Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha Prediction

Paladin Stadium 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Greenville Triumph Rest
6 days
Union Omaha Rest
6 days

Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha: result, form and history

Union Omaha beat Greenville Triumph 3-1 in the USL League One on 27 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Union Omaha had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Greenville Triumph.

Union Omaha have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%3.42
X
23%3.54
2
56%1.85
Double Chance
1X
43%1.73
X2
79%1.25
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'M. NourAssist: A. Villanueva
10'S. Ors NavarroAssist: Y. Boudadi
32'E. CaceresFoul
44'L. WoottonUnsportsmanlike conduct
51'C. HerreraFoul
53'V. CandelaUnsportsmanlike conduct
56'P. Botello FazUnsportsmanlike conduct
64'E. CaceresAssist: P. Botello Faz
65'A. Billhardt INK. Tekiela out
65'Y. BoudadiFoul
65'L. Wootton INR. Jiba out
71'C. Evans INE. Lee out
71'D. Benton INL. Castro out
71'R. Robles IND. Boyce out
77'Z. Bubb INT. Sims out
78'E. Caceres INA. Gomez out
86'S. Ors Navarro INC. Lawrence out
86'P. Botello Faz INT. Klein out
86'I. Agyaakwah INE. White out
90+4'K. TekielaAssist: A. Gomez

Team Comparison

Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
Union OmahaUnion Omaha
1384Elo Rating 1601
1.38Attack 0.89
1.26Defense 2.03
46%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Union OmahaUnion Omaha
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
Union OmahaUnion Omaha6Wins · 60%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

USL League One03/05/2026
Union OmahaGreenville Triumph
20
USL League One11/10/2025
Greenville TriumphUnion Omaha
00
USL League One13/06/2025
Union OmahaGreenville Triumph
10
USL League One13/03/2025
Greenville TriumphUnion Omaha
30
USL League One09/11/2024
Union OmahaGreenville Triumph
21
USL League One08/09/2024
Union OmahaGreenville Triumph
31
USL League One14/07/2024
Greenville TriumphUnion Omaha
01
USL League One27/08/2023
Greenville TriumphUnion Omaha
12
USL League One11/06/2023
Greenville TriumphUnion Omaha
11
USL League One25/05/2023
Union OmahaGreenville Triumph
33

Recent Form

Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
1W3D6L
20/09/2026
Sarasota ParadiseGreenville Triumph
60
L
16/09/2026
Greenville TriumphCorpus Christi
01
L
13/09/2026
Greenville TriumphFort Wayne
13
L
06/09/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesGreenville Triumph
31
L
30/08/2026
Greenville TriumphNaples
40
W
23/08/2026
Spokane VelocityGreenville Triumph
21
L
16/08/2026
Greenville TriumphOne Knoxville
11
D
13/08/2026
Forward MadisonGreenville Triumph
11
D
09/08/2026
Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph
10
L
02/08/2026
Greenville TriumphPortland Hearts of Pine
33
D
Union OmahaUnion Omaha
7W2D1L
20/09/2026
Union OmahaOne Knoxville
21
W
16/09/2026
Union OmahaSpokane Velocity
31
W
13/09/2026
Corpus ChristiUnion Omaha
12
W
06/09/2026
Union OmahaCharlotte Independence
20
W
30/08/2026
Union OmahaNY Cosmos
11
D
27/08/2026
NaplesUnion Omaha
20
L
23/08/2026
Union OmahaSarasota Paradise
11
D
17/08/2026
Union OmahaRichmond Kickers
51
W
09/08/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesUnion Omaha
13
W
02/08/2026
Fort WayneUnion Omaha
02
W

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
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About the Greenville Triumph vs Union Omaha forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Greenville Triumph and Union Omaha in the USL League One table

The table shows a wide gap: Union Omaha are 2nd in the USL League One, while Greenville Triumph sit 15th, 32 points behind. League goal record so far: Greenville Triumph 37-60, Union Omaha 54-34. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.