Gillingham vs Newport County Prediction

League TwoEngland England · Regular Season - 9
Gillingham
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Newport County
Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 03/10/2026
GillinghamGillingham
0-0
Finished
Newport CountyNewport County

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-7.7%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Gillingham Rest
7 days
Newport County Rest
7 days

Gillingham vs Newport County: result, form and history

Gillingham and Newport County drew 0-0 in the League Two on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Newport County have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.83
X
27%3.62
2
24%3.96
Double Chance
1X
76%1.22
X2
51%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.79
No
49%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.12 = 2.41
Over 1.5
72%1.28
Over 2.5
48%1.93
Over 3.5
26%3.30
Under 1.5
28%3.47
Under 2.5
52%1.83
Under 3.5
74%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.9 = 9.7
Over 8.5
58%1.46
Over 9.5
48%1.80
Over 10.5
37%2.26
Under 8.5
42%2.49
Under 9.5
52%1.92
Under 10.5
63%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%-
Over 4.5
35%-
Under 3.5
45%-
Under 4.5
65%-

Match Events

14'Ronan Chapman HaleFoul
15'Lamin SillahFoul
45+1'Harrison BigginsFoul
63'Lamin Sillah INTom Eaves out
70'Cameron NormanFoul
72'Logan DobbsFoul
74'Garath McCleary INS. Kendall out
74'Logan Dobbs INJack Daley out
76'Michael Adu-Poku INYahya Bamba out
79'Jack DaleyFoul
83'Christian Doidge INGerard Garner out
86'Harry Waldock INArmani Little out
86'Ronan Chapman Hale INBradley Dack out
90+6'Harrison Biggins INAaron Lewis out

Lineups

Gillingham
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Ainsworth
Newport County
5-4-1Coach: H. Mullins
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.52
O. Wright7.61O. Wright
A. Smith6.35A. Smith
O. Beckles7.319O. Beckles
L. Dobbs6.426L. Dobbs
N. Freeman6.522N. Freeman
H. Waldock6.924H. Waldock
R. McKenzie6.314R. McKenzie
J. Brophy6.716J. Brophy
G. McCleary6.712G. McCleary
Ronan Hale5.910R. Hale
L. Sillah6.211L. Sillah
J. Wright6.31J. Wright
C. Norman6.222C. Norman
L. Jenkins6.85L. Jenkins
K. Cameron6.54K. Cameron
Joe Thomas6.112J. Thomas
M. Jacob6.216M. Jacob
M. Adu-Poku6.723M. Adu-Poku
C. Brennan6.76C. Brennan
M. Dibley-Dias6.624M. Dibley-Dias
H. Biggins6.510H. Biggins
C. Doidge6.427C. Doidge

Gillingham Substitutes

6E. Coleman
23B. Dack86'for Ronan Chapman Hale6.5
39T. Eaves63'for Lamin Sillah6.8
8A. Little86'for Harry Waldock6.1
40R. Luthra
18S. Kendall74'for Garath McCleary6.6
20J. Daley74'for Logan Dobbs79'6.2

Newport County Substitutes

19G. Garner83'for Christian Doidge6.9
18A. Lewis90+6'for Harrison Biggins
33S. MacDonald
34D. Sassi
8M. Smith
17Alfie Merritt
20Y. Bamba76'for Michael Adu-Poku6.7

Match Stats

GillinghamNewport County
67%Ball Possession33%
3Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards2
7Total Shots15
1Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal6
3Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots4
17Fouls12
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
511Total Passes250
415Passes Accurate154
12Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

GillinghamGillingham
Newport CountyNewport County
1470Elo Rating 1516
1.92Attack 1.77
0.47Defense 1.95
31%Hit Rate 41%
9.7Shots per Game 15.8
3.3Shots on Target 3.6
4.8Corners per Game 4.9
2.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend56% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

GillinghamGillingham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Newport CountyNewport County
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

GillinghamGillingham2Wins · 22%
Draws111%
Newport CountyNewport County6Wins · 67%
2.8Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

League Two17/01/2026
GillinghamNewport County
32
FA Cup01/11/2025
Newport CountyGillingham
4131
League Two20/09/2025
Newport CountyGillingham
13
League Two04/03/2025
Newport CountyGillingham
31
League Two22/10/2024
GillinghamNewport County
02
League Two17/02/2024
Newport CountyGillingham
10
League Two28/10/2023
GillinghamNewport County
02
League Two29/04/2023
GillinghamNewport County
12
League Two19/11/2022
Newport CountyGillingham
20

Recent Form

GillinghamGillingham
3W3D4L
26/09/2026
YorkGillingham
30
L
22/09/2026
GillinghamCambridge United
14
L
19/09/2026
GillinghamBristol Rovers
30
W
12/09/2026
GillinghamTranmere
20
W05/09/2026
RochdaleGillingham
14
W
01/09/2026
ChesterfieldGillingham
11
D
29/08/2026
GillinghamNorthampton
11
D
22/08/2026
Fleetwood TownGillingham
00
D
15/08/2026
GillinghamWalsall
03
L
08/08/2026
GillinghamLuton
03
L
Newport CountyNewport County
3W3D4L
26/09/2026
Newport CountyGrimsby
21
W
22/09/2026
Swindon TownNewport County
02
W
19/09/2026
Accrington STNewport County
00
D
12/09/2026
Newport CountyFleetwood Town
11
D
05/09/2026
NorthamptonNewport County
10
L
01/09/2026
Salford CityNewport County
21
L
29/08/2026
Newport CountyTranmere
22
D
22/08/2026
Bristol RoversNewport County
53
L
15/08/2026
Newport CountyRochdale
30
W
08/08/2026
AFC WimbledonNewport County
5141
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
6YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
7WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
9Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
10Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
11Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
13GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
14TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
17Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
18RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
20NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
21OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
22ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
23RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
6YorkYork1424:2120
7WalsallWalsall1218:1119
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
9Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
10Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
11Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
13GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
14TranmereTranmere1316:1616
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
17Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
18RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
20NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
21OldhamOldham1214:1812
22ColchesterColchester1211:1612
23RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

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About the Gillingham vs Newport County forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gillingham and Newport County in the League Two table

Newport County and Gillingham are close in the League Two table, 11th and 13th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Gillingham 18-18, Newport County 20-17. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.