Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa Prediction

Galatasaray
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Kasımpaşa
Rams Park Stadyumu, Istanbul·Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.26
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
Galatasaray Rest
7 days
Kasımpaşa Rest
21 days

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa: the result in context

Galatasaray beat Kasımpaşa 3-1 in the Süper Lig on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.26
X
17%6.00
2
10%9.50
Double Chance
1X
90%1.05
X2
26%3.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.78
No
50%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.86 + 0.78 = 2.64
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
62%1.40
Over 3.5
40%2.06
Under 1.5
17%6.00
Under 2.5
38%2.75
Under 3.5
60%1.74
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 3.5 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.37
Over 9.5
52%1.69
Over 10.5
43%2.08
Under 8.5
36%2.62
Under 9.5
48%2.05
Under 10.5
57%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.6 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%1.44
Over 4.5
51%1.87
Under 3.5
31%2.67
Under 4.5
49%1.87

Match Events

3'R. LeaoTripping
24'E. MendesFoul
28'K. DemirbayFoul
40'D. SanchezTripping
45'A. BardakciAssist: A. Batrakov
51'A. KolUnsportsmanlike conduct
56'A. BaldurssonTripping
57'G. Yalcin INT. Diarra out
58'A. Kol INJ. Rak-Sakyi out
65'L. TorreiraTripping
67'A. Batrakov INM. Lemina out
67'R. Leao INE. Elmali out
68'J. Rak-Sakyi
70'K. Demirbay INH. Hajradinovic out
77'D. Gul INV. Osimhen out
77'A. Bardakci INL. Sane out
78'A. Karapo INJ. Jessen out
88'Gabriel Sara INR. Nhaga out
90'B. Yilmaz
90+6'M. LeminaAssist: V. Osimhen

Lineups

Galatasaray
4-2-3-1
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1
Avg rating6.94
Avg rating6.78
Uğurcan Çakır6.21U. Çakır
Barış Alper Yılmaz8.353B. Alper Yılmaz
Davinson Sánchez6.76D. Sánchez
Abdülkerim BardakcıC8.042A. Bardakcı
Ismail Jakobs6.94I. Jakobs
Lucas Torreira6.234L. Torreira
Gabriel Sara7.28G. Sara
Yunus Akgün6.911Y. Akgün
Aleksey Batrakov7.283A. Batrakov
Rafael Leão7.527R. Leão
Deniz Gül6.521D. Gül
Andreas Gianniotis8.21A. Gianniotis
Cláudio WinckC6.92C. Winck
Kevin Mouanga6.214K. Mouanga
Matei Ilie7.027M. Ilie
Ayberk Karapo7.745A. Karapo
Andri Fannar Baldursson6.716A. Fannar Baldursson
Kerem Demirbay6.326K. Demirbay
Güven Yalçın6.250G. Yalçın
Elson Mendes6.351E. Mendes
Ali Yavuz Kol6.37A. Yavuz Kol
Adrian Benedyczak6.99A. Benedyczak

Galatasaray Substitutes

24Jankat Yılmaz
3El Chadaille Bitshiabu
17Eren Elmalı67'for R. Leao6.7
7Roland Sallai
23Kaan Ayhan
10Leroy Sané77'for A. Bardakci6.7
74Renato Nhaga88'for Gabriel Sara
20İlkay Gündoğan
99Mario Lemina67'for A. Batrakov90+6'6.5
45Victor Osimhen77'for D. Gul6.6

Kasımpaşa Substitutes

11Thiemoko Diarra57'for G. Yalcin6.6
17Jesurun Rak-Sakyi58'for A. Kol68'7.9
25Ali Emre Yanar
5Jakob Jessen78'for A. Karapo6.2
4Adem Arous
8Atakan Mujde
10Haris Hajradinović70'for K. Demirbay6.3
66Emirhan Boz
19Marcus Rafferty
99Muhammed Bektaş

Match Stats

GalatasarayKasımpaşa
63%Ball Possession37%
8Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
25Total Shots9
11Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal4
19Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box6
8Blocked Shots2
12Fouls15
0Offsides5
2Goalkeeper Saves8
435Total Passes253
367Passes Accurate185
84%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

GalatasarayGalatasaray
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
1863Elo Rating 1701
2.62Attack 1.98
1.82Defense 2.04
86%Hit Rate 69%
14.7Shots per Game 14.0
5.9Shots on Target 4.7
6.8Corners per Game 5.4
1.4Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+162 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

GalatasarayGalatasaray
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1.1 in second half)
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GalatasarayGalatasaray5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa2Wins · 20%
4.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Süper Lig17/05/2026
KasımpaşaGalatasaray
10
Süper Lig21/12/2025
GalatasarayKasımpaşa
30
Süper Lig02/03/2025
KasımpaşaGalatasaray
33
Süper Lig28/09/2024
GalatasarayKasımpaşa
33
Süper Lig17/03/2024
KasımpaşaGalatasaray
34
Süper Lig03/11/2023
GalatasarayKasımpaşa
21
Süper Lig11/03/2023
GalatasarayKasımpaşa
10
Süper Lig11/09/2022
KasımpaşaGalatasaray
23
Süper Lig20/01/2022
GalatasarayKasımpaşa
13
Süper Lig29/08/2021
KasımpaşaGalatasaray
22

Recent Form

GalatasarayGalatasaray
4W3D3L
02/10/2026
PendiksporGalatasaray
33
D
19/09/2026
TrabzonsporGalatasaray
40
L
13/09/2026
GalatasarayKocaelispor
10
W
09/09/2026
Sporting CPGalatasaray
31
L
04/09/2026
BaşakşehirGalatasaray
23
W
29/08/2026
GalatasarayGöztepe
32
W
21/08/2026
Erzurumspor FKGalatasaray
04
W
14/08/2026
GalatasarayÇorum FK
22
D
08/08/2026
GalatasarayVillarreal
12
L
02/08/2026
GalatasarayRennes
33
D
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
4W6D0L
18/09/2026
KasımpaşaKonyaspor
00
D
13/09/2026
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Kasımpaşa
12
W
06/09/2026
KasımpaşaAmed
22
D
30/08/2026
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
11
D
22/08/2026
Çorum FKKasımpaşa
01
W
15/08/2026
KasımpaşaTrabzonspor
11
D
01/08/2026
KasımpaşaHull City
11
D
24/07/2026
KasımpaşaGençlerbirliği S.K.
30
W
19/07/2026
KayserisporKasımpaşa
12
W
18/07/2026
KasımpaşaBatman Petrolspor
11
D

Referee Profile

Halil Umut Meler211 matches

4.86Cards per match
4.60Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Halil Umut Meler4.86
Other referees4.58

4.86 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.58).

Cards come from 194 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1081123:12+1125WWWWL
2AmedAmed962120:10+1020WWDWW
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor961222:8+1419WWWWL
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş960318:10+818WLWLW
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe951323:8+1516LWWWD
6Çorum FKÇorum FK1051421:16+516WLWWL
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa944113:9+416WWLDW
8KocaelisporKocaelispor1051411:9+216WLLWL
9Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK104249:15-614LWWDW
10GöztepeGöztepe933319:16+312WWWDD
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor93339:11-212LLDWD
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir932412:14-211LWDWL
13RizesporRizespor1032511:15-411LLLDW
14Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK92259:15-68LLLLD
15KonyasporKonyaspor102266:13-78LWLDD
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.92257:18-118LLDLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor91178:21-134LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor91082:23-213LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1023:1225
2AmedAmed920:1020
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor922:819
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş918:1018
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe923:816
6Çorum FKÇorum FK1021:1616
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa913:916
8KocaelisporKocaelispor1011:916
9Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK109:1514
10GöztepeGöztepe919:1612
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor99:1112
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir912:1411
13RizesporRizespor1011:1511
14Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK99:158
15KonyasporKonyaspor106:138
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.97:188
17SamsunsporSamsunspor98:214
18EyüpsporEyüpspor92:233
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa forecast

The forecasts for this Süper Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Galatasaray and Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig table

In the Süper Lig table, Galatasaray are 1st and Kasımpaşa 7th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Galatasaray 23-12, Kasımpaşa 13-9. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kasımpaşa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.