Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.30
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
Atalanta Rest
7 days
Cagliari Rest
5 days
Atalanta vs Cagliari: result, form and history
Match Forecasts
Match Result
157%1.70
X28%3.80
215%5.20
Double Chance
1X84%1.17
X243%2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.83
No52%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 0.87 = 2.57
Over 1.573%1.29
Over 2.544%1.91
Over 3.522%3.20
Under 1.527%3.50
Under 2.556%1.93
Under 3.578%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.7 = 9
Over 8.551%1.53
Over 9.535%1.91
Over 10.527%2.52
Under 8.549%2.31
Under 9.565%1.82
Under 10.573%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.2 = 3.7
Over 3.550%2.35
Over 4.531%3.32
Under 3.550%1.56
Under 4.569%1.30
Match Events
19'P. MendyAssist: M. Adopo
41'G. ScamaccaAssist: C. De Ketelaere
57'J. Fazzini INA. Fadera out
61'D. Maldini(Penalty)
68'S. Kolasinac INL. Bernasconi out
68'G. Scamacca INN. Krstovic out
68'J. Pedro INY. Sugawara out
77'L. Samardzic ING. Raspadori out
79'P. Mendy INKevin out
79'D. Maldini INR. Kofler out
86'F. Kessie INM. Pasalic out
Lineups
AtalantaCagliari
4-4-1-1Coach: Fabio PisacaneAvg ratingAvg rating
29M. Carnesecchi
16R. Bellanova
3O. Kossounou
42G. Scalvini
23S. Kolašinac
10L. Samardžić
19F. Kessié
C13Éderson
17C. De Ketelaere
9G. Scamacca
11J. Rowe
1E. Caprile
2Z. Pedro
C14A. Deiola
15J. Rodríguez
33A. Obert
8M. Adopo
4A. Romano
6H. Winks
10J. Fazzini
70D. Maldini
31P. MendyAtalanta Substitutes
47Lorenzo Bernasconi68'for S. Kolasinac
90Nikola Krstović68'for G. Scamacca
18Giacomo Raspadori77'for L. Samardzic
8Mario Pašalić86'for F. Kessie
22Thomas Pompei
57Marco Sportiello
40Relja Obrić
31Thomas Kristensen
59Nicola Zalewski
99Eljif Elmas
77Davide Zappacosta
Cagliari Substitutes
39Alieu Fadera57'for J. Fazzini
28Yukinari Sugawara68'for J. Pedro
22Raphael Kofler79'for D. Maldini
9Kevin Carlos Omoruyi79'for P. Mendy
23Boris Radunović
12Alen Sherri
26Yerry Mina
24Giuseppe Aurelio
20Riccardo Ciervo
32Ivan Sulev
79Yanis Massolin
27Joseph Liteta
21Roberto Gagliardini
30Demi Akarakiri
35Alessandro Sugamele
Match Stats
AtalantaCagliari 61%Ball Possession39%
3Corner Kicks2
22Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal0
13Shots Inside Box3
9Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots0
9Fouls8
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
696Total Passes442
636Passes Accurate377
91%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
AtalantaCagliari1785Elo Rating 1692
1.54Attack 0.64
1.13Defense 1.21
36%Hit Rate 31%
16.2Shots per Game 7.1
4.7Shots on Target 2.8
6.1Corners per Game 2.5
1.8Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atalanta- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cagliari- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atalanta6Wins · 60%Draws110%
Cagliari3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
27/04/2026CagliariAtalanta32
13/12/2025AtalantaCagliari21
15/02/2025AtalantaCagliari00
14/12/2024CagliariAtalanta01
07/04/2024CagliariAtalanta21
24/09/2023AtalantaCagliari20
06/02/2022AtalantaCagliari12
06/11/2021CagliariAtalanta12
14/02/2021CagliariAtalanta01
14/01/2021AtalantaCagliari31
Recent Form
Atalanta5W2D3L
05/09/2026
AS RomaAtalantaAtalanta
Bologna
Hapoel Tel AvivAtalantaAtalanta
Sassuolo
AS RomaAtalanta21
L31/08/2026AtalantaBologna10
W27/08/2026Hapoel Tel AvivAtalanta01
W23/08/2026AtalantaSassuolo21
W20/08/2026AtalantaHapoel Tel Aviv
AtalantaHapoel Tel Aviv00
D14/08/2026Atalanta
Athletic Club
AtalantaAthletic Club10
W08/08/2026
FC Schalke 04Atalanta
FC Schalke 04Atalanta03
W02/08/2026
FeyenoordAtalanta
FeyenoordAtalanta21
L22/05/2026
FiorentinaAtalanta
FiorentinaAtalanta11
D17/05/2026AtalantaBologna
AtalantaBologna01
LCagliari5W3D2L
07/09/2026Cagliari
LecceCagliari
Hellas VeronaCagliari
Inter
ParmaCagliariCagliari
Arezzo
CagliariLecce10
W03/09/2026CagliariHellas Verona12
L30/08/2026CagliariInter01
L22/08/2026ParmaCagliari01
W14/08/2026CagliariArezzo10
W08/08/2026Cagliari
Nice
CagliariNice0000
D02/08/2026
Union BerlinCagliari
Union BerlinCagliari22
D28/07/2026Cagliari
Modena
CagliariModena10
W23/07/2026
SampdoriaCagliari
SampdoriaCagliari00
D17/05/2026Cagliari
Torino
CagliariTorino21
WReferee Profile
3.90Cards per match
3.83Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.90 cards a match, 0.48 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.38).
Cards come from 41 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:10 | +15 | 25 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | +15 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22:14 | +8 | 17 | WDWLW |
| 7 |  Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | +6 | 14 | WDLWD |
| 8 |  Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 13 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | DLWLL |
| 13 |  Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 | WWLWL |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 |  Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 17 |  Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 20 |  Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 3 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 25:10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 22:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 8:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 16:22 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 9:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 9:19 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 6:19 | 3 |
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About the Atalanta vs Cagliari forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atalanta and Cagliari in the Serie A table
Cagliari and Atalanta are close in the Serie A table, 10th and 12th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Atalanta 14-15, Cagliari 8-13. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.