Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima Prediction

Primera DivisiónPeru Peru · Clausura - 8
Juan Pablo II College
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Alianza Lima
Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II, Chongoyape 06/09/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College
1-1
Finished
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Juan Pablo II College Rest
8 days
Alianza Lima Rest
7 days

Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima: the result in context

Juan Pablo II College and Alianza Lima drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%4.01
X
28%3.50
2
38%1.89
Double Chance
1X
62%1.94
X2
66%1.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.75
No
39%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.33 = 2.56
Over 1.5
73%1.25
Over 2.5
54%1.85
Over 3.5
31%3.00
Under 1.5
27%3.48
Under 2.5
46%1.90
Under 3.5
69%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.8 = 9.3
Over 8.5
54%1.80
Over 9.5
43%2.18
Over 10.5
33%2.92
Under 8.5
46%1.98
Under 9.5
57%1.56
Under 10.5
67%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
43%1.61
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
57%2.02

Match Events

33'Matías Kevin Almirón LlanesAssist: Paolo Reyna
43'Erick CastilloAssist: Jairo Vélez
54'Nilton Ramirez INJack·Duran out
64'Gaspar Gentile INAlan Martín Cantero out
71'Christian Flores INC. Villanueva out
71'Álvaro Rojas INJ. Torres out
73'Fernando Gaibor INAlessandro Burlamaqui out
73'Erick Castillo INLuis Ramos out
73'Luis Advíncula INCristian Carbajal out
75'Erinson Ramirez INJorge Toledo out
75'Janio Pósito INMateo Rodríguez out
79'Matías Kevin Almirón LlanesFoul
82'Alessandro BurlamaquiFoul
85'Nicolás Díaz INMateo Antoni Pavon out

Lineups

Juan Pablo II College
4-4-2Coach: J. Araujo
Alianza Lima
4-1-3-2Coach: P. Guede
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating6.59
M. Vega6.823M. Vega
F. Agurto6.626F. Agurto
P. Míguez6.660P. Míguez
M. Almirón7.633M. Almirón
P. Reyna7.019P. Reyna
E. Ramírez5.918E. Ramírez
Á. Rojas6.237Á. Rojas
C. Flores6.18C. Flores
J. Goicochea6.579J. Goicochea
N. Ramírez6.015N. Ramírez
J. Pósito6.589J. Pósito
A. Duarte7.21A. Duarte
L. Advíncula6.817L. Advíncula
R. Garcés7.06R. Garcés
N. Díaz6.52N. Díaz
M. Huamán7.113M. Huamán
E. Pavez6.05E. Pavez
F. Gaibor6.27F. Gaibor
J. Vélez6.820J. Vélez
G. Gentile6.125G. Gentile
F. Girotti6.599F. Girotti
E. Castillo7.58E. Castillo

Juan Pablo II College Substitutes

20H. Bazán
14J. Carhuallanqui
28J. Durán54'for Nilton Ramirez6.4
97M. Rodríguez75'for Janio Pósito6.4
21J. Stucchi
31J. Toledo75'for Erinson Ramirez6.3
88J. Torres71'for Álvaro Rojas6.7
2H. Ancajima
71C. Villanueva71'for Christian Flores6.3

Alianza Lima Substitutes

12Á. de la Cruz
11A. Cantero64'for Gaspar Gentile6.6
18A. Burlamaqui73'for Fernando Gaibor82'6.1
3M. Antoni85'for Nicolás Díaz6.4
31C. Carbajal73'for Luis Advíncula6.3
15J. Castillo
4G. Chávez
22C. Neira
9L. Ramos73'for Erick Castillo6.4

Match Stats

Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza Lima
44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots2
12Fouls11
1Goalkeeper Saves4
325Total Passes402
242Passes Accurate317
74%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
1590Elo Rating 1707
1.66Attack 1.97
2.15Defense 1.83
61%Hit Rate 73%
9.7Shots per Game 17.3
4.6Shots on Target 5.7
4.7Corners per Game 6.3
2.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Primera División22/03/2026
Alianza LimaJuan Pablo II College
20
Primera División01/08/2025
Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza Lima
12
Primera División22/02/2025
Alianza LimaJuan Pablo II College
10

Recent Form

Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College
3W4D3L
29/08/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasJuan Pablo II College
34
W22/08/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeADT
51
W15/08/2026
CuscoJuan Pablo II College
20
L08/08/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeAtletico Grau
00
D02/08/2026
Sporting CristalJuan Pablo II College
20
L25/07/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeCienciano
20
W17/07/2026
FC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II College
22
D
27/06/2026
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College
00
D
20/06/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeDeportiva Agropecuaria
00
D
30/05/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoJuan Pablo II College
41
L
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
3W4D3L
30/08/2026
Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso
01
L23/08/2026
FBC MelgarAlianza Lima
11
D
16/08/2026
Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
10
W
09/08/2026
Sport BoysAlianza Lima
11
D02/08/2026
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
31
W26/07/2026
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima
22
D20/07/2026
Alianza LimaSport Huancayo
21
W
28/06/2026
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
12
L
21/06/2026
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Lima
31
L
14/06/2026
Cesar VallejoAlianza Lima
00
D

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima31198452:23+2965DWWWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario31178655:35+2059DWLWL
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar32159854:37+1754WDWLW
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso321661050:35+1554WWWWL
5CuscoCusco321631346:44+251LDDWW
6Sporting CristalSporting Cristal321551262:47+1550LDDLL
7CiencianoCienciano311551153:43+1050WWDLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico321471149:46+349WLWWL
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo321451346:48-247LWLLW
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas321381139:51-1247WDLLW
11Sport BoysSport Boys311281135:33+244DLDWL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College321181347:57-1041LLLDD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos318111242:45-335DLWWD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau32971629:41-1234WLLLW
15ADTADT31791533:45-1230DWWDL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua32781725:46-2129LDLWL
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca32771844:65-2128WWWLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca32581938:58-2018LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3152:2365
2UniversitarioUniversitario3155:3559
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3254:3754
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3250:3554
5CuscoCusco3246:4451
6Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3262:4750
7CiencianoCienciano3153:4350
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3249:4649
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3246:4847
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3239:5147
11Sport BoysSport Boys3135:3344
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3247:5741
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3142:4535
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3229:4134
15ADTADT3133:4530
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3225:4629
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3244:6528
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3238:5818

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240DWWWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434WDLLW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WWDLW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929DWLWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WDWLW
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327LDDWW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWWWL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221WLWWL
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DLWWD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWWDL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420DLDWL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219LDDLL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LLLDL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718LDLWL
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WWWLL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616WLLLW
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016LWLLW
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sporting CristalSporting Cristal15101434:17+1731LDDLL
2Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo15101425:17+831LWLLW
3UniversitarioUniversitario1493231:20+1130DWLWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1591529:17+1228WWWWL
5Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1591529:28+128WLWWL
6FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1575325:17+826WDWLW
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1574425:17+825LLLDD
8Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1474322:15+725DWWWW
9Sport BoysSport Boys1473420:14+624DLDWL
10CuscoCusco1580725:20+524LDDWW
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1553717:23-618WLLLW
12CiencianoCienciano1452719:21-217WWDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1435624:25-114DLWWD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1534814:30-1613WDLLW
15UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua152588:22-1411LDLWL
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca15321021:37-1611WWWLL
17ADTADT1424811:24-1310DWWDL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca15121217:32-155LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1534:1731
2Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1525:1731
3UniversitarioUniversitario1431:2030
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1529:1728
5Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1529:2828
6FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1525:1726
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1525:1725
8Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1422:1525
9Sport BoysSport Boys1420:1424
10CuscoCusco1525:2024
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1517:2318
12CiencianoCienciano1419:2117
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1424:2514
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1514:3013
15UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua158:2211
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1521:3711
17ADTADT1411:2410
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1517:325
PromotionRelegation

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About the Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Juan Pablo II College and Alianza Lima in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Alianza Lima are 1st and Juan Pablo II College 12th, 24 points apart. League goal record so far: Juan Pablo II College 47-57, Alianza Lima 52-23. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.