Pakhtakor vs Surkhon Prediction

Pakhtakor
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Surkhon
Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent·M. Jasur 21/08/2026
PakhtakorPakhtakor
0-0
Finished
SurkhonSurkhon

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Pakhtakor Rest
5 days
Surkhon Rest
8 days

Pakhtakor vs Surkhon: the result in context

Pakhtakor and Surkhon drew 0-0 in the Super League on 21 Aug 2026. Pakhtakor had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Surkhon.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
83%1.25
X
11%5.10
2
6%9.75
Double Chance
1X
94%1.03
X2
17%3.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.06
No
56%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.17
Over 2.5
39%1.62
Over 3.5
19%2.52
Under 1.5
37%4.20
Under 2.5
61%2.15
Under 3.5
81%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'K. Alizhonov
43'T. Ashuboyev
46'M. Pouraliganji INFlamarion out
59'O. Bozorov INS. Chinedu out
59'B. Resan INK. Erkinov out
59'A. Hussein IND. Khamdamov out
59'T. Dzebniauri INK. Yusupov out
59'D. Ramazonov INA. Temirkhanov out
59'F. Kodirov INM. Mirusmonov out
67'D. Tursunov INM. Musaxonov out
68'M. Mirusmonov
74'Z. Tahseen
81'T. Dzebniauri INS. Abdukhamidov out
89'
90+3'Goal Disallowed - offsideK. Erkinov

Team Comparison

PakhtakorPakhtakor
SurkhonSurkhon
1680Elo Rating 1443
1.47Attack 0.31
1.46Defense 2.72
31%Hit Rate 17%
19.0Shots per Game -
4.0Shots on Target -
5.0Corners per Game -
1.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+237 Elo

Game State Tendencies

PakhtakorPakhtakor
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SurkhonSurkhon
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PakhtakorPakhtakor5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
SurkhonSurkhon2Wins · 20%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League03/05/2026
SurkhonPakhtakor
11
Super League29/09/2025
PakhtakorSurkhon
10
Super League03/05/2025
SurkhonPakhtakor
21
Super League22/08/2024
PakhtakorSurkhon
01
Super League04/03/2024
SurkhonPakhtakor
03
Super League24/11/2023
SurkhonPakhtakor
12
Super League29/05/2023
PakhtakorSurkhon
10
Super League09/10/2022
SurkhonPakhtakor
11
Super League12/05/2022
PakhtakorSurkhon
22
Super League06/11/2021
PakhtakorSurkhon
50

Recent Form

PakhtakorPakhtakor
5W5D0L
16/08/2026
NasafPakhtakor
12
W
11/08/2026
PakhtakorAl Hussein
30
W
06/08/2026
PakhtakorBuxoro
22
D
01/08/2026
AndijanPakhtakor
00
D
26/07/2026
BunyodkorPakhtakor
01
W
21/07/2026
PakhtakorXorazm
21
W
17/07/2026
PakhtakorLokomotiv
11
D
03/05/2026
SurkhonPakhtakor
11
D
28/04/2026
PakhtakorNasaf
22
D
22/04/2026
BuxoroPakhtakor
01
W
SurkhonSurkhon
3W1D6L
13/08/2026
SurkhonSogdiana
13
L
07/08/2026
SurkhonNavbahor
01
L
03/08/2026
Kokand-1912Surkhon
01
W
28/07/2026
XorazmSurkhon
10
L
23/07/2026
SurkhonDinamo Samarqand
12
L
18/07/2026
AndijanSurkhon
12
W
03/05/2026
SurkhonPakhtakor
11
D
28/04/2026
SogdianaSurkhon
52
L
22/04/2026
SurkhonMash'al
21
W
17/04/2026
SurkhonQizilqum
01
L

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NeftchiNeftchi25184359:22+3758WWDWW
2PakhtakorPakhtakor25158244:25+1953LDWWW
3NavbahorNavbahor25147444:25+1949WDDWW
4OlmaliqOlmaliq25126736:32+442WWDWL
5NasafNasaf25118637:23+1441WDWWW
6BuxoroBuxoro25125837:32+541DWWLL
7LokomotivLokomotiv25117740:31+940DDWLW
8QizilqumQizilqum251041125:31-634DWDWL
9AndijanAndijan25941230:33-331DLLLW
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand25871036:39-331DLLLW
11SogdianaSogdiana25851242:49-729LDLLD
12SurkhonSurkhon25781019:28-929DDDWL
13BunyodkorBunyodkor25821526:41-1526WDLWL
14Kokand-1912Kokand-191225581225:36-1123LLWLL
15XorazmXorazm25581221:36-1523LDDLD
16Mash'alMash'al25112312:50-384LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NeftchiNeftchi2559:2258
2PakhtakorPakhtakor2544:2553
3NavbahorNavbahor2544:2549
4OlmaliqOlmaliq2536:3242
5NasafNasaf2537:2341
6BuxoroBuxoro2537:3241
7LokomotivLokomotiv2540:3140
8QizilqumQizilqum2525:3134
9AndijanAndijan2530:3331
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2536:3931
11SogdianaSogdiana2542:4929
12SurkhonSurkhon2519:2829
13BunyodkorBunyodkor2526:4126
14Kokand-1912Kokand-19122525:3623
15XorazmXorazm2521:3623
16Mash'alMash'al2512:504
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Pakhtakor vs Surkhon forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pakhtakor and Surkhon in the Super League table

In the Super League table, Pakhtakor are 2nd and Surkhon 12th, 24 points apart. League goal record so far: Pakhtakor 44-25, Surkhon 19-28. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pakhtakor have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.