Norwich vs Birmingham Prediction

Norwich
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Birmingham
Carrow Road, Norwich 09/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
Norwich Rest
4 days
Birmingham Rest
3 days

Norwich vs Birmingham: result, form and history

Norwich beat Birmingham 2-1 in the Championship on 9 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Norwich had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Birmingham.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 9 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%1.88
X
30%3.60
2
31%4.00
Double Chance
1X
69%1.24
X2
61%1.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.67
No
43%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.24 = 2.66
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.79
Over 3.5
31%3.00
Under 1.5
25%3.80
Under 2.5
47%2.00
Under 3.5
69%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.6 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.45
Over 9.5
53%1.77
Over 10.5
43%2.20
Under 8.5
37%2.50
Under 9.5
47%1.95
Under 10.5
57%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
56%2.00
Over 4.5
36%2.87
Under 3.5
44%1.73
Under 4.5
64%1.32

Match Events

13'Benjamin ChriseneFoul
25'Jose CordobaFoul
28'Oscar SchwartauAssist: Mathias Kvistgaarden
39'Papa Amadou DialloAssist: Andre Brooks
45'Papa Amadou Diallo INAnthony Musaba out
59'Jack StaceyFoul
60'Oscar Schwartau
60'Carlos VicenteDissent
62'Kristoffer Lund INAlex Cochrane out
62'Bright Osayi-Samuel INEthan Laird out
64'Carlos VicenteAssist: Liam Millar
65'Andre Brooks INAnte Crnac out
71'Oscar Schwartau INJacob Wright out
71'Mathias Kvistgaarden INJ. Makama out
82'August Priske INMarvin Ducksch out
82'Tomoki Iwata INLuis Vasquez out
83'Phil NeumannArgument
83'J. MakamaArgument
90+1'Benjamin Chrisene INHarry Darling out
90+4'Ante CrnacArgument

Lineups

Norwich
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Clement
Birmingham
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Davies
Avg rating6.60
Avg rating6.22
V. Kovačević6.61V. Kovačević
J. Stacey6.03J. Stacey
Ruairi McConville6.515R. McConville
J. Córdoba6.033J. Córdoba
B. Chrisene6.414B. Chrisene
K. McLean6.523K. McLean
P. Mattsson6.77P. Mattsson
A. Brooks7.011A. Brooks
P. Diallo7.719P. Diallo
O. Schwartau7.529O. Schwartau
M. Kvistgaarden6.730M. Kvistgaarden
J. Beadle6.61J. Beadle
B. Osayi-Samuel5.726B. Osayi-Samuel
P. Neumann5.75P. Neumann
C. Klarer6.44C. Klarer
K. Lund5.825K. Lund
T. Iwata5.224T. Iwata
Paik Seung-Ho5.88P. Seung-Ho
Carlos Vicente7.27C. Vicente
J. Stansfield6.528J. Stansfield
L. Millar7.217L. Millar
A. Priske6.39A. Priske

Norwich Substitutes

17A. Crnac65'for Andre Brooks90+4'6.3
6H. Darling90+1'for Benjamin Chrisene
35K. Fisher
32D. Grimshaw
25P. Maghoma
24J. Makama71'for Mathias Kvistgaarden83'6.3
49A. Musaba45'for Papa Amadou Diallo6.9
16Jacob Wright71'for Oscar Schwartau6.1
13D. Yongwa

Birmingham Substitutes

23D. Fry
27K. Fujimoto
2E. Laird62'for Bright Osayi-Samuel6.4
30Bradley Mayo
32L. Vázquez82'for Tomoki Iwata6.3
33M. Ducksch82'for August Priske6.3
20A. Cochrane62'for Kristoffer Lund6.0
3L. Buchanan
21R. Allsop

Match Stats

NorwichBirmingham
50%Ball Possession50%
6Corner Kicks7
6Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots4
12Fouls9
3Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves4
339Total Passes327
241Passes Accurate220
71%Pass Accuracy67%

Team Comparison

NorwichNorwich
BirminghamBirmingham
1649Elo Rating 1686
1.40Attack 1.91
1.41Defense 2.45
27%Hit Rate 59%
12.1Shots per Game 12.7
4.0Shots on Target 4.9
4.0Corners per Game 3.9
1.8Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NorwichNorwich
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BirminghamBirmingham
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

NorwichNorwich5Wins · 56%
Draws111%
BirminghamBirmingham3Wins · 33%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
67%3+ goals6 of 9

Previous meetings

Championship21/02/2026
NorwichBirmingham
12
Championship22/11/2025
BirminghamNorwich
41
Championship04/05/2024
BirminghamNorwich
10
Championship30/09/2023
NorwichBirmingham
20
Championship21/02/2023
NorwichBirmingham
31
Championship30/08/2022
BirminghamNorwich
12
League Cup09/08/2022
NorwichBirmingham
4222
Championship23/02/2021
BirminghamNorwich
13
Championship20/10/2020
NorwichBirmingham
10

Recent Form

NorwichNorwich
4W2D4L
05/09/2026
Sheffield UtdNorwich
13
W
01/09/2026
Stoke CityNorwich
10
L
29/08/2026
NorwichBurnley
41
W
25/08/2026
CardiffNorwich
12
W
22/08/2026
MillwallNorwich
30
L
15/08/2026
NorwichWest Brom
12
L
08/08/2026
NorwichMilton Keynes Dons
41
W
04/08/2026
NorwichCambridge United
00
D
01/08/2026
NorwichOsasuna
12
L
22/07/2026
AFC WimbledonNorwich
00
D
BirminghamBirmingham
5W4D1L
06/09/2026
BirminghamWolves
22
D
01/09/2026
BirminghamSouthampton
11
D
28/08/2026
WrexhamBirmingham
12
W
25/08/2026
BirminghamBrentford
16
L
22/08/2026
BirminghamBristol City
22
D
15/08/2026
Sheffield UtdBirmingham
00
D
08/08/2026
SwanseaBirmingham
01
W
31/07/2026
BirminghamBarcelona
3222
W
25/07/2026
CreweBirmingham
12
W
22/07/2026
Burton AlbionBirmingham
01
W

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
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About the Norwich vs Birmingham forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Norwich and Birmingham in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Birmingham are 7th and Norwich 20th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Norwich 20-22, Birmingham 20-12. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Birmingham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.