Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville Prediction

City Stadium 04/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.17
SignalHIGHModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-9.5%
Richmond Kickers Rest
6 days
One Knoxville Rest
5 days

Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville: the result in context

Richmond Kickers beat One Knoxville 3-2 in the USL League One on 3 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: One Knoxville had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Richmond Kickers.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.00
X
20%3.79
2
60%1.67
Double Chance
1X
40%2.00
X2
80%1.17
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'D. BarnathanAssist: S. Layton
5'Lucca DouradoAssist: H. Hanson
28'D. KrioutchenkovAssist: S. Zarokostas
38'M. Goling(Penalty)
46'Lucca Dourado INT. Freeman out
55'S. LaytonFoul
67'S. Zarokostas INM. Diop out
67'A. Caputo INJ. J. Murphy out
70'H. Hanson IND. Moore out
72'T. FreemanAssist: Z. Vazquez
75'J. Brown INC. Tiao out
75'M. Goling INN. Rosamilia out
78'Z. Vazquez INL. Johnson out
83'W. Perkins INBull out
85'C. TiaoFoul
86'A. Sasankhah INS. Vinberg out
90+1'J. SkeltonFoul

Team Comparison

Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville
1347Elo Rating 1566
1.96Attack 1.72
1.30Defense 2.04
37%Hit Rate 46%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville2Wins · 25%
2.5Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

USL League One28/03/2026
One KnoxvilleRichmond Kickers
10
USL League One05/10/2025
Richmond KickersOne Knoxville
21
USL League One24/08/2025
Richmond KickersOne Knoxville
10
USL League One21/08/2025
One KnoxvilleRichmond Kickers
20
USL League One02/06/2024
One KnoxvilleRichmond Kickers
12
USL League One04/05/2024
Richmond KickersOne Knoxville
11
USL League One07/10/2023
One KnoxvilleRichmond Kickers
22
USL League One25/06/2023
Richmond KickersOne Knoxville
22

Recent Form

Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
2W2D6L
27/09/2026
NY CosmosRichmond Kickers
32
L
20/09/2026
Richmond KickersCharlotte Independence
12
L
17/09/2026
Westchester SCRichmond Kickers
52
L
13/09/2026
Richmond KickersChattanooga Red Wolves
11
D
03/09/2026
Fort WayneRichmond Kickers
20
L
30/08/2026
Richmond KickersForward Madison
12
L
23/08/2026
Richmond KickersPortland Hearts of Pine
11
D
17/08/2026
Union OmahaRichmond Kickers
51
L
06/08/2026
Richmond KickersNY Cosmos
20
W
02/08/2026
Richmond KickersAlta
32
W
One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville
3W6D1L
28/09/2026
One KnoxvilleWestchester SC
00
D
20/09/2026
Union OmahaOne Knoxville
21
L
17/09/2026
Fort WayneOne Knoxville
23
W
12/09/2026
One KnoxvilleNaples
00
D
06/09/2026
AltaOne Knoxville
12
W
03/09/2026
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
11
D
23/08/2026
One KnoxvilleBoise
22
D
20/08/2026
One KnoxvillePortland Hearts of Pine
11
D
16/08/2026
Greenville TriumphOne Knoxville
11
D
09/08/2026
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
21
W

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
Promotion

About the Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville forecast

The forecasts for this USL League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Richmond Kickers and One Knoxville in the USL League One table

In the USL League One table, One Knoxville are 6th and Richmond Kickers 17th, 28 points apart. League goal record so far: Richmond Kickers 37-65, One Knoxville 52-36. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.