Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction

Segra Field 19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.52
SignalSTRONGModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+15.1%
Loudoun United Rest
7 days
Tampa Bay Rowdies Rest
6 days

Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: result, form and history

Loudoun United and Tampa Bay Rowdies drew 1-1 in the USL Championship on 19 Jul 2026. Tampa Bay Rowdies had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Loudoun United.

Tampa Bay Rowdies have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.75
X
25%3.98
2
53%1.57
Double Chance
1X
47%2.21
X2
78%1.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.60
No
56%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.15
Over 2.5
39%1.56
Over 3.5
19%2.37
Under 1.5
36%4.45
Under 2.5
61%2.28
Under 3.5
81%1.52
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'P. NiyongabireFoul
21'Pedro Becker(Penalty)
38'M. SchneiderFoul
46'E. Conway INL. Perez out
46'P. Niyongabire INA. Souper out
56'D. CasciatoUnsportsmanlike conduct
65'B. AkinyodeFoul
67'J. Murphy INP. Santos out
68'R. Aman INA. Ordonez out
75'M. Schneider ING. Nigro out
80'S. Mazzaferro INS. Young out
82'T. Ulfarsson
85'M. MyersFoul
88'K. AwuahFoul
90'Pedro Becker INK. Henderlong out
90'C. Torres INN. Adnan out

Team Comparison

Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies
1434Elo Rating 1608
1.55Attack 1.72
1.86Defense 2.38
44%Hit Rate 64%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies6Wins · 60%
3.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

USL Championship29/03/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesLoudoun United
31
USL Championship28/09/2025
Loudoun UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
22
USL Championship13/04/2025
Tampa Bay RowdiesLoudoun United
12
USL Championship18/08/2024
Tampa Bay RowdiesLoudoun United
02
USL Championship30/06/2024
Loudoun UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
20
USL Championship01/10/2023
Tampa Bay RowdiesLoudoun United
10
USL Championship25/06/2023
Loudoun UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
24
USL Championship09/10/2022
Tampa Bay RowdiesLoudoun United
80
USL Championship17/07/2022
Loudoun UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
14
USL Championship24/10/2021
Loudoun UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
01

Recent Form

Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
2W3D5L
12/07/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsLoudoun United
20
L
04/07/2026
Loudoun UnitedSporting JAX
22
D
25/06/2026
Charleston BatteryLoudoun United
41
L
21/06/2026
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
11
D
14/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
14
L
11/06/2026
Greenville TriumphLoudoun United
31
L
07/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRichmond Kickers
20
W
31/05/2026
Monterey BayLoudoun United
41
L
24/05/2026
Loudoun UnitedDetroit City
00
D
10/05/2026
BrooklynLoudoun United
01
W
Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies
7W1D2L
12/07/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesNaples
20
W
05/07/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesLexington
14
L
21/06/2026
BrooklynTampa Bay Rowdies
02
W
14/06/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesHartford Athletic
01
L
11/06/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesCharleston Battery
22
D
07/06/2026
Sporting JAXTampa Bay Rowdies
02
W
31/05/2026
Louisville CityTampa Bay Rowdies
02
W
24/05/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesPhoenix Rising
30
W
21/05/2026
New Mexico UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
01
W
17/05/2026
Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies
14
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

About the Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Loudoun United and Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st in the USL Championship, while Loudoun United sit 10th, 30 points behind. League goal record so far: Loudoun United 38-48, Tampa Bay Rowdies 52-26. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.