Chesterfield vs Colchester Prediction

Chesterfield
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Colchester
Proact Stadium, Chesterfield 20/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Chesterfield Rest
3 days
Colchester Rest
3 days

Chesterfield vs Colchester: the result in context

Chesterfield and Colchester drew 1-1 in the League Two on 20 Oct 2026. Chesterfield had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Colchester.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2. Chesterfield tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 3.2 for Colchester.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.56
X
24%4.15
2
20%5.00
Double Chance
1X
80%1.15
X2
44%2.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.65
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.06 = 2.72
Over 1.5
79%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.64
Over 3.5
36%2.50
Under 1.5
21%4.50
Under 2.5
44%2.20
Under 3.5
64%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.2 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.39
Over 9.5
46%1.71
Over 10.5
35%2.15
Under 8.5
42%2.63
Under 9.5
54%2.01
Under 10.5
65%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.5 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%-

Match Events

29'Dilan MarkandayAssist: Ryan Stirk
34'Lewis GordonFoul
36'Bradley ihionveinFoul
41'Danny CowleyDissent
54'Alfie PondFoul
58'Robert Donald HuntFoul
68'Dilan Markanday INDylan Duffy out
68'Louie Marsh INTom Naylor out
69'Josh Koroma INLiam Mandeville out
69'George McEachran INKiano Dyer out
75'Jaden Williams INOscar thorn out
75'Kane Vincent-Young INSamuel Kuffour Jr. out
76'Robert Donald Hunt INBen perry out
79'Ryan StirkFoul
80'Paul Digby INKien Connelly out
82'Ben perryAssist: Oscar thorn
84'Lee Bonis INF. Bryden out
88'Bradley ihionvein INLeon Chiwome out

Lineups

Chesterfield
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Cook
Colchester
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Cowley
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.55
R. Boot6.123R. Boot
R. Hutton6.733R. Hutton
A. Pond6.615A. Pond
J. Simpson6.46J. Simpson
L. Gordon6.219L. Gordon
G. McEachran6.620G. McEachran
R. Stirk7.78R. Stirk
D. Markanday8.224D. Markanday
L. Marsh6.718L. Marsh
J. Koroma6.437J. Koroma
L. Bonis5.910L. Bonis
T. Lo-Tutala6.822T. Lo-Tutala
K. Vincent-Young6.230K. Vincent-Young
J. Tucker6.55J. Tucker
F. Terry6.824F. Terry
E. Iandolo6.53E. Iandolo
J. Williams6.626J. Williams
R. Hunt6.02R. Hunt
M. Sesay6.912M. Sesay
P. Digby6.16P. Digby
Jaden Williams5.917J. Williams
B. Ihionvien6.29B. Ihionvien

Chesterfield Substitutes

7L. Mandeville69'for Josh Koroma6.1
26J. Eccleston
27K. Dyer69'for George McEachran6.3
11D. Duffy68'for Dilan Markanday6.3
9F. Bryden84'for Lee Bonis6.5
4T. Naylor68'for Louie Marsh6.3
46T. Pearce

Colchester Substitutes

11L. Chiwome88'for Bradley ihionvein6.4
39K. Connelly80'for Paul Digby6.7
47R. Harvey
44S. Kuffour75'for Kane Vincent-Young6.3
4Ben Perry76'for Robert Donald Hunt82'8.0
20S. Raggett
27O. Thorn75'for Jaden Williams7.1

Match Stats

ChesterfieldColchester
62%Ball Possession38%
7Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots6
4Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal4
14Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box1
9Blocked Shots1
9Fouls15
3Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves1
586Total Passes356
504Passes Accurate278
15Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

ChesterfieldChesterfield
ColchesterColchester
1569Elo Rating 1480
1.89Attack 0.37
1.05Defense 1.93
23%Hit Rate 0%
14.6Shots per Game 9.4
4.1Shots on Target 2.5
5.5Corners per Game 3.2
2.6Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ChesterfieldChesterfield
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ColchesterColchester
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

ChesterfieldChesterfield1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
ColchesterColchester2Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

League Two03/03/2026
ChesterfieldColchester
30
League Two04/10/2025
ColchesterChesterfield
62
League Two04/03/2025
ColchesterChesterfield
10
League Two22/10/2024
ChesterfieldColchester
11

Recent Form

ChesterfieldChesterfield
5W3D2L
17/10/2026
Port ValeChesterfield
10
L
10/10/2026
Crawley TownChesterfield
22
D
03/10/2026
ChesterfieldTranmere
42
W
26/09/2026
CheltenhamChesterfield
21
L
22/09/2026
ChesterfieldPort Vale
4131
W
19/09/2026
ChesterfieldYork
20
W
15/09/2026
ChesterfieldManchester City U21
53
W
12/09/2026
OldhamChesterfield
12
W
05/09/2026
ChesterfieldBarnet
33
D
01/09/2026
ChesterfieldGillingham
11
D
ColchesterColchester
1W4D5L
17/10/2026
ColchesterExeter City
00
D
10/10/2026
Newport CountyColchester
10
L
03/10/2026
ColchesterLuton
3141
L
26/09/2026
ShrewsburyColchester
22
D
22/09/2026
PeterboroughColchester
31
L
19/09/2026
ColchesterCheltenham
11
D
12/09/2026
ColchesterCrewe
11
D
05/09/2026
Swindon TownColchester
31
L
01/09/2026
Bristol RoversColchester
20
L
29/08/2026
ColchesterRochdale
10
W

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City14101325:15+1031WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1375128:18+1026DWDLW
3WalsallWalsall1357121:12+922WLWDD
4CreweCrewe1457217:17022DLLWW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1463523:25-221LWWLL
6GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
7YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
8GillinghamGillingham1455420:19+120WLDLW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1447323:17+619DWDWD
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
11TranmereTranmere1447319:17+219WDWLD
12Exeter CityExeter City1454511:9+219LWWDW
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1454515:17-219WDWDL
14Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1453617:22-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1445518:18017WLLWD
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1451817:23-616LDLLL
18Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
19RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
20NorthamptonNorthampton123549:9014DWLWD
21OldhamOldham1333714:19-512LDLWD
22RotherhamRotherham1426618:25-712LDDLL
23ColchesterColchester1326512:19-712LLDDL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1223713:21-89WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1425:1531
2BarnetBarnet1328:1826
3WalsallWalsall1321:1222
4CreweCrewe1417:1722
5CheltenhamCheltenham1423:2521
6GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
7YorkYork1424:2120
8GillinghamGillingham1420:1920
9Accrington STAccrington ST1423:1719
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
11TranmereTranmere1419:1719
12Exeter CityExeter City1411:919
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1415:1719
14Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1417:2218
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1418:1817
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1417:2316
18Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
19RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
20NorthamptonNorthampton129:914
21OldhamOldham1314:1912
22RotherhamRotherham1418:2512
23ColchesterColchester1312:1912
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1213:219
PromotionRelegation

About the Chesterfield vs Colchester forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chesterfield and Colchester in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Chesterfield are 10th and Colchester 23rd, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Chesterfield 24-21, Colchester 12-19. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Chesterfield have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.