cards a match, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.35).

Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto990021:4+1727WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica971126:8+1822WWLWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP953121:11+1018LWDDW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara953113:6+718LWDWW
5AroucaArouca952212:7+517WWDLD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu952213:11+217WWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238:7+114LWWDL
8AlvercaAlverca932413:13011LWWWL
9SC BragaSC Braga93249:11-211LLLDW
10MoreirenseMoreirense932411:16-511WLDWL
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314:11+310WLWDD
12EstrelaEstrela924314:17-310LLLDW
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510:1008WLDLD
14MaritimoMaritimo92259:19-108LLDLL
15NacionalNacional921610:18-87WLLLL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia92165:17-127WLWLD
17Rio AveRio Ave92168:21-137LWLDL
18EstorilEstoril90275:15-102LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto921:427
2BenficaBenfica926:822
3Sporting CPSporting CP921:1118
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara913:618
5AroucaArouca912:717
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu913:1117
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente98:714
8AlvercaAlverca913:1311
9SC BragaSC Braga99:1111
10MoreirenseMoreirense911:1611
11FamalicaoFamalicao914:1110
12EstrelaEstrela914:1710
13Vitória SCVitória SC910:108
14MaritimoMaritimo99:198
15NacionalNacional910:187
16Casa PiaCasa Pia95:177
17Rio AveRio Ave98:217
18EstorilEstoril95:152
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Estoril vs Arouca forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Estoril and Arouca in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, Arouca are 5th and Estoril 18th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Estoril 5-15, Arouca 12-7. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Arouca have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.