Inter vs Napoli Prediction

Serie AItaly Italy · Regular Season - 3
Inter
3-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Napoli
S. Sozza 05/09/2026
InterInter
3-2
Finished
NapoliNapoli

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Inter Rest
5 days
Napoli Rest
5 days

Inter vs Napoli: result, form and history

Inter beat Napoli 3-2 in the Serie A on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.65
X
25%3.80
2
21%5.50
Double Chance
1X
79%1.15
X2
46%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.95
No
46%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.04 = 2.79
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
53%2.02
Over 3.5
29%3.50
Under 1.5
27%3.27
Under 2.5
47%1.80
Under 3.5
71%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 3.6 = 8.4
Over 8.5
37%1.72
Over 9.5
35%2.19
Over 10.5
25%2.84
Under 8.5
63%2.05
Under 9.5
65%1.62
Under 10.5
75%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.9 = 3.4
Over 3.5
43%2.10
Over 4.5
25%3.06
Under 3.5
57%1.67
Under 4.5
75%1.31

Match Events

35'Antonio VergaraFoul
45'Pio Esposito INMarcus Thuram out
45'Petar Sučić INCurtis Jones out
50'Matteo Politano
53'Rasmus HojlundAssist: Giovanni Di Lorenzo
56'Lautaro MartínezAssist: Federico Dimarco
62'Antonio Vergara INKevin De Bruyne out
62'Matteo Politano INDavid Neres out
62'Federico Dimarco INCarlos Augusto out
68'Lautaro MartínezDissent
72'Piotr Zieliński INHakan Çalhanoğlu out
72'Rasmus Hojlund INLorenzo Lucca out
77'Rafael Marin ZamoraFoul
79'Alessandro Bastoni INAnge-Yoan Bonny out
79'Stanislav Lobotka INBilly Gilmour out
80'Alisson Santos INBenoît Badiashile out
82'Marcus ThuramAssist: Carlos Augusto
90+1'Lautaro MartínezAssist: Manuel Akanji

Lineups

Inter
3-5-2Coach: C. Chivu
Napoli
4-3-3Coach: M. Allegri
Avg rating7.11
Avg rating6.27
Josep Martínez8.01J. Martínez
Y. Bisseck6.931Y. Bisseck
M. Akanji7.625M. Akanji
A. Bastoni6.695A. Bastoni
A. Diouf7.217A. Diouf
N. Barella6.623N. Barella
P. Zieliński6.97P. Zieliński
P. Sučić7.08P. Sučić
F. Dimarco7.632F. Dimarco
F. Esposito6.894F. Esposito
Lautaro Martínez9.210L. Martínez
A. Meret6.31A. Meret
G. Di Lorenzo6.522G. Di Lorenzo
Amir Rrahmani6.213A. Rrahmani
Rafa Marín6.016R. Marín
L. Spinazzola5.937L. Spinazzola
A. Zambo Anguissa5.799A. Zambo Anguissa
S. Lobotka6.468S. Lobotka
A. Vergara5.526A. Vergara
M. Politano7.821M. Politano
R. Højlund7.519R. Højlund
Alisson Santos6.427A. Santos

Inter Substitutes

49I. Provedel
28B. Pavard
6J. Stones
5A. Stanković
14A. Bonny79'for Alessandro Bastoni6.2
20H. Çalhanoğlu72'for Piotr Zieliński6.4
30Carlos Augusto62'for Federico Dimarco6.5
12R. Di Gennaro
21C. Jones45'for Petar Sučić6.5
9M. Thuram45'for Pio Esposito82'8.0
11Luis Henrique
22H. Mkhitaryan

Napoli Substitutes

17M. Olivera
32V. Milinković-Savić
70N. Lang
6B. Gilmour79'for Stanislav Lobotka5.8
2C. Favasuli
11K. De Bruyne62'for Antonio Vergara5.9
7David Neres62'for Matteo Politano6.0
14N. Contini
31S. Beukema
5B. Badiashile80'for Alisson Santos5.9
20L. Lucca72'for Rasmus Hojlund6.7

Match Stats

InterNapoli
63%Ball Possession37%
10Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
29Total Shots16
8Shots on Goal7
14Shots off Goal4
20Shots Inside Box13
9Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots5
7Fouls7
1Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves5
544Total Passes340
486Passes Accurate265
6Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

InterInter
NapoliNapoli
1975Elo Rating 1831
2.32Attack 2.31
1.71Defense 0.81
66%Hit Rate 37%
18.6Shots per Game 18.1
7.2Shots on Target 7.8
4.3Corners per Game 4.8
2.8Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+144 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

InterInter
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
NapoliNapoli
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

InterInter3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
NapoliNapoli2Wins · 20%
2.5Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A11/01/2026
InterNapoli
22
Serie A25/10/2025
NapoliInter
31
Serie A01/03/2025
NapoliInter
11
Serie A10/11/2024
InterNapoli
11
Serie A17/03/2024
InterNapoli
11
Super Cup22/01/2024
NapoliInter
01
Serie A03/12/2023
NapoliInter
03
Serie A21/05/2023
NapoliInter
31
Serie A04/01/2023
InterNapoli
10
Serie A12/02/2022
NapoliInter
11

Recent Form

InterInter
7W3D0L
30/08/2026
CagliariInter
01
W22/08/2026
InterMonza
41
W
15/08/2026
InterReal Betis
10
W
08/08/2026
JuventusInter
12
W
05/08/2026
AC MilanInter
11
D
01/08/2026
Manchester CityInter
1131
W
26/07/2026
Karlsruher SCInter
12
W
23/05/2026
BolognaInter
33
D
17/05/2026
InterHellas Verona
11
D
13/05/2026
LazioInter
02
W
NapoliNapoli
6W1D3L
30/08/2026
NapoliComo
12
L22/08/2026
GenoaNapoli
02
W
12/08/2026
NapoliAris Thessalonikis
62
W
08/08/2026
NapoliCelta Vigo
11
D
05/08/2026
NapoliOsasuna
21
W
26/07/2026
NapoliCarrarese
20
W
22/07/2026
NapoliArezzo
13
L
24/05/2026
NapoliUdinese
10
W
17/05/2026
PisaNapoli
03
W
11/05/2026
NapoliBologna
23
L

Referee Profile

S. Sozza161 matches

4.50Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. Sozza4.50
Other referees4.59

4.50 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.59).

Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter981025:10+1525WWWWD
2LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma963023:8+1521WDWDD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan953118:11+718LWWDW
6FrosinoneFrosinone952222:14+817WDWLW
7NapoliNapoli942317:11+614WDLWD
8BolognaBologna1042414:13+114WWWLW
9JuventusJuventus942311:10+114LWLDW
10TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
11CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
12AtalantaAtalanta932416:17-111DDLWL
13GenoaGenoa93158:13-510WWLWL
14LecceLecce930610:19-99LLWLL
15SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
16MonzaMonza1021717:24-77LLLWL
17UdineseUdinese91269:18-95DLLLL
18FiorentinaFiorentina912611:21-105DLLLD
19ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
20VeneziaVenezia91086:19-133LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter925:1025
2LazioLazio922:725
3AS RomaAS Roma923:821
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan918:1118
6FrosinoneFrosinone922:1417
7NapoliNapoli917:1114
8BolognaBologna1014:1314
9JuventusJuventus911:1014
10TorinoTorino914:1413
11CagliariCagliari98:1313
12AtalantaAtalanta916:1711
13GenoaGenoa98:1310
14LecceLecce910:199
15SassuoloSassuolo914:228
16MonzaMonza1017:247
17UdineseUdinese99:185
18FiorentinaFiorentina911:215
19ParmaParma95:155
20VeneziaVenezia96:193
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

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About the Inter vs Napoli forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Inter and Napoli in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Inter are 1st and Napoli 7th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Inter 25-10, Napoli 17-11. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Napoli have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.