Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town Prediction

Exeter City
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Fleetwood Town
St James Park, Exeter 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseHighGap-2.7%
Exeter City Rest
3 days
Fleetwood Town Rest
3 days

Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: the result in context

Exeter City beat Fleetwood Town 2-1 in the League Two on 24 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Exeter City had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Fleetwood Town.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.38
X
30%3.12
2
30%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.36
X2
60%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.78
No
47%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.12 = 2.61
Over 1.5
72%1.34
Over 2.5
48%2.04
Over 3.5
27%3.74
Under 1.5
28%3.00
Under 2.5
52%1.73
Under 3.5
73%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.6 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.47
Over 9.5
51%1.83
Over 10.5
39%2.29
Under 8.5
37%2.44
Under 9.5
49%1.87
Under 10.5
61%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

35'Taylor PerryFoul
45'Taylor Perry INReece Cole out
58'Charlie CumminsAssist: Reece Cole
60'Jack FitzwaterFoul
61'Ronan CoughlanAssist: Crispin McLean
61'Finley Potter INDanny Andrew out
61'Ched Evans INR. Cirino out
63'Anthony Scully INEthan Sutherland out
64'L. WoodhouseAssist: George Birch
70'Lewis McCann INAaron Loupalo-Bi out
70'Crispin McLean INJosh Robertson out
71'Josh Gordon INSonny Cox out
78'George Birch INVincent Harper out
78'Harry Kite INLiam Oakes out

Lineups

Exeter City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Taylor
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2Coach: M. Lawlor
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating6.31
J. Bycroft6.31J. Bycroft
L. Samuel6.82L. Samuel
J. Taylor6.46J. Taylor
J. Fitzwater6.95J. Fitzwater
L. Woodhouse7.73L. Woodhouse
H. Kite6.414H. Kite
C. Cummins7.216C. Cummins
George Birch7.320G. Birch
T. Perry6.08T. Perry
A. Scully6.725A. Scully
J. Gordon6.610J. Gordon
J. Lynch5.61J. Lynch
S. Rooney5.526S. Rooney
Conor Haughey6.516C. Haughey
F. Potter5.95F. Potter
H. Neal6.24H. Neal
L. McCann6.014L. McCann
C. McLean7.027C. McLean
M. Helm6.010M. Helm
Jake Thomas Batty6.424J. Thomas Batty
C. Evans6.117C. Evans
R. Coughlan7.719R. Coughlan

Exeter City Substitutes

12R. Cole45'for Taylor Perry6.6
19S. Cox71'for Josh Gordon6.4
24V. Harper78'for George Birch6.5
40E. James
18Liam Oakes78'for Harry Kite6.5
22Frankie Phillips
23Ethan Sutherland63'for Anthony Scully6.2

Fleetwood Town Substitutes

29R. Cirino61'for Ched Evans6.2
3D. Andrew61'for Finley Potter6.3
9W. Davies
20A. Loupalo-Bi70'for Lewis McCann6.4
15A. Murphy
22J. Pradic
28J. Robertson70'for Crispin McLean6.8

Match Stats

Exeter CityFleetwood Town
47%Ball Possession53%
5Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards0
12Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots5
9Fouls11
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
383Total Passes413
272Passes Accurate288
11Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Exeter CityExeter City
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
1560Elo Rating 1540
1.44Attack 1.36
2.45Defense 1.35
66%Hit Rate 17%
9.9Shots per Game 11.6
3.0Shots on Target 4.0
3.2Corners per Game 5.1
1.9Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Exeter CityExeter City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Exeter CityExeter City1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1Wins · 25%
3.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

League One24/02/2024
Exeter CityFleetwood Town
11
League One11/11/2023
Fleetwood TownExeter City
30
League One01/04/2023
Fleetwood TownExeter City
22
League One22/10/2022
Exeter CityFleetwood Town
21

Recent Form

Exeter CityExeter City
5W2D3L
20/10/2026
Exeter CityCrewe
20
W
17/10/2026
ColchesterExeter City
00
D
10/10/2026
ShrewsburyExeter City
01
W
06/10/2026
Exeter CityOxford United
4232
W
03/10/2026
Exeter CityRotherham
10
W
26/09/2026
Bristol RoversExeter City
10
L
22/09/2026
CheltenhamExeter City
4232
L
19/09/2026
Exeter CityTranmere
00
D
12/09/2026
Port ValeExeter City
10
L
08/09/2026
Exeter CityTottenham Hotspur U21
20
W
Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
3W2D5L
20/10/2026
CheltenhamFleetwood Town
42
L
17/10/2026
Fleetwood TownRotherham
20
W
10/10/2026
Fleetwood TownWalsall
11
D
06/10/2026
Fleetwood TownBarnsley
41
W
03/10/2026
Salford CityFleetwood Town
10
L
26/09/2026
Fleetwood TownRochdale
12
L
22/09/2026
OldhamFleetwood Town
10
L
19/09/2026
BarnetFleetwood Town
31
L
16/09/2026
Fleetwood TownSheffield Utd
10
W
12/09/2026
Newport CountyFleetwood Town
11
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
6YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
7WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
9Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
10Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
11Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
13GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
14TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
17Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
18RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
20NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
21OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
22ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
23RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
6YorkYork1424:2120
7WalsallWalsall1218:1119
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
9Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
10Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
11Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
13GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
14TranmereTranmere1316:1616
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
17Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
18RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
20NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
21OldhamOldham1214:1812
22ColchesterColchester1211:1612
23RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Exeter City and Fleetwood Town in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Exeter City are 9th and Fleetwood Town 19th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Exeter City 10-7, Fleetwood Town 15-17. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.