Vitória SC vs Casa Pia Prediction

Vitória SC
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Casa Pia
G. Correia 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.86
SignalNEUTRALModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
Vitória SC Rest
5 days
Casa Pia Rest
7 days

Vitória SC vs Casa Pia: the result in context

Vitória SC and Casa Pia drew 0-0 in the Primeira Liga on 6 Sep 2026. Vitória SC had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Casa Pia.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 0.9 goals a game. Referee G. Correia averages 6.08 cards a game, 0.67 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.48
X
29%4.10
2
18%6.75
Double Chance
1X
82%1.10
X2
47%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.10
No
55%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 0.89 = 2.41
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
46%2.00
Over 3.5
25%3.50
Under 1.5
26%3.30
Under 2.5
54%1.81
Under 3.5
75%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4 = 9.4
Over 8.5
53%1.61
Over 9.5
40%2.00
Over 10.5
31%2.54
Under 8.5
47%2.15
Under 9.5
60%1.73
Under 10.5
69%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
55%1.54
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
45%2.20

Match Events

29'André Gomes INIvan Mandic out
45'Kevin Prieto INJoão Pedro out
57'Benjamin Pauwels INMohamed Salah El Boukammiri out
57'Alassana Jatta INHenrique Araújo out
62'Gustavo SilvaArgument
62'Ivan MandicArgument
63'Alioune Ndoye INArnel Jakupović out
66'Tiago Miguel Carvalho MargaridoDissent
70'Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira INJoão Goulart out
70'Miguel Nogueira INOumar Camara out
71'Ahmed Sidibé INÓscar Rivas out
72'João PedroFoul
86'Balieiro ThiagoFoul
87'Lohann Doucet INPatrick Ouotro out
87'Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva INGonçalo Nogueira out

Lineups

Vitória SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Tiago Margarido
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1Coach: Filipe Coelho
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.66
O. Zych7.048O. Zych
T. Strata7.223T. Strata
Thiago Balieiro6.828T. Balieiro
A. Sidibé7.15A. Sidibé
João Mendes6.913J. Mendes
Beni7.216Beni
L. Doucet7.544L. Doucet
Miguel Nogueira6.717M. Nogueira
Samu6.220Samu
Gustavo6.711Gustavo
A. Ndoye7.424A. Ndoye
André Gomes6.631A. Gomes
Geraldes6.418Geraldes
Kaly7.03Kaly
David Sousa6.843D. Sousa
Pedro Rosas7.075P. Rosas
Silvi6.716Silvi
L. Ofori6.180L. Ofori
K. Prieto6.319K. Prieto
João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo6.970J. Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
B. Pauwels6.277B. Pauwels
A. Jatta6.520A. Jatta

Vitória SC Substitutes

56S. Verdi
7O. Camara70'for Miguel Nogueira6.9
22J. Castillo
9A. Jakupovic63'for Alioune Ndoye6.6
82F. Dias
6M. Mitrović
19V. Andersson
29V. Ouotro87'for Lohann Doucet6.4
4Óscar Rivas71'for Ahmed Sidibé6.5
2Miguel Maga
18Telmo Arcanjo
8Gonçalo Nogueira87'for Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva6.5

Casa Pia Substitutes

10Rochinha
59Abdu Dafe
90Cassiano
8Gabi Pereira
4João Goulart70'for Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira6.6
95Ivan Mandić29'for André Gomes62'8.0
17E. Maurin
9Henrique Araújo57'for Alassana Jatta6.4
24S. Pérez
11M. El Boukammiri57'for Benjamin Pauwels6.5
21A. Zouin
98João Trevisol45'for Kevin Prieto72'6.3

Match Stats

Vitória SCCasa Pia
74%Ball Possession26%
17Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
29Total Shots7
8Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box4
12Shots Outside Box3
11Blocked Shots0
16Fouls6
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves7
550Total Passes191
454Passes Accurate107
83%Pass Accuracy56%

Team Comparison

Vitória SCVitória SC
Casa PiaCasa Pia
1608Elo Rating 1576
1.88Attack 1.24
2.16Defense 2.08
50%Hit Rate 66%
15.1Shots per Game 9.9
5.2Shots on Target 3.5
5.7Corners per Game 4.3
3.4Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend11% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Vitória SCVitória SC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Casa PiaCasa Pia
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Vitória SCVitória SC2Wins · 22%
Draws445%
Casa PiaCasa Pia3Wins · 33%
0.9Avg Goals
11%Both teams scored1 of 9
0%3+ goals0 of 9

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga11/05/2026
GuimaraesCasa Pia
01
Primeira Liga28/12/2025
Casa PiaGuimaraes
00
Primeira Liga01/03/2025
GuimaraesCasa Pia
10
Primeira Liga28/09/2024
Casa PiaGuimaraes
11
Primeira Liga24/02/2024
GuimaraesCasa Pia
02
Primeira Liga23/09/2023
Casa PiaGuimaraes
00
Primeira Liga19/02/2023
Casa PiaGuimaraes
00
Primeira Liga29/08/2022
GuimaraesCasa Pia
01
Taça da Liga01/08/2021
Casa PiaGuimaraes
01

Recent Form

Vitória SCVitória SC
5W1D4L
31/08/2026
SC BragaVitória SC
10
L
23/08/2026
Vitória SCNacional
10
W
14/08/2026
Sporting CPVitória SC
32
L
08/08/2026
Vitória SCArouca
01
L
01/08/2026
Vitória SCChaves
20
W
26/07/2026
Vitória SCNottingham Forest
11
D
24/07/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahVitória SC
13
W
18/07/2026
Vitória SCAcademica
20
W
11/07/2026
Vitória SCFelgueiras 1932
31
W
16/05/2026
NacionalVitória SC
20
L
Casa PiaCasa Pia
2W2D6L
30/08/2026
Casa PiaMoreirense
01
L
24/08/2026
GIL VicenteCasa Pia
20
L
17/08/2026
Casa PiaBenfica
07
L
08/08/2026
MaritimoCasa Pia
10
L
01/08/2026
LeixoesCasa Pia
62
L
25/07/2026
Benfica BCasa Pia
10
L
18/07/2026
EstrelaCasa Pia
12
W
28/05/2026
Casa PiaTorreense
20
W
20/05/2026
TorreenseCasa Pia
00
D
16/05/2026
Casa PiaRio Ave
11
D

Referee Profile

G. Correia172 matches

6.08Cards per match
5.67Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
29.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

G. Correia6.08
Other referees5.41

6.08 cards a match, 0.67 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.41).

Cards come from 119 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto990021:4+1727WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica971126:8+1822WWLWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP953121:11+1018LWDDW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara953113:6+718LWDWW
5AroucaArouca952212:7+517WWDLD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu952213:11+217WWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238:7+114LWWDL
8AlvercaAlverca932413:13011LWWWL
9SC BragaSC Braga93249:11-211LLLDW
10MoreirenseMoreirense932411:16-511WLDWL
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314:11+310WLWDD
12EstrelaEstrela924314:17-310LLLDW
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510:1008WLDLD
14MaritimoMaritimo92259:19-108LLDLL
15NacionalNacional921610:18-87WLLLL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia92165:17-127WLWLD
17Rio AveRio Ave92168:21-137LWLDL
18EstorilEstoril90275:15-102LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto921:427
2BenficaBenfica926:822
3Sporting CPSporting CP921:1118
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara913:618
5AroucaArouca912:717
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu913:1117
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente98:714
8AlvercaAlverca913:1311
9SC BragaSC Braga99:1111
10MoreirenseMoreirense911:1611
11FamalicaoFamalicao914:1110
12EstrelaEstrela914:1710
13Vitória SCVitória SC910:108
14MaritimoMaritimo99:198
15NacionalNacional910:187
16Casa PiaCasa Pia95:177
17Rio AveRio Ave98:217
18EstorilEstoril95:152
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About the Vitória SC vs Casa Pia forecast

The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vitória SC and Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, Vitória SC are 13th and Casa Pia 16th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Vitória SC 10-10, Casa Pia 5-17. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.