Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction

Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas·Leonardo Willers Lorenzatto 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.29
SignalGOODModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-7.0%
Ponte Preta Rest
4 days
Atletico Goianiense Rest
5 days

Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense: the result in context

Ponte Preta and Atletico Goianiense drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 16 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Atletico Goianiense have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 1.5 goals a game. Atletico Goianiense tend to win more corners, 10.2 a game to 2.0 for Ponte Preta.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
12%9.50
X
21%5.00
2
67%1.29
Double Chance
1X
33%3.40
X2
88%1.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.05
No
54%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.85 + 2.03 = 2.88
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.67
Over 3.5
35%2.67
Under 1.5
23%4.13
Under 2.5
45%2.11
Under 3.5
65%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 6 = 10.3
Over 8.5
67%1.26
Over 9.5
56%1.50
Over 10.5
45%1.83
Under 8.5
33%3.28
Under 9.5
44%2.38
Under 10.5
55%1.86
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.2 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
49%-
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
51%-

Match Events

9'Sergio PalaciosDissent
32'Junior BarretoFoul
38'Danilo BarcelosFoul
42'David da HoraAssist: Rodrigo Souza
45'Guilherme Costa Marques INMatheuzinho out
45'Leandro Vilela INBruno José out
51'Gustavo Coutinho Silva LopesFoul
61'Karl Cachoeira Della Vedova Júnior INRyan Henrique Pereira Andrade out
63'Ewerthon Diogenes da Silva INJoão Pedro out
73'Ryan Henrique Pereira AndradeFoul
74'David da Hora INEmanuell Silva Ferreira out
76'Guilherme Lopes INYuri Henrique Da Silveira Alves out
84'Yuri Henrique Da Silveira AlvesFoul
87'João PedroAssist: Bruno José
90'Danilo INJuan Rodrigues Leopoldino out
90'Gustavo Telles INDiego Monteiro Leao out
90+3'Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade

Lineups

Ponte Preta
4-1-4-1Coach: Gilson Kleina
Atletico Goianiense
4-2-3-1Coach: Roger
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.89
Vinicius7.330Vinicius
3232F. Di Mauro
S. Palacios6.423S. Palacios
1515G. Caran de Oliveira
Danilo Barcelos6.414D. Barcelos
Rodrigo Souza7.55R. Souza
David da Hora7.718D. da Hora
Karl6.38Karl
Gustavo Lopes6.335G. Lopes
1919Danilo
Brandão6.59Brandão
Paulo Vítor7.61P. Vítor
Ewerthon7.12Ewerthon
J. Barreto7.23J. Barreto
Adriano Martins6.94A. Martins
Guilherme Lopes6.96G. Lopes
Leandro Vilela6.25L. Vilela
Netinho7.28Netinho
Soares Geovany6.77S. Geovany
Guilherme Marques6.810G. Marques
Gustavo Maia6.811G. Maia
Gustavo Coutinho6.59G. Coutinho

Ponte Preta Substitutes

4Diego Monteiro Leao90'replaced by Gustavo Telles
17Nicolas Silva
13Guilherme Martins Ferreira
2Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade61'replaced by Karl Cachoeira Della Vedova Júnior73'90+3'
21Vitor Ribeiro Fernandes
6Juan90'replaced by Danilo
16Kawann
7Emanuell Silva Ferreira74'replaced by David da Hora
1Guilherme Viana
20Thevyn Dos Anjos Souza

Atletico Goianiense Substitutes

17Peixoto
14Gebson
18João Pedro63'for Ewerthon Diogenes da Silva87'8.2
20Bruno José45'for Leandro Vilela6.6
19Matheusinho45'for Guilherme Costa Marques7.0
13Paulo Henrique76'for Guilherme Lopes84'5.7
15Cristiano
16Henrique Freitas Alves
12Paulo Henrique

Match Stats

Ponte PretaAtletico Goianiense
19%Ball Possession81%
1Corner Kicks18
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots33
5Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal14
6Shots Inside Box22
2Shots Outside Box11
0Blocked Shots13
17Fouls11
5Goalkeeper Saves4
159Total Passes637
90Passes Accurate561
9Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
1334Elo Rating 1647
0.50Attack 0.87
0.58Defense 1.81
0%Hit Rate 14%
8.6Shots per Game 24.8
3.5Shots on Target 4.3
2.0Corners per Game 10.2
3.3Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Ponte PretaPonte Preta0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense4Wins · 100%
1.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
0%3+ goals0 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B28/06/2026
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
20
Copa Do Brasil19/03/2026
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
10
Serie B15/10/2023
Ponte PretaAtletico Goianiense
02
Serie B24/06/2023
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
10

Referee Profile

Leonardo Willers Lorenzatto38 matches

5.18Cards per match
4.64Yellow cards per match
0.55Red cards per match
28.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Leonardo Willers Lorenzatto5.18
Other referees5.11

5.18 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.11).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ponte Preta and Atletico Goianiense in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th and Ponte Preta 20th, 39 points apart. League goal record so far: Ponte Preta 21-76, Atletico Goianiense 42-33. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.