Juventud vs Racing Montevideo Prediction
Uruguay · Clausura - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseHighGap-2.2%
Juventud Rest
3 days
Racing Montevideo Rest
6 days
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo: the result in context
Juventud beat Racing Montevideo 2-0 in the Primera División on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Juventud had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Racing Montevideo.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%2.50
X31%3.08
231%2.70
Double Chance
1X69%1.40
X262%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.77
No48%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 0.94 = 2.39
Over 1.569%1.33
Over 2.546%2.07
Over 3.525%3.72
Under 1.531%3.00
Under 2.554%1.69
Under 3.575%1.25
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
6'felipe alvarez
12'Agustín De la Cuesta Airoldi
16'Alex Vázquez
25'Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone
26'
33'Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani
41'Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani
46'felipe alvarez INfranco suarez out
60'Sebastian Da Silva INivan manzur out
68'Mirko Diaz INEmanuel Cecchini out
68'Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone INEmmanuel Más out
73'ramiro brazionis
74'Carlos Sosa
74'Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani
78'Federico Barrandeguy Martino
78'Carlos Sosa INFabrizio Correa out
78'Alex Vázquez INlucca loprete out
79'Ramiro Miguel Peralta INfacundo perez out
79'Bruno Larregui INfacundo dominguez out
Lineups
JuventudRacing Montevideo
3-4-1-2Coach: C. Chambian
1S. Sosa
24F. Barrandeguy55d. morosini
2P. Pernicone
8K. Rolón
22R. Chagas
14L. Roldán
37R. Peralta3131M. Diaz
7A. Alaniz
10B. Larregui
12F. Varese
3R. Brazionis
13A. Ceri
17R. Ferreira
4G. Cotugno
5J. Bosca
34A. De la Cuesta Airoldi
37Y. Oyarzo
39Á. Vázquez
10E. da Silva9E. da SilvaJuventud Substitutes
20B. Arady
27J. Boselli
25I. Mujica
4M. Cáceres
19R. Cecchini68'replaced by Mirko Diaz
29facundo dominguez79'replaced by Bruno Larregui
26G. Pereiro
21Facundo Nahuel Pérez Bertinat79'for Ramiro Miguel Peralta
12F. Correa78'for Carlos Sosa
23E. Más68'for Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone
Racing Montevideo Substitutes
20E. Bentancor
30R. Gadea
29F. González
33Juan Guarino
8L. Loprete78'for Alex Vázquez
1F. Machado
81ivan manzur60'replaced by Sebastian Da Silva
23N. Sosa
11F. Suárez46'for felipe alvarez
27Matias Unyicio
Match Stats
JuventudRacing Montevideo 49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards5
6Total Shots3
3Shots on Goal0
3Shots off Goal3
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0
Team Comparison
JuventudRacing Montevideo1568Elo Rating 1538
0.56Attack 1.64
2.54Defense 1.35
36%Hit Rate 23%
6.3Shots per Game 9.6
2.0Shots on Target 3.8
5.2Corners per Game 5.2
2.7Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Juventud- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Racing Montevideo- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Juventud4Wins · 50%Draws00%
Racing Montevideo4Wins · 50%
4Wins · 50%2.4Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8
Previous meetings
17/09/2026JuventudRacing Montevideo30
04/04/2026Racing MontevideoJuventud21
08/06/2025JuventudRacing Montevideo21
19/04/2025JuventudRacing Montevideo10
25/07/2022Racing MontevideoJuventud10
30/04/2022JuventudRacing Montevideo02
23/11/2021Racing MontevideoJuventud31
13/08/2021JuventudRacing Montevideo20
Recent Form
Juventud5W4D1L
08/10/2026
Plaza ColoniaJuventud
Plaza ColoniaJuventud01
W04/10/2026
Boston RiverJuventud
Boston RiverJuventud00
D27/09/2026Juventud
Cerro
JuventudCerro00
D20/09/2026
Albion FCJuventud
Albion FCJuventud13
W17/09/2026JuventudRacing Montevideo
13/09/2026JuventudRacing Montevideo30
WJuventud
Danubio11
D06/09/2026
Club NacionalJuventud22
D02/09/2026
Central EspanolJuventud
Central EspanolJuventud30
L29/08/2026Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
JuventudDeportivo Maldonado20
W26/08/2026Juventud
Oriental
JuventudOriental10
WRacing Montevideo3W2D5L
05/10/2026Racing Montevideo
Penarol
ProgresoRacing Montevideo
Liverpool MontevideoRacing MontevideoRacing MontevideoCentral EspanolDanubioRacing Montevideo
Racing MontevideoPenarol01
L26/09/2026ProgresoRacing Montevideo21
L21/09/2026Liverpool MontevideoRacing Montevideo00
D17/09/2026JuventudRacing Montevideo
JuventudRacing Montevideo30
L12/09/2026Racing MontevideoBoston River
09/09/2026Racing MontevideoBoston River32
WRacing MontevideoCentral Espanol24
L06/09/2026CerroRacing Montevideo
CerroRacing Montevideo10
L04/09/2026OrientalRacing Montevideo
OrientalRacing Montevideo12
W31/08/2026Racing MontevideoAlbion FC
23/08/2026Racing MontevideoAlbion FC10
WDanubioRacing Montevideo00
DReferee Profile
5.57Cards per match
5.50Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.57 cards a match, 0.35 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).
Cards come from 14 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 64 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Atletico Torque | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 57:40 | +17 | 60 | DLDLL |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 51:41 | +10 | 58 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:30 | +12 | 57 | DWWWD |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45:31 | +14 | 56 | LWLDD |
| 7 |  Wanderers | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 50 | LLLWL |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:41 | -4 | 41 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:38 | -6 | 37 | LDDWL |
| 12 | Boston River | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 | WLWWL |
| 13 | Cerro | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 28:51 | -23 | 37 | DDWLW |
| 14 |  Defensor Sporting | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 | DWLDD |
| 15 | Progreso | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Danubio | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 28:43 | -15 | 32 | DDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 51:27 | 64 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 34 | 57:40 | 60 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 34 | 51:41 | 58 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 42:30 | 57 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 34 | 45:31 | 56 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 34 | 41:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 37:41 | 41 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 34 | 32:38 | 37 |
| 12 | Boston River | 34 | 33:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Cerro | 34 | 28:51 | 37 |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 34 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Progreso | 34 | 31:47 | 35 |
| 16 | Danubio | 34 | 28:43 | 32 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 43 | 14 | 14 | 117:61 | +56 | 143 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 71 | 42 | 14 | 15 | 127:74 | +53 | 137 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 71 | 33 | 22 | 16 | 96:68 | +28 | 121 | LWLDD |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 29 | 23 | 19 | 81:68 | +13 | 110 | DWWWD |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 71 | 31 | 16 | 24 | 111:91 | +20 | 109 | DLDLL |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 28 | 18 | 25 | 82:80 | +2 | 102 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 75:81 | -6 | 97 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 10 | Boston River | 71 | 24 | 20 | 27 | 83:84 | -1 | 92 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 71 | 21 | 23 | 27 | 73:79 | -6 | 86 | LDDWL |
| 12 | Cerro | 71 | 22 | 18 | 31 | 61:93 | -32 | 83 | DDWLW |
| 13 | Wanderers | 71 | 20 | 21 | 30 | 66:90 | -24 | 81 | LLLWL |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Danubio | 71 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 69:84 | -15 | 75 | DDDLD |
| 16 | Progreso | 71 | 20 | 14 | 37 | 69:107 | -38 | 74 | WLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 117:61 | 143 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 71 | 127:74 | 137 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 71 | 96:68 | 121 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 81:68 | 110 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 71 | 111:91 | 109 |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 82:80 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 75:81 | 97 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 10 | Boston River | 71 | 83:84 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 71 | 73:79 | 86 |
| 12 | Cerro | 71 | 61:93 | 83 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 71 | 66:90 | 81 |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Danubio | 71 | 69:84 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 71 | 69:107 | 74 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | +9 | 16 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 | LDDWL |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 10 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 9 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 | DWLDD |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 | WLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 5:10 | 5 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 15 | LLLWL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 | DLDLL |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 | WWDDW |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 | DDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 5:9 | 4 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | DWWWD |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | DLWLW |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | DLDLL |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | WLLWW |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | LLLWL |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | DDDLD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | LDDWL |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | WLWWL |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | DWLLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | DDWLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 27 | LWLDD |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24:13 | +11 | 25 | DLDLL |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | +5 | 23 | WLLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | +8 | 21 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Penarol | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 21 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Progreso | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Juventud | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 18 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Cerro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 | DDWLW |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | +2 | 16 | DWWWD |
| 10 | Boston River | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Wanderers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | WWDDW |
| 13 | Danubio | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Defensor Sporting | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6:21 | -15 | 5 | LDWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 12 | 20:8 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 12 | 24:13 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 12 | 17:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 18:10 | 21 |
| 5 | Penarol | 12 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 6 | Progreso | 12 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Juventud | 12 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro | 12 | 14:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Boston River | 12 | 14:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 12 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Danubio | 12 | 6:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Defensor Sporting | 12 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 6:21 | 5 |
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About the Juventud vs Racing Montevideo forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Juventud and Racing Montevideo in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Racing Montevideo are 5th and Juventud 9th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Juventud 37-41, Racing Montevideo 42-30. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.