York vs Gillingham Prediction
England · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
York vs Gillingham: the result in context
York beat Gillingham 3-0 in the League Two on 26 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Gillingham had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for York.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
York
Avg ratingAvg rating
1A. Shane McNally
2R. Fallowfield
5Z. Johnson
3M. Kitching
23J. Felix
28O. Banks
8A. Hunt
12H. Boyes
7J. Grey
30A. Newby
10O. Pearce
1O. Wright
5A. Smith
19O. Beckles
26L. Dobbs
22N. Freeman
16J. Brophy
14R. McKenzie
34E. King
10R. Hale
9W. Goodwin
24H. WaldockYork Substitutes
Gillingham Substitutes
Match Stats
YorkGillingham Team Comparison
YorkGillinghamAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
York- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Gillingham- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
YorkYork
Rotherham
ChesterfieldYorkYork
Newcastle United U21York
Swindon Town
CreweYork
CheltenhamYorkYork
Exeter CityRotherhamYorkYork
Bristol RoversYork
Crawley TownGillinghamGillingham
Cambridge UnitedGillinghamBristol RoversGillingham
Tranmere
RochdaleGillinghamChesterfieldGillinghamGillingham
Northampton
Fleetwood TownGillinghamGillingham
WalsallGillingham
Luton
Ebbsfleet UnitedGillinghamLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Barnet | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:22 | 0 | 21 | WWLLL |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 5 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 6 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 7 | Walsall | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 19 | LWDDD |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 9 | Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:7 | +3 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 10 |  Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 11 |  Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 12 |  Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 13 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 14 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 | DWLDL |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 16 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 | DLLLL |
| 17 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 18 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 19 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 20 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | WLWDL |
| 21 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 22 |  Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 23 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | 23:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Barnet | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 22:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 14 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 6 | York | 14 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Walsall | 12 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 14 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 9 | Exeter City | 13 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 10 | Accrington ST | 13 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Newport County | 14 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Gillingham | 13 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 14 | Tranmere | 13 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 13 | 13:16 | 16 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 12 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 18 | Rochdale | 14 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 19 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 20 | Northampton | 11 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 21 | Oldham | 12 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 22 | Colchester | 12 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 13 | 17:23 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 12:21 | 6 |
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About the York vs Gillingham forecast
The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
York and Gillingham in the League Two table
In the League Two table, York are 6th and Gillingham 13th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: York 24-21, Gillingham 18-18. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
York and Gillingham have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.