Genoa vs Frosinone Prediction

Genoa
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Frosinone
Luigi Ferraris, Genova·Antonio Rapuano, Italy 12/09/2026
GenoaGenoa
1-1
Finished
FrosinoneFrosinone

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.99
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+10.3%
Genoa Rest
7 days
Frosinone Rest
6 days

Genoa vs Frosinone: result, form and history

Genoa and Frosinone drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 12 Sep 2026. Frosinone had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Genoa.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Antonio Rapuano averages 5.32 cards a game, 0.66 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.22
X
31%3.33
2
29%3.36
Double Chance
1X
71%1.33
X2
60%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.62
No
52%2.16
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 1.22 = 2.35
Over 1.5
66%1.27
Over 2.5
43%1.83
Over 3.5
20%3.00
Under 1.5
34%3.68
Under 2.5
57%2.02
Under 3.5
80%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.2 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.52
Over 9.5
52%1.89
Over 10.5
38%2.42
Under 8.5
39%2.35
Under 9.5
48%1.88
Under 10.5
62%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.38
Over 4.5
40%1.76
Under 3.5
41%2.92
Under 4.5
60%1.99

Match Events

14'G. KvernadzeAssist: R. Schmid
16'G. CittadiniHolding
45+1'L. Colombo(Penalty missed)
46'T. Baldanzi INJunior Messias out
46'G. Cittadini INI. Monterisi out
49'K. EhizibueRoughing
50'J. VasquezAssist: D. Sow
60'K. Ehizibue INS. El Shaarawy out
62'G. BracagliaRoughing
67'J. VasquezUnsportsmanlike conduct
70'L. Colombo INVitinha out
71'R. Schmid INL. Hasa out
73'A. Raimondo INT. Bobcek out
73'F. Ghedjemis INS. Fini out
79'D. Sow INAmorim out
80'M. E. Ellertsson INF. Meichtry out
87'G. Kvernadze INA. Zerbin out
87'J. VasquezRoughing
87'J. VasquezRoughing

Lineups

Genoa
3-5-2Coach: Daniele De Rossi
Frosinone
4-2-3-1Coach: Massimiliano Alvini
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.67
Justin Bijlow6.91J. Bijlow
Alessandro Marcandalli6.927A. Marcandalli
Leo Østigård7.25L. Østigård
Johan VásquezC7.522J. Vásquez
Kingsley Ehizibue6.33K. Ehizibue
Morten Frendrup6.932M. Frendrup
Tommaso Baldanzi6.68T. Baldanzi
Djibril Sow6.997D. Sow
Mikael Ellertsson6.977M. Ellertsson
Lorenzo Colombo5.629L. Colombo
Milutin Osmajić6.318M. Osmajić
Lorenzo Palmisani6.922L. Palmisani
Anthony Oyono6.220A. Oyono
Gabriele Calvani7.03G. Calvani
Giorgio Cittadini6.32G. Cittadini
Gabriele BracagliaC6.379G. Bracaglia
Giacomo Calò6.914G. Calò
Patrizio Masini6.573P. Masini
Farès Ghedjemis6.37F. Ghedjemis
Romano Schmid6.310R. Schmid
Giorgi Kvernadze8.017G. Kvernadze
Antonio Raimondo6.59A. Raimondo

Genoa Substitutes

99Franz Stolz
39Daniele Sommariva
34Sebastian Otoa
31David Puczka
2Mario Mitaj
16Cody Drameh
11Franz-Ethan Meichtry80'for M. E. Ellertsson6.6
4Alexsandro Amorim79'for D. Sow6.9
71Samuel Wiafe
25Hamed Junior Traorè
20Stefano Sabelli
9Vitinha70'for L. Colombo6.7
92Stephan El Shaarawy60'for K. Ehizibue6.3
10Junior Messias46'for T. Baldanzi7.2

Frosinone Substitutes

91Sebastiano Desplanches
12Matteo Pisseri
30Ilario Monterisi46'for G. Cittadini6.9
90Enzo Tchato Mbiayi
5Wisdom Amey
25Kevin Akpoguma
71Aleksa Terzić
74Omar Fayed
70Luis Hasa71'for R. Schmid6.7
16Matteo Cichella
34Anouar El Azzouzi
24Alessio Zerbin87'for G. Kvernadze
89Tomáš Bobček73'for A. Raimondo6.3
11Daniel Bîrligea
40Seydou Fini73'for F. Ghedjemis6.9

Match Stats

GenoaFrosinone
44%Ball Possession56%
8Corner Kicks9
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
17Total Shots26
5Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal7
12Shots Inside Box15
5Shots Outside Box11
7Blocked Shots13
12Fouls12
2Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves4
272Total Passes351
174Passes Accurate275
64%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

GenoaGenoa
FrosinoneFrosinone
1735Elo Rating 1819
1.24Attack 3.33
2.16Defense 0.93
66%Hit Rate 61%
10.5Shots per Game 22.5
3.0Shots on Target 7.7
3.9Corners per Game 7.4
2.1Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

GenoaGenoa
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FrosinoneFrosinone
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 1.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

GenoaGenoa1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
FrosinoneFrosinone2Wins · 50%
2.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie A30/03/2024
GenoaFrosinone
11
Serie A26/11/2023
FrosinoneGenoa
21
Serie B13/05/2023
FrosinoneGenoa
32
Serie B18/12/2022
GenoaFrosinone
10

Recent Form

GenoaGenoa
3W1D6L
04/09/2026
GenoaComo
14
L
30/08/2026
LazioGenoa
10
L
22/08/2026
GenoaNapoli
02
L
16/08/2026
GenoaAscoli
41
W
08/08/2026
GenoaDeportivo La Coruna
01
L
04/08/2026
BournemouthGenoa
101
L
01/08/2026
LeicesterGenoa
01
W
25/07/2026
GenoaVicenza Virtus
22
D
19/07/2026
GenoaTrento
21
W
17/05/2026
GenoaAC Milan
12
L
FrosinoneFrosinone
5W2D3L
06/09/2026
FrosinoneVenezia
32
W
02/09/2026
SassuoloFrosinone
4131
L
29/08/2026
FiorentinaFrosinone
03
W
23/08/2026
FrosinoneJuventus
01
L
16/08/2026
FrosinoneJuve Stabia
41
W
09/08/2026
FrosinoneLazio
12
L
01/08/2026
FrosinoneBenevento
22
D
29/07/2026
FrosinoneSambenedettese
11
D
26/07/2026
FrosinoneAscoli
10
W
22/07/2026
FrosinoneFrosinone U20
10
W

Referee Profile

Antonio Rapuano123 matches

5.32Cards per match
4.99Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Antonio Rapuano5.32
Other referees4.66

5.32 cards a match, 0.66 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.66).

Cards come from 114 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1091024:8+1628WWWWW
2InterInter1081126:13+1325LWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1073028:10+1824WWDWD
4ComoComo1072118:8+1023WWWWD
5AC MilanAC Milan1063121:12+921WLWWD
6FrosinoneFrosinone1062224:14+1020WWDWL
7JuventusJuventus1052313:10+317WLWLD
8NapoliNapoli1042417:13+414LWDLW
9BolognaBologna1042414:13+114WWWLW
10TorinoTorino1041514:16-213LLWWW
11GenoaGenoa1041510:14-413WWWLW
12CagliariCagliari104159:15-613LLLLD
13AtalantaAtalanta932416:17-111DDLWL
14LecceLecce1030711:21-109LLLWL
15SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
16MonzaMonza1021717:24-77LLLWL
17FiorentinaFiorentina912611:21-105DLLLD
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19UdineseUdinese1012711:23-125LDLLL
20VeneziaVenezia101096:20-143LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1024:828
2InterInter1026:1325
3AS RomaAS Roma1028:1024
4ComoComo1018:823
5AC MilanAC Milan1021:1221
6FrosinoneFrosinone1024:1420
7JuventusJuventus1013:1017
8NapoliNapoli1017:1314
9BolognaBologna1014:1314
10TorinoTorino1014:1613
11GenoaGenoa1010:1413
12CagliariCagliari109:1513
13AtalantaAtalanta916:1711
14LecceLecce1011:219
15SassuoloSassuolo914:228
16MonzaMonza1017:247
17FiorentinaFiorentina911:215
18ParmaParma95:155
19UdineseUdinese1011:235
20VeneziaVenezia106:203
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Genoa vs Frosinone forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Genoa and Frosinone in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Frosinone are 6th and Genoa 11th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Genoa 10-14, Frosinone 24-14. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Genoa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Frosinone have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.