Bologna vs Sassuolo Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 3
M. Di Bello 06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.97
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+13.9%
Bologna Rest
5 days
Sassuolo Rest
4 days
Bologna vs Sassuolo: the result in context
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%1.97
X27%3.45
225%3.90
Double Chance
1X75%1.25
X252%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes39%1.77
No61%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1 = 2.27
Over 1.559%1.29
Over 2.535%1.98
Over 3.512%3.39
Under 1.541%3.40
Under 2.565%1.82
Under 3.588%1.31
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.1 = 9.5
Over 8.563%1.71
Over 9.551%2.14
Over 10.537%2.87
Under 8.537%2.05
Under 9.549%1.66
Under 10.563%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.558%2.10
Over 4.538%2.70
Under 3.542%1.68
Under 4.562%1.38
Match Events
19'Josh Doig
38'Cristian Volpato INDomenico Berardi out
45'Tommaso Pobega INNikola Moro out
45'Jens Odgaard INMarco Libra out
45'Rahim Alhassane INJuan Miranda out
50'Roberto PiccoliAssist: Juan Miranda
51'Emil HolmDissent
53'Roberto PiccoliArgument
54'Jay IdzesArgument
56'Vasilije Adzic
60'Vasilije Adzic INKristian Thorstvedt out
60'Luca Lipani INIbrahim Sulemana out
66'Nicolo Cambiaghi INArtem Dovbyk out
80'Nemanja Matić INAndrea Ghion out
80'Josh Doig INRafael Obrador out
86'Federico Bernardeschi INSamuel Mbangula Tshifunda out
90+1'Artem Dovbyk
90+1'Artem Dovbyk
90+4'Domenico TedescoAbusive Language
Lineups
BolognaSassuolo
4-3-3Coach: A. AquilaniAvg ratingAvg rating
1Ł. Skorupski
2E. Holm
14T. Heggem
3A. Theate
23R. Alhassane
19L. Ferguson
4T. Pobega
10F. Bernardeschi
21J. Odgaard
28N. Cambiaghi
91R. Piccoli
49A. Murić
46S. Cinquegrano
21J. Idzes
16F. Leysen
3J. Doig
17V. Adžić
18N. Matić
35L. Lipani
7C. Volpato
9K. Bowie
45A. LaurientéBologna Substitutes
8M. Amondarain
29L. De Silvestri
9A. Dovbyk66'for Nicolo Cambiaghi90+1'90+1'
22J. Enem
20N. Zortea
41M. Vitík
25M. Pessina
6N. Moro45'for Tommaso Pobega
33Juan Miranda45'for Rahim Alhassane
11S. Mbangula86'for Federico Bernardeschi
5E. Helland
18M. Libra45'for Jens Odgaard
72U. Happonen
Sassuolo Substitutes
94S. Esposito
10D. Berardi38'for Cristian Volpato
25B. Domínguez
8A. Ghion80'for Nemanja Matić
33Rafael Obrador80'for Josh Doig
26C. Odenthal
77N. Pierini
12G. Satalino
55I. Sulemana60'for Luca Lipani
42K. Thorstvedt60'for Vasilije Adzic
80S. Turati
20I. Van der Brempt
19L. Skjellerup
15D. Ćaleta-Car
Match Stats
BolognaSassuolo 62%Ball Possession38%
10Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal1
14Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box6
9Blocked Shots8
14Fouls8
0Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
556Total Passes356
518Passes Accurate305
93%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
BolognaSassuolo1759Elo Rating 1725
1.32Attack 1.24
1.81Defense 0.74
46%Hit Rate 14%
9.7Shots per Game 11.8
3.7Shots on Target 4.3
2.8Corners per Game 3.8
1.7Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Bologna- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sassuolo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Bologna4Wins · 40%Draws440%
Sassuolo2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
15/03/2026SassuoloBologna01
28/12/2025BolognaSassuolo11
03/02/2024BolognaSassuolo42
28/10/2023SassuoloBologna11
08/05/2023SassuoloBologna11
12/11/2022BolognaSassuolo30
15/05/2022BolognaSassuolo13
22/12/2021SassuoloBologna03
20/02/2021SassuoloBologna11
18/10/2020BolognaSassuolo34
Recent Form
Bologna3W3D4L
31/08/2026
AtalantaBolognaBologna
Lazio
AtalantaBologna10
L24/08/2026BolognaLazio01
L15/08/2026
BrightonBologna
BrightonBologna10
L08/08/2026Bologna
Pisa
BolognaPisa11
D01/08/2026Bologna
Cambuur
BolognaCambuur31
W25/07/2026Bologna
Iraklis 1908
BolognaIraklis 190820
W22/07/2026Bologna
1. FC Heidenheim
Bologna1. FC Heidenheim11
D18/07/2026Bologna
Arminia Bielefeld
BolognaArminia Bielefeld04
L23/05/2026Bologna
Inter
BolognaInter33
D17/05/2026AtalantaBologna
AtalantaBologna01
WSassuolo4W1D5L
02/09/2026Sassuolo
FrosinoneSassuolo
TorinoAtalantaSassuoloSassuolo
Cesena
SassuoloFrosinone4131
W29/08/2026SassuoloTorino21
W23/08/2026AtalantaSassuolo21
L17/08/2026SassuoloCesena30
W08/08/2026
FC AugsburgSassuolo
FC AugsburgSassuolo32
L05/08/2026Sassuolo
Celta Vigo
SassuoloCelta Vigo14
L31/07/2026Sassuolo
Folgore Caratese
SassuoloFolgore Caratese00
D22/07/2026Sassuolo
Padova
SassuoloPadova41
W24/05/2026
ParmaSassuolo
ParmaSassuolo10
L17/05/2026Sassuolo
Lecce
SassuoloLecce23
LReferee Profile
4.34Cards per match
4.15Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.34 cards a match, 0.26 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.60).
Cards come from 140 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:10 | +15 | 25 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | +15 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22:14 | +8 | 17 | WDWLW |
| 7 |  Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | +6 | 14 | WDLWD |
| 8 |  Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 10 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 13 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | DLWLL |
| 13 |  Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 | WWLWL |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 |  Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 17 |  Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 20 |  Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 3 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 25:10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 22:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 8:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 16:22 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 9:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 9:19 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 6:19 | 3 |
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This match
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About the Bologna vs Sassuolo forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Bologna and Sassuolo in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Bologna are 11th and Sassuolo 15th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Bologna 12-12, Sassuolo 14-22. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.