Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.49
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Juventus Rest
8 days
AC Milan Rest
9 days
Juventus vs AC Milan: the result in context
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%2.15
X30%3.29
229%3.65
Double Chance
1X71%1.29
X259%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.83
No46%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.03 = 2.62
Over 1.572%1.36
Over 2.547%2.12
Over 3.525%3.75
Under 1.528%3.17
Under 2.553%1.73
Under 3.575%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 3.4 = 8.5
Over 8.537%1.70
Over 9.535%2.13
Over 10.525%2.77
Under 8.563%2.07
Under 9.565%1.67
Under 10.575%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.1 = 3.5
Over 3.547%1.83
Over 4.528%2.44
Under 3.553%1.90
Under 4.572%1.49
Match Events
61'Alexis Saelemaekers INRuben Loftus-Cheek out
61'Diego Moreira INAlphadjo Cissè out
61'Adrien Rabiot INSamuel Chukwueze out
64'Kerim Alajbegovic INJérémie Boga out
64'Nicolás Iván Gonzalez INTeun Koopmeiners out
68'Alphadjo CissèAssist: Samuel Chukwueze
76'Douglas Luiz Soares INNick Woltemade out
79'Pervis EstupinanFoul
82'Luka Modrić INArdon Jashari out
88'Mario Gila INFilippo Terracciano out
88'Francisco Conceicao INEdon Zhegrova out
88'Zeki Çelik INFederico Gatti out
90+2'Koni De WinterFoul
90+2'Federico GattiAssist: Teun Koopmeiners
90+6'Federico GattiArgument
90+6'Alphadjo CissèArgument
Lineups
JuventusAC Milan
3-4-2-1Coach: Ruben AmorimAvg ratingAvg rating
25G. Vicario
15P. Kalulu
3Bremer
26J. Lucumí
2Z. Çelik
5M. Locatelli
12D. Luiz
7F. Conceição
31N. González
17K. Alajbegović
9R. Kolo Muani
16M. Maignan
34M. Gila
5K. De Winter
31S. Pavlović
22D. Moreira
14L. Modrić
80Y. Musah
2P. Estupiñán
12A. Rabiot
56A. Saelemaekers
9G. RamosJuventus Substitutes
11E. Zhegrova88'for Francisco Conceicao
27N. Woltemade76'for Douglas Luiz Soares
24D. Rugani
23C. Pinsoglio
43F. Pagnucco
8T. Koopmeiners64'for Nicolás Iván Gonzalez
6L. Kelly
1K. Grabara
4F. Gatti88'for Zeki Çelik90+2'90+6'
13J. Boga64'for Kerim Alajbegovic
41A. Owusu
AC Milan Substitutes
33D. Bartesaghi
13S. Bocoum
73F. Camarda
21S. Chukwueze61'for Adrien Rabiot
70A. Cissè61'for Diego Moreira68'90+6'
28C. Comotto
96L. Torriani
23F. Tomori
1P. Terracciano
42F. Terracciano88'for Mario Gila
11C. Pulišić
8R. Loftus-Cheek61'for Alexis Saelemaekers
30A. Jashari82'for Luka Modrić
20O. Hutchinson
Match Stats
JuventusAC Milan 49%Ball Possession51%
7Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots3
5Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal1
6Shots Inside Box1
8Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
10Fouls11
5Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
452Total Passes479
379Passes Accurate413
84%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
JuventusAC Milan1838Elo Rating 1838
1.13Attack 2.06
1.43Defense 1.01
37%Hit Rate 54%
13.7Shots per Game 11.0
3.5Shots on Target 4.8
6.3Corners per Game 2.8
0.7Cards per Game 1.7
Game State Tendencies
Juventus- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AC Milan- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Juventus2Wins · 20%Draws550%
AC Milan3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%0.9Avg Goals
10%Both teams scored1 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10
Previous meetings
26/04/2026AC MilanJuventus00
05/10/2025JuventusAC Milan00
18/01/2025JuventusAC Milan20
03/01/2025JuventusAC Milan12
23/11/2024AC MilanJuventus00
27/04/2024JuventusAC Milan00
22/10/2023AC MilanJuventus01
28/05/2023JuventusAC Milan01
08/10/2022AC MilanJuventus20
23/01/2022AC MilanJuventus00
Recent Form
Juventus7W1D2L
29/08/2026Juventus
Parma
FrosinoneJuventus
JuventusParma20
W23/08/2026FrosinoneJuventus01
W11/08/2026Juventus
Palermo
JuventusPalermo20
W08/08/2026Juventus
Inter
JuventusInter12
L05/08/2026
ChelseaJuventus
ChelseaJuventus01
W31/07/2026Juventus
Nice
JuventusNice20
W25/07/2026
Standard LiegeJuventus
Standard LiegeJuventus01
W18/07/2026
FC Basel 1893Juventus
FC Basel 1893Juventus00
D17/05/2026Juventus
Fiorentina
JuventusFiorentina02
L09/05/2026
LecceJuventus
LecceJuventus01
WAC Milan4W3D3L
28/08/2026AC Milan
Venezia
TorinoAC Milan
AC MilanVenezia20
W23/08/2026TorinoAC Milan12
W15/08/2026
Manchester UnitedAC Milan
Manchester UnitedAC Milan24
W08/08/2026ChelseaAC Milan
ChelseaAC Milan30
L05/08/2026AC MilanInter
AC MilanInter11
D25/07/2026
CelticAC Milan
CelticAC Milan22
D17/05/2026
GenoaAC Milan
GenoaAC Milan12
W10/05/2026AC Milan
Atalanta
AC MilanAtalanta23
L03/05/2026
SassuoloAC Milan
SassuoloAC Milan20
L26/04/2026AC MilanJuventus
AC MilanJuventus00
DReferee Profile
4.20Cards per match
4.03Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.20 cards a match, 0.26 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.46).
Cards come from 195 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:10 | +15 | 25 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | +18 | 24 | WWDWD |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22:14 | +8 | 17 | WDWLW |
| 7 |  Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | +6 | 14 | WDLWD |
| 8 |  Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | +1 | 14 | WWWLW |
| 9 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 11 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 13 | LLLDW |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 | WWLWL |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 5 | DLLLD |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 5 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 3 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 25:10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 22:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Bologna | 10 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Juventus | 9 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 9 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 9 | 8:13 | 13 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 10 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 6:19 | 3 |
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About the Juventus vs AC Milan forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Juventus and AC Milan in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, AC Milan are 5th and Juventus 9th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Juventus 11-10, AC Milan 18-11. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
AC Milan have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.