Barnet vs Swindon Town Prediction

Barnet
1-3
Finished
HT 0-3
Swindon Town
The Hive Stadium, London 20/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Barnet Rest
3 days
Swindon Town Rest
3 days

Barnet vs Swindon Town: result, form and history

Swindon Town beat Barnet 3-1 in the League Two on 20 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Barnet had won 5 of their previous five, compared with none for Swindon Town.

Barnet tend to win more corners, 7.6 a game to 3.7 for Swindon Town.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.46
X
22%4.50
2
16%5.91
Double Chance
1X
84%1.11
X2
38%2.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.60
No
43%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 0.9 = 2.57
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
60%1.47
Over 3.5
39%2.20
Under 1.5
19%5.40
Under 2.5
40%2.50
Under 3.5
61%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.9 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.23
Over 9.5
49%1.44
Over 10.5
38%1.74
Under 8.5
39%3.44
Under 9.5
51%2.51
Under 10.5
62%1.97
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.4 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%-
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
48%-
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

8'Mitchell ClarkAssist: Aaron Drinan
35'Aaron DrinanAssist: Matthew Virtue-Thick
37'Aaron DrinanAssist: Jack Thomson
58'Joe Snowdon INLouis Millard out
63'Nikola Tavares INTom Knowles out
64'Nnamdi Ofoborh INJake Reeves out
67'Jack Thomson INTom Nichols out
67'Matthew Virtue-Thick INJames Debayo out
67'Oisin Gallagher INDamola Ajayi out
76'S. Inwood INJames Ball out
76'Aaron Drinan INantwoine hackford out
83'Idris Kanu INMyles Kenlock out
90'Kabongo TshimangaAssist: Charlie Lakin
90+2'Louis MillardTime wasting

Lineups

Barnet
4-2-3-1Coach: Dean Brennan
Swindon Town
3-4-2-1Coach: Ian Holloway
Avg rating6.37
Avg rating6.99
M. Cox5.913M. Cox
A. Senior6.05A. Senior
D. Collinge6.74D. Collinge
Z. Williams6.96Z. Williams
N. Tavares6.525N. Tavares
O. Gallagher5.622O. Gallagher
N. Ofoborh5.910N. Ofoborh
B. Comley6.614B. Comley
C. Lakin7.78C. Lakin
I. Kanu6.111I. Kanu
K. Tshimanga7.420K. Tshimanga
C. Ripley8.51C. Ripley
K. Majekodunmi6.121K. Majekodunmi
S. Negru6.85S. Negru
S. Inwood6.916S. Inwood
M. Clark7.12M. Clark
A. Munda6.627A. Munda
J. Thomson7.325J. Thomson
B. Kirkman6.234B. Kirkman
M. Virtue-Thick7.324M. Virtue-Thick
J. Snowdon6.919J. Snowdon
A. Drinan9.723A. Drinan

Barnet Substitutes

17D. Ajayi67'for Oisin Gallagher6.0
30M. Kenlock83'for Idris Kanu5.8
36Anthony Haralambous
7T. Knowles63'for Nikola Tavares6.2
23J. Reeves64'for Nnamdi Ofoborh6.4

Swindon Town Substitutes

7T. Nichols67'for Jack Thomson6.6
39L. Millard58'for Joe Snowdon90+2'6.5
15J. Hungbo
29A. Hackford76'for Aaron Drinan6.4
18J. Debayo67'for Matthew Virtue-Thick6.7
6J. Ball76'for S. Inwood6.4
12Lewis Moore Ward

Match Stats

BarnetSwindon Town
72%Ball Possession28%
14Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots11
11Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal4
19Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
7Fouls6
1Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves11
603Total Passes232
491Passes Accurate119
6Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

BarnetBarnet
Swindon TownSwindon Town
1650Elo Rating 1502
1.99Attack 0.88
1.61Defense 2.27
58%Hit Rate 23%
16.2Shots per Game 11.9
5.1Shots on Target 3.4
7.6Corners per Game 3.7
1.9Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+148 Elo

Game State Tendencies

BarnetBarnet
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Swindon TownSwindon Town
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

BarnetBarnet1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Swindon TownSwindon Town1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

League Two17/02/2026
BarnetSwindon Town
12
League Two19/08/2025
Swindon TownBarnet
02

Recent Form

BarnetBarnet
7W3D0L
17/10/2026
TranmereBarnet
12
W
10/10/2026
Bristol RoversBarnet
13
W
06/10/2026
AFC WimbledonBarnet
7080
W
19/09/2026
BarnetFleetwood Town
31
W
12/09/2026
BarnetAccrington ST
21
W
05/09/2026
ChesterfieldBarnet
33
D
01/09/2026
Exeter CityBarnet
11
D
29/08/2026
BarnetCheltenham
22
D
22/08/2026
ShrewsburyBarnet
13
W
18/08/2026
BarnetArsenal U21
51
W
Swindon TownSwindon Town
2W2D6L
17/10/2026
Swindon TownWalsall
11
D
10/10/2026
Swindon TownCrewe
01
L
03/10/2026
RochdaleSwindon Town
10
L
26/09/2026
Swindon TownAccrington ST
11
D
22/09/2026
Swindon TownNewport County
02
L
19/09/2026
Salford CitySwindon Town
10
L
15/09/2026
Swindon TownCrystal Palace U21
12
L
12/09/2026
YorkSwindon Town
40
L
05/09/2026
Swindon TownColchester
31
W
01/09/2026
Swindon TownPort Vale
31
W

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City14101325:15+1031WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1375128:18+1026DWDLW
3WalsallWalsall1357121:12+922WLWDD
4CreweCrewe1457217:17022DLLWW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1463523:25-221LWWLL
6GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
7YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
8GillinghamGillingham1455420:19+120WLDLW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1447323:17+619DWDWD
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
11TranmereTranmere1447319:17+219WDWLD
12Exeter CityExeter City1454511:9+219LWWDW
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1454515:17-219WDWDL
14Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1453617:22-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1445518:18017WLLWD
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1451817:23-616LDLLL
18Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
19RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
20NorthamptonNorthampton123549:9014DWLWD
21OldhamOldham1333714:19-512LDLWD
22RotherhamRotherham1426618:25-712LDDLL
23ColchesterColchester1326512:19-712LLDDL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1223713:21-89WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1425:1531
2BarnetBarnet1328:1826
3WalsallWalsall1321:1222
4CreweCrewe1417:1722
5CheltenhamCheltenham1423:2521
6GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
7YorkYork1424:2120
8GillinghamGillingham1420:1920
9Accrington STAccrington ST1423:1719
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
11TranmereTranmere1419:1719
12Exeter CityExeter City1411:919
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1415:1719
14Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1417:2218
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1418:1817
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1417:2316
18Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
19RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
20NorthamptonNorthampton129:914
21OldhamOldham1314:1912
22RotherhamRotherham1418:2512
23ColchesterColchester1312:1912
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1213:219
PromotionRelegation

About the Barnet vs Swindon Town forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Barnet and Swindon Town in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Barnet are 2nd and Swindon Town 13th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Barnet 28-18, Swindon Town 15-17. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Barnet and Swindon Town have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.