Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano Prediction

Primera B MetropolitanaArgentina Argentina · Regular Season - 41
Excursionistas
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 24/10/2026
ExcursionistasExcursionistas
4-0
Finished
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.31
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-12.1%
Value Analysis
78%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.31
SignalSTRONGModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Excursionistas Rest
7 days
Sportivo Italiano Rest
7 days

Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano: the result in context

Excursionistas beat Sportivo Italiano 4-0 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.31
X
24%4.35
2
13%9.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.04
X2
37%3.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%2.50
No
63%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 0.81 = 2.07
Over 1.5
67%1.30
Over 2.5
43%1.97
Over 3.5
23%3.38
Under 1.5
33%3.08
Under 2.5
57%1.73
Under 3.5
77%1.27
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'D. Ledesma
23'A. Daivez
26'C. Ordonez
30'E. Merzario
31'M. Arango
32'(Penalty missed)
39'G. Tellas
77'M. Lopez

Team Comparison

ExcursionistasExcursionistas
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
1626Elo Rating 1560
2.51Attack 1.00
2.61Defense 1.59
61%Hit Rate 50%

Game State Tendencies

ExcursionistasExcursionistas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1 in second half)
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ExcursionistasExcursionistas3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano3Wins · 30%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana13/06/2026
Sportivo ItalianoExcursionistas
01
Primera B Metropolitana02/08/2025
Sportivo ItalianoExcursionistas
21
Primera B Metropolitana16/03/2025
ExcursionistasSportivo Italiano
20
Primera B Metropolitana11/07/2024
ExcursionistasSportivo Italiano
11
Primera B Metropolitana20/02/2024
Sportivo ItalianoExcursionistas
03
Primera C05/07/2023
ExcursionistasSportivo Italiano
11
Primera C26/02/2023
Sportivo ItalianoExcursionistas
00
Primera C20/06/2022
Sportivo ItalianoExcursionistas
20
Primera C12/02/2022
ExcursionistasSportivo Italiano
11
Primera C29/08/2021
Sportivo ItalianoExcursionistas
30

Recent Form

ExcursionistasExcursionistas
7W1D2L
17/10/2026
San Martín BurzacoExcursionistas
11
D10/10/2026
ExcursionistasVilla San Carlos
40
W03/10/2026
LiniersExcursionistas
10
L26/09/2026
ExcursionistasReal Pilar
30
W19/09/2026
UAI UrquizaExcursionistas
12
W
13/09/2026
ExcursionistasVilla Dalmine
30
W
08/09/2026
ExcursionistasItuzaingó
21
W
29/08/2026
Arsenal SarandiExcursionistas
30
L
26/08/2026
ExcursionistasArgentino de Merlo
20
W
22/08/2026
Talleres RemediosExcursionistas
12
W
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
5W2D3L
17/10/2026
Sportivo ItalianoArsenal Sarandi
00
D11/10/2026
Argentino de MerloSportivo Italiano
12
W04/10/2026
Sportivo ItalianoTalleres Remedios
20
W27/09/2026
Deportivo LaferrereSportivo Italiano
12
W19/09/2026
Sportivo ItalianoBrown DE Adrogue
00
D12/09/2026
Deportivo ArmenioSportivo Italiano
10
L05/09/2026
Sportivo ItalianoFlandria
31
W
29/08/2026
Argentino QuilmesSportivo Italiano
02
W
25/08/2026
Sportivo ItalianoDefensores Unidos
02
L
21/08/2026
ComunicacionesSportivo Italiano
10
L

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas42249969:33+3681LWDWL
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi422114756:28+2877DWDWL
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4220121048:33+1572WLDWW
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4220111146:27+1971LWLDL
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4219131050:35+1570WLWDL
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4218141040:28+1268LWLDL
7Real PilarReal Pilar4218121245:41+466DWDLW
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4217121343:40+363DLDDW
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4215151240:35+560WLDDD
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4215141351:53-259DWWDW
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4212151541:46-551DLWLW
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4212151543:49-651LLDLW
13Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4213111839:45-650WWLLL
14FlandriaFlandria4213101940:50-1049DWWWD
15Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4211161540:55-1549DLWDD
16LiniersLiniers4211151636:43-748WLDDW
17Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4210171533:41-847LWLDD
18Dock SudDock Sud4211141742:51-947LLLLL
19Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4210161635:41-646DWDLD
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4210161626:38-1246WLDWD
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza428211328:38-1045WWDWW
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó421142728:69-4117LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4269:3381
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4256:2877
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4248:3372
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4246:2771
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4250:3570
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4240:2868
7Real PilarReal Pilar4245:4166
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4243:4063
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4240:3560
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4251:5359
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4241:4651
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4243:4951
13Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4239:4550
14FlandriaFlandria4240:5049
15Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4240:5549
16LiniersLiniers4236:4348
17Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4233:4147
18Dock SudDock Sud4242:5147
19Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4235:4146
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4226:3846
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4228:3845
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4228:6917
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About the Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B Metropolitana match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Excursionistas and Sportivo Italiano in the Primera B Metropolitana table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Excursionistas are 1st in the Primera B Metropolitana, 9 points ahead of Sportivo Italiano in 3rd. League goal record so far: Excursionistas 69-33, Sportivo Italiano 48-33. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Excursionistas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.