Progreso vs Juventud Prediction

Primera DivisiónUruguay Uruguay · Clausura - 11
Progreso
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Juventud
Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo·Javier Feres 17/10/2026
ProgresoProgreso
2-0
Finished
JuventudJuventud

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Progreso Rest
6 days
Juventud Rest
5 days

Progreso vs Juventud: result, form and history

Progreso beat Juventud 2-0 in the Primera División on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.17
X
28%3.34
2
43%2.08
Double Chance
1X
57%1.64
X2
71%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.67
No
46%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.31 = 2.40
Over 1.5
72%1.28
Over 2.5
49%1.89
Over 3.5
28%3.25
Under 1.5
28%3.50
Under 2.5
51%1.86
Under 3.5
72%1.32
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'Ramiro Cristóbal
58'Ramiro Cristóbal INgary silva out
58'Maximiliano Juambeltz INMatteo copelotti out
60'Ayrton Cougo
61'Bruno Larregui INGastón Pereiro out
61'Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani INfacundo dominguez out
67'Ayrton Cougo INFacundo De Leon out
67'Emiliano Alvarez INGastón Silva out
74'Rodrigo Sebastian·Chagas Diaz INEmanuel Cecchini out
74'Mirko Diaz INbruno arady out
79'Ramiro Miguel Peralta INfacundo perez out
81'gary silva
84'Agustín Ocampo INAgustin Codagnone out
87'gary silva

Lineups

Progreso
5-4-1Coach: Tabaré Silva
Juventud
5-4-1Coach: Sergio Blanco
R. Bacchia1R. Bacchia
E. Álvarez24E. Álvarez
M. Martin15M. Martin
H. Carroso13H. Carroso
A. Cougo40A. Cougo
G. Trasante16G. Trasante
A. Pinheiro5A. Pinheiro
R. Cristóbal25R. Cristóbal
A. Ocampo7A. Ocampo
N. López10N. López
M. Juambeltz8M. Juambeltz
F. Correa12F. Correa
F. Barrandeguy24F. Barrandeguy
55d. morosini
P. Pernicone2P. Pernicone
K. Rolón8K. Rolón
L. Roldán14L. Roldán
R. Chagas22R. Chagas
R. Peralta37R. Peralta
3131M. Diaz
B. Larregui10B. Larregui
A. Alaniz7A. Alaniz

Progreso Substitutes

21S. Bruschi
2S. Cardozo
30Agustin Codagnone84'for Agustín Ocampo
23M. Copelotti58'for Maximiliano Juambeltz
4L. Couture
17F. de León67'for Ayrton Cougo
12L. Fernández
22Juan Oliva
27G. Silva58'for Ramiro Cristóbal67'for Emiliano Alvarez81'87'
93gary silva58'for Ramiro Cristóbal67'for Emiliano Alvarez81'87'

Juventud Substitutes

21Facundo Nahuel Pérez Bertinat79'for Ramiro Miguel Peralta
26G. Pereiro61'for Bruno Larregui
25I. Mujica
23E. Más
50M. Idiarte
29facundo dominguez61'replaced by Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani
19R. Cecchini74'for Rodrigo Sebastian·Chagas Diaz
4M. Cáceres
27J. Boselli
20B. Arady74'replaced by Mirko Diaz

Match Stats

ProgresoJuventud
38%Ball Possession62%
4Corner Kicks10
3Yellow Cards0
8Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal7
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

ProgresoProgreso
JuventudJuventud
1482Elo Rating 1568
1.54Attack 0.56
2.17Defense 2.54
64%Hit Rate 36%
7.8Shots per Game 6.3
3.9Shots on Target 2.0
3.5Corners per Game 5.2
2.2Cards per Game 2.7

Game State Tendencies

ProgresoProgreso
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
JuventudJuventud
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ProgresoProgreso3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
JuventudJuventud5Wins · 50%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura16/05/2026
JuventudProgreso
20
Primera División - Apertura12/04/2026
JuventudProgreso
10
Copa De La Liga Auf19/01/2026
JuventudProgreso
01
Primera División - Apertura29/06/2025
JuventudProgreso
20
Primera División - Apertura18/05/2025
ProgresoJuventud
12
Segunda División18/11/2023
ProgresoJuventud
21
Segunda División07/07/2023
JuventudProgreso
11
Segunda División29/04/2023
JuventudProgreso
15
Segunda División06/08/2022
ProgresoJuventud
01
Segunda División16/05/2022
JuventudProgreso
00

Recent Form

ProgresoProgreso
4W1D5L
10/10/2026
PenarolProgreso
11
D03/10/2026
Liverpool MontevideoProgreso
32
L26/09/2026
ProgresoRacing Montevideo
21
W19/09/2026
Boston RiverProgreso
12
W
16/09/2026
ProgresoClub Nacional
01
L
13/09/2026
ProgresoCerro
13
L
07/09/2026
Albion FCProgreso
01
W
03/09/2026
Albion FCProgreso
21
L
29/08/2026
ProgresoDanubio
10
W
26/08/2026
ProgresoCA River Plate
02
L
JuventudJuventud
5W4D1L
11/10/2026
JuventudRacing Montevideo
20
W
08/10/2026
Plaza ColoniaJuventud
01
W
04/10/2026
Boston RiverJuventud
00
D
27/09/2026
JuventudCerro
00
D
20/09/2026
Albion FCJuventud
13
W
17/09/2026
JuventudRacing Montevideo
30
W
13/09/2026
JuventudDanubio
11
D06/09/2026
Club NacionalJuventud
22
D
02/09/2026
Central EspanolJuventud
30
L
29/08/2026
JuventudDeportivo Maldonado
20
W

Referee Profile

Javier Feres106 matches

6.21Cards per match
6.05Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
25.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Javier Feres6.21
Other referees6.00

6.21 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.00).

Cards come from 19 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol34198751:27+2464DLWLW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque341861057:40+1760DLDLL
4Club NacionalClub Nacional341841251:41+1058WLLWW
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo341512742:30+1257DWWWD
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo341511845:31+1456LWLDD
7WanderersWanderers341481241:43-250LLLWL
8Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
9JuventudJuventud3410111337:41-441DWLLL
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo349101532:38-637LDDWL
12Boston RiverBoston River341071733:45-1237WLWWL
13CerroCerro341071728:51-2337DDWLW
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting348121433:43-1036DWLDD
15ProgresoProgreso341051931:47-1635WLLDD
16DanubioDanubio346141428:43-1532DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3451:2764
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3457:4060
4Club NacionalClub Nacional3451:4158
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3442:3057
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3445:3156
7WanderersWanderers3441:4350
8Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
9JuventudJuventud3437:4141
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo3432:3837
12Boston RiverBoston River3433:4537
13CerroCerro3428:5137
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3433:4336
15ProgresoProgreso3431:4735
16DanubioDanubio3428:4332

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol71431414117:61+56143DLWLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional71421415127:74+53137WLLWW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7133221696:68+28121LWLDD
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7129231981:68+13110DWWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71311624111:91+20109DLDLL
7JuventudJuventud7128182582:80+2102DWLLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7126192675:81-697DWLDD
9Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
10Boston RiverBoston River7124202783:84-192WLWWL
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7121232773:79-686LDDWL
12CerroCerro7122183161:93-3283DDWLW
13WanderersWanderers7120213066:90-2481LLLWL
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
15DanubioDanubio7116272869:84-1575DDDLD
16ProgresoProgreso7120143769:107-3874WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol71117:61143
2Club NacionalClub Nacional71127:74137
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7196:68121
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7181:68110
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71111:91109
7JuventudJuventud7182:80102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7175:8197
9Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
10Boston RiverBoston River7183:8492
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7173:7986
12CerroCerro7161:9383
13WanderersWanderers7166:9081
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
15DanubioDanubio7169:8475
16ProgresoProgreso7169:10774

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1WanderersWanderers743012:4+815LLLWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional74128:8013WLLWW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado733112:6+612DWWLW
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque740311:11012DLDLL
5JuventudJuventud72238:11-38DWLLL
6Albion FCAlbion FC71336:8-26WWDDW
7ProgresoProgreso72056:11-56WLLDD
8DanubioDanubio70435:9-44DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1WanderersWanderers712:415
2Club NacionalClub Nacional78:813
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado712:612
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque711:1112
5JuventudJuventud78:118
6Albion FCAlbion FC76:86
7ProgresoProgreso76:116
8DanubioDanubio75:94

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931DWWWD
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829DWWLW
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWDDW
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727DLWLW
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124LDWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623DLDLL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522WLLWW
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221DWLDD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220LWLDD
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520LLLWL
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418DDDLD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317LDDWL
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617WLWWL
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DWLLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110WLLDD
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610DDWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1283120:8+1227LWLDD
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1281324:13+1125DLDLL
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1272317:12+523WLLWW
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1263318:10+821DWWLW
5PenarolPenarol1264216:8+821DLWLW
6ProgresoProgreso1261513:13019WLLDD
7JuventudJuventud1246212:8+418DWLLL
8CerroCerro1253414:17-318DDWLW
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1244415:13+216DWWWD
10Boston RiverBoston River1243514:15-115WLWWL
11WanderersWanderers1243513:18-515LLLWL
12Albion FCAlbion FC1240815:20-512WWDDW
13DanubioDanubio122466:13-710DDDLD
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo121659:14-59LDDWL
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1223714:23-99DWLDD
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol121296:21-155LDWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1220:827
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1224:1325
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1217:1223
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1218:1021
5PenarolPenarol1216:821
6ProgresoProgreso1213:1319
7JuventudJuventud1212:818
8CerroCerro1214:1718
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1215:1316
10Boston RiverBoston River1214:1515
11WanderersWanderers1213:1815
12Albion FCAlbion FC1215:2012
13DanubioDanubio126:1310
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo129:149
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1214:239
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol126:215
PromotionRelegation

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About the Progreso vs Juventud forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Progreso and Juventud in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Juventud are 9th and Progreso 15th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Progreso 31-47, Juventud 37-41. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.