Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town Prediction

Memorial Stadium, Bristol 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.16
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Bristol Rovers Rest
3 days
Swindon Town Rest
3 days

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: the result in context

Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town drew 0-0 in the League Two on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Swindon Town have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.62
X
24%4.08
2
22%4.87
Double Chance
1X
78%1.16
X2
46%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.65
No
45%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.11 = 2.47
Over 1.5
77%1.17
Over 2.5
56%1.61
Over 3.5
35%2.52
Under 1.5
23%4.35
Under 2.5
44%2.21
Under 3.5
65%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.32
Over 9.5
53%1.57
Over 10.5
41%1.96
Under 8.5
36%2.97
Under 9.5
47%2.23
Under 10.5
59%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

20'S. Inwood INBilly Kirkman out
37'Kofi BalmerFoul
63'Fabrizio Cavegn INBobby Kamwa out
63'Richard Smallwood INKeenan Gough out
64'Joe Snowdon INantwoine hackford out
64'Tom Nichols INJoseph Hungbo out
71'Bobby Kamwa INReiss-Alexander Russell-Denny out
76'Kaelan MajekodunmiFoul
83'Mitchell Clark INJoel McGregor out
84'Matthew Virtue-Thick INJames Debayo out
90+3'Dan ButlerFoul

Lineups

Bristol Rovers
3-4-1-2Coach: S. Evans
Swindon Town
4-3-3Coach: Ian Holloway
Avg rating6.58
Avg rating6.56
Brad Young7.31B. Young
K. Balmer6.54K. Balmer
A. Kilgour7.15A. Kilgour
C. Kelly6.217C. Kelly
T. James6.12T. James
C. Mola6.96C. Mola
R. Smallwood7.021R. Smallwood
J. Sparkes6.53J. Sparkes
S. Forde6.67S. Forde
F. Cavegn6.429F. Cavegn
J. Quigley6.09J. Quigley
C. Ripley8.21C. Ripley
M. Clark6.02M. Clark
K. Majekodunmi6.421K. Majekodunmi
S. Inwood6.816S. Inwood
D. Butler6.226D. Butler
M. Virtue-Thick6.724M. Virtue-Thick
J. Thomson6.325J. Thomson
J. Ball6.76J. Ball
T. Nichols6.27T. Nichols
A. Drinan6.923A. Drinan
J. Snowdon6.419J. Snowdon

Bristol Rovers Substitutes

28A. Appiah
22Keenan Gough63'for Richard Smallwood6.7
10B. Kamwa63'for Fabrizio Cavegn71'for Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny6.6
14B. Purrington
8R. Russell-Denny71'replaced by Bobby Kamwa6.3
27P. Sanyaolu
32Charlie Binns

Swindon Town Substitutes

34B. Kirkman20'for S. Inwood6.4
33Joel McGregor83'for Mitchell Clark6.1
12Lewis Moore Ward
29A. Hackford64'for Joe Snowdon6.5
15J. Hungbo64'for Tom Nichols6.5
18J. Debayo84'for Matthew Virtue-Thick6.6
39L. Millard

Match Stats

Bristol RoversSwindon Town
58%Ball Possession42%
2Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots3
9Fouls10
2Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves8
351Total Passes267
246Passes Accurate153
10Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
Swindon TownSwindon Town
1484Elo Rating 1502
0.54Attack 0.88
1.29Defense 2.27
0%Hit Rate 23%
15.7Shots per Game 11.9
5.1Shots on Target 3.4
4.9Corners per Game 3.7
2.5Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Swindon TownSwindon Town
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers0Wins · 0%
Draws233%
Swindon TownSwindon Town4Wins · 67%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

League Two28/02/2026
Swindon TownBristol Rovers
11
League Two13/12/2025
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
03
League Two22/01/2022
Swindon TownBristol Rovers
11
League Two02/10/2021
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
13
League One23/03/2021
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
01
League One21/11/2020
Swindon TownBristol Rovers
10

Recent Form

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
3W0D7L
20/10/2026
Bristol RoversSalford City
12
L
17/10/2026
ShrewsburyBristol Rovers
10
L
10/10/2026
Bristol RoversBarnet
13
L
06/10/2026
WycombeBristol Rovers
41
L
03/10/2026
CreweBristol Rovers
31
L
26/09/2026
Bristol RoversExeter City
10
W
19/09/2026
GillinghamBristol Rovers
30
L
12/09/2026
GrimsbyBristol Rovers
20
L
05/09/2026
Bristol RoversRotherham
10
W
01/09/2026
Bristol RoversColchester
20
W
Swindon TownSwindon Town
2W2D6L
20/10/2026
BarnetSwindon Town
13
W
17/10/2026
Swindon TownWalsall
11
D
10/10/2026
Swindon TownCrewe
01
L
03/10/2026
RochdaleSwindon Town
10
L
26/09/2026
Swindon TownAccrington ST
11
D
22/09/2026
Swindon TownNewport County
02
L
19/09/2026
Salford CitySwindon Town
10
L
15/09/2026
Swindon TownCrystal Palace U21
12
L
12/09/2026
YorkSwindon Town
40
L
05/09/2026
Swindon TownColchester
31
W

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City14101325:15+1031WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1375128:18+1026DWDLW
3WalsallWalsall1357121:12+922WLWDD
4CreweCrewe1457217:17022DLLWW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1463523:25-221LWWLL
6GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
7YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
8GillinghamGillingham1455420:19+120WLDLW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1447323:17+619DWDWD
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
11TranmereTranmere1447319:17+219WDWLD
12Exeter CityExeter City1454511:9+219LWWDW
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1454515:17-219WDWDL
14Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1453617:22-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1445518:18017WLLWD
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1451817:23-616LDLLL
18Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
19RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
20NorthamptonNorthampton123549:9014DWLWD
21OldhamOldham1333714:19-512LDLWD
22RotherhamRotherham1426618:25-712LDDLL
23ColchesterColchester1326512:19-712LLDDL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1223713:21-89WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1425:1531
2BarnetBarnet1328:1826
3WalsallWalsall1321:1222
4CreweCrewe1417:1722
5CheltenhamCheltenham1423:2521
6GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
7YorkYork1424:2120
8GillinghamGillingham1420:1920
9Accrington STAccrington ST1423:1719
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
11TranmereTranmere1419:1719
12Exeter CityExeter City1411:919
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1415:1719
14Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1417:2218
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1418:1817
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1417:2316
18Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
19RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
20NorthamptonNorthampton129:914
21OldhamOldham1314:1912
22RotherhamRotherham1418:2512
23ColchesterColchester1312:1912
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1213:219
PromotionRelegation

About the Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Swindon Town are 13th and Bristol Rovers 17th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Bristol Rovers 17-23, Swindon Town 15-17. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.