Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.44
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Independiente Medellin Rest
3 days
Deportivo Cali Rest
7 days
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali: result, form and history
Independiente Medellin beat Deportivo Cali 1-0 in the Primera A on 2 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Deportivo Cali had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Independiente Medellin.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Independiente Medellin tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 3.5 for Deportivo Cali.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%2.01
X28%3.20
224%3.73
Double Chance
1X76%1.25
X252%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.90
No47%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 0.95 = 2.21
Over 1.570%1.36
Over 2.542%2.16
Over 3.525%3.85
Under 1.530%2.90
Under 2.558%1.65
Under 3.575%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.3 = 9.2
Over 8.553%1.64
Over 9.543%1.96
Over 10.529%2.62
Under 8.547%2.15
Under 9.557%1.77
Under 10.571%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.8 = 5.7
Over 3.579%-
Over 4.561%-
Under 3.521%-
Under 4.539%-
Match Events
46'K. Klinger INJ. Medina out
61'J. Moya INR. Pajaro out
61'J. Dinenno INN. Benedetti out
64'J. Cordoba INJ. Montano out
64'H. Palacios INE. Mena Perea out
67'J. Martinez INK. Suarez out
72'G. Cuellar
78'J. Montano
78'A. Martegani
83'D. Catano IND. Moreno out
88'L. Chaverra INF. Viafara out
88'A. Martegani IND. Moreno out
88'D. Moreno
90+3'D. Moreno
Lineups
Independiente MedellinDeportivo Cali
5-3-2Coach: Rafael DudamelAvg ratingAvg rating
C25E. Chaux
30H. Palacios
4K. Mantilla
19A. Simarra
13J. Mena
14B. Perlaza
21A. Martegani
70J. Córdoba
10D. Cataño
34K. Klinger
11Y. González
1P. Gallese
15L. Chaverra
16K. Sandoval
2J. Moya
4F. Álvarez
28E. Velasco
8D. Giraldo
C5G. Cuéllar
23S. Rodríguez
9J. Dinenno
19J. MartínezIndependiente Medellin Substitutes
9Jeison Medina46'for K. Klinger
26Esneyder Mena64'for H. Palacios
20John Edwin Montaño64'for J. Cordoba78'
6Didier Moreno83'for D. Catano88'for A. Martegani88'90+3'
31Diego Moreno83'for D. Catano88'for A. Martegani88'90+3'
1Salvador Ichazo
39Luis Escorcia
5Joaquin Varela
28Andrés Dávila
Deportivo Cali Substitutes
21Nicolás Benedetti61'for J. Dinenno
13Ronaldo Pájaro61'for J. Moya
24Kalazan Suárez67'for J. Martinez
27Fabián Viáfara88'for L. Chaverra
38Alejandro Rodríguez
30Juan Jose Gomez
43Santiago Martinez
29Kevin Suárez
45Matías Botero
Match Stats
Independiente MedellinDeportivo Cali 59%Ball Possession41%
3Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots3
13Fouls17
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
510Total Passes352
440Passes Accurate288
86%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
Independiente MedellinDeportivo Cali1556Elo Rating 1659
1.11Attack 1.38
0.71Defense 2.59
14%Hit Rate 37%
12.6Shots per Game 12.4
3.8Shots on Target 5.1
7.1Corners per Game 3.5
3.0Cards per Game 1.6
Game State Tendencies
Independiente Medellin- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo Cali- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Independiente Medellin4Wins · 40%Draws330%
Deportivo Cali3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
25/01/2026Deportivo CaliIndependiente Medellin31
31/08/2025Deportivo CaliIndependiente Medellin13
17/03/2025Independiente MedellinDeportivo Cali00
05/08/2024Deportivo CaliIndependiente Medellin20
06/02/2024Independiente MedellinDeportivo Cali10
23/09/2023Deportivo CaliIndependiente Medellin22
13/04/2023Independiente MedellinDeportivo Cali30
22/07/2022Deportivo CaliIndependiente Medellin22
30/01/2022Independiente MedellinDeportivo Cali20
03/09/2021Independiente MedellinDeportivo Cali13
Recent Form
Independiente Medellin4W3D3L
30/07/2026
Vasco DA GamaIndependiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Deportivo PastoIndependiente MedellinVasco DA Gama
Vasco DA GamaIndependiente Medellin10
L25/07/2026Independiente MedellinDeportivo Pasto32
W23/07/2026Independiente MedellinVasco DA Gama22
D02/06/2026Independiente Medellin
Cucuta
Independiente MedellinCucuta21
W30/05/2026
Leones FCIndependiente Medellin
Leones FCIndependiente Medellin11
D27/05/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente Medellin10
L21/05/2026
CuscoIndependiente Medellin
CuscoIndependiente Medellin23
W16/05/2026
OrsomarsoIndependiente Medellin
OrsomarsoIndependiente Medellin11
D11/05/2026Independiente Medellin
Fortaleza FC
Independiente MedellinFortaleza FC10
W08/05/2026Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Independiente MedellinFlamengo03
LDeportivo Cali7W2D1L
25/07/2026Deportivo Cali
Jaguares
Deportivo CaliJaguares20
W24/05/2026
Real SantanderDeportivo Cali
Real SantanderDeportivo Cali12
W21/05/2026Deportivo Cali
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar10
W15/05/2026
PopayanDeportivo Cali
PopayanDeportivo Cali15
W12/05/2026Deportivo Cali
Bucaramanga
Deportivo CaliBucaramanga20
W03/05/2026
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Cali
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Cali11
D26/04/2026Deportivo Cali
America de Cali
Deportivo CaliAmerica de Cali10
W17/04/2026
ChicoDeportivo Cali
ChicoDeportivo Cali10
L12/04/2026Deportivo Cali
Llaneros
Deportivo CaliLlaneros11
D04/04/2026
JuniorDeportivo Cali
JuniorDeportivo Cali12
WReferee Profile
5.93Cards per match
5.63Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.77).
Cards come from 107 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDLWW |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LLWLW |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LWLLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | LDWDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LWDDL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LLWDL |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:14 | +19 | 36 | WWWDW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26:17 | +9 | 29 | LWLLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 25 | LLWLW |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 20 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 12 | LWDDL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 12 | WDLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 33:14 | 36 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 26:10 | 33 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 25:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 22:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 19:23 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 17:29 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 12:19 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 23:27 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 17:25 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 11:24 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Independiente Medellin and Deportivo Cali in the Primera A table
Deportivo Cali and Independiente Medellin are close in the Primera A table, 9th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Independiente Medellin 26-24, Deportivo Cali 20-16. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.