Rotherham vs Newport County Prediction

Rotherham
2-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Newport County
New York Stadium, Rotherham 20/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+2.1%
Rotherham Rest
3 days
Newport County Rest
3 days

Rotherham vs Newport County: the result in context

Rotherham and Newport County drew 2-2 in the League Two on 20 Oct 2026. Newport County had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Rotherham.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.15
X
28%3.38
2
30%3.25
Double Chance
1X
70%1.30
X2
58%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.15 = 2.40
Over 1.5
72%1.29
Over 2.5
48%1.92
Over 3.5
27%3.25
Under 1.5
28%3.34
Under 2.5
52%1.85
Under 3.5
73%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.5 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.47
Over 9.5
45%1.82
Over 10.5
33%2.35
Under 8.5
43%2.41
Under 9.5
55%1.89
Under 10.5
67%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
41%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
59%-

Match Events

4'Paul Mullin(Penalty)
12'Aaron NemaneAssist: Jayce Fitzgerald
16'Jamie JellisFoul
28'Harrison Biggins(Penalty)
42'Paul MullinArgument
42'Gerard GarnerArgument
45'Alfie Merritt INMatthew Smith out
54'Gerard Garner
60'Gerard Garner INKion Etete out
60'Michael Adu-Poku INYahya Bamba out
64'Jili Buyabu INK. Lolas out
73'Denzel Hall INKieran Ngwenya out
85'kian spence INTom Bradshaw out
89'H. DouglasFoul

Lineups

Rotherham
3-4-2-1Coach: A. Bruce
Newport County
3-4-1-2Coach: H. Mullins
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating6.40
J. Eyestone5.813J. Eyestone
J. Rafferty6.32J. Rafferty
D. Iorfa6.627D. Iorfa
H. Douglas6.226H. Douglas
D. Hall6.112D. Hall
K. Spence6.48K. Spence
Jayce Fitzgerald7.115J. Fitzgerald
J. Buyabu6.524J. Buyabu
A. Nemane8.123A. Nemane
Jamie Jellis6.222J. Jellis
P. Mullin7.010P. Mullin
J. Wright5.91J. Wright
L. Jenkins6.05L. Jenkins
K. Cameron6.24K. Cameron
Joe Thomas6.412J. Thomas
C. Norman6.022C. Norman
M. Dibley-Dias6.224M. Dibley-Dias
C. Brennan6.16C. Brennan
Alfie Merritt5.717A. Merritt
M. Adu-Poku6.823M. Adu-Poku
G. Garner7.719G. Garner
H. Biggins7.210H. Biggins

Rotherham Substitutes

14Sonny Aljofree
4J. Austerfield
9T. Bradshaw85'for kian spence6.5
1T. Cann
28Brandon Ashley Cover
20K. Lolas64'replaced by Jili Buyabu
5K. Ngwenya73'for Denzel Hall6.1

Newport County Substitutes

28K. Etete60'for Gerard Garner6.6
2C. Evans
7K. Evans
33S. MacDonald
34D. Sassi
8M. Smith45'for Alfie Merritt6.4
20Y. Bamba60'for Michael Adu-Poku6.6

Match Stats

RotherhamNewport County
62%Ball Possession38%
2Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
18Fouls16
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
393Total Passes245
281Passes Accurate141
15Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

RotherhamRotherham
Newport CountyNewport County
1431Elo Rating 1492
1.43Attack 1.10
0.12Defense 1.80
0%Hit Rate 17%
10.7Shots per Game 13.2
3.7Shots on Target 3.1
3.9Corners per Game 3.8
2.9Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

RotherhamRotherham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Newport CountyNewport County
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

RotherhamRotherham
2W3D5L
17/10/2026
Fleetwood TownRotherham
20
L
10/10/2026
RotherhamGillingham
14
L
06/10/2026
RotherhamBradford
04
L
03/10/2026
Exeter CityRotherham
10
L
26/09/2026
RotherhamCrewe
11
D
22/09/2026
YorkRotherham
4151
W
19/09/2026
NorthamptonRotherham
01
W
12/09/2026
RotherhamSalford City
33
D
05/09/2026
Bristol RoversRotherham
10
L
01/09/2026
TranmereRotherham
22
D
Newport CountyNewport County
3W4D3L
17/10/2026
Newport CountyYork
11
D
10/10/2026
Newport CountyColchester
10
W
06/10/2026
Newport CountyPlymouth
4252
L
03/10/2026
GillinghamNewport County
00
D
26/09/2026
Newport CountyGrimsby
21
W
22/09/2026
Swindon TownNewport County
02
W
19/09/2026
Accrington STNewport County
00
D
12/09/2026
Newport CountyFleetwood Town
11
D
05/09/2026
NorthamptonNewport County
10
L
01/09/2026
Salford CityNewport County
21
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Rotherham vs Newport County forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rotherham and Newport County in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Newport County are 16th and Rotherham 22nd, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Rotherham 17-23, Newport County 16-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rotherham and Newport County have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.