Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 23
Providence Park, Portland 06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.68
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+11.7%
Portland Timbers Rest
7 days
Minnesota United FC Rest
7 days
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC: the result in context
Portland Timbers beat Minnesota United FC 5-4 in the Major League Soccer on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%2.16
X27%3.75
235%2.72
Double Chance
1X65%1.38
X262%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.44
No37%2.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.22 = 2.72
Over 1.578%1.14
Over 2.556%1.50
Over 3.535%2.22
Under 1.522%5.50
Under 2.544%2.55
Under 3.565%1.63
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.5 = 9.4
Over 8.555%1.36
Over 9.543%1.66
Over 10.533%2.09
Under 8.545%2.85
Under 9.557%2.13
Under 10.567%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.559%1.62
Over 4.540%2.23
Under 3.541%2.21
Under 4.560%1.63
Match Events
11'Vincent Janssen(Penalty)
20'Drake CallenderOG
24'Michael BoxallFoul
26'Vincent JanssenAssist: David Da Costa
32'Marcus CaldeiraAssist: Joaquín Pereyra
37'Jose Caicedo INJulio Joao Ortiz Landazuri out
37'Anthony MarkanichAssist: Kelvin Yeboah
45+7'Finn SurmanFoul
50'Marcus Caldeira
55'Vincent JanssenAssist: Ariel Lassiter
68'Vincent Janssen INDiego Chará out
69'Ariel Lassiter INAntony out
71'Kristoffer VeldeAssist: Antony
72'Wil Trapp INNectarios Triantis out
72'Marcus Caldeira INTomás Chancalay out
74'Jefferson Abel Díaz BeleñoArgument
78'Kelvin Yeboah INMaurice Malone out
81'Eric Miller INJoel Waterman out
82'David Da Costa INIan Smith out
88'Anthony Markanich INMauricio González Carabalí out
88'Owen Gene INCarlos Harvey out
90+2'Tomás ChancalayAssist: Carlos Harvey
90+6'Morris DugganFoul
Lineups
Portland TimbersMinnesota United FC
3-4-1-2Coach: C. KnowlesAvg ratingAvg rating
41J. Pantemis
15E. Miller
20F. Surman
4K. Miller
27J. Fory
17C. Bassett
30J. Caicedo
10D. Pereira da Costa
7A. Lassiter
14V. Janssen
99K. Velde
12D. Callender
28J. Díaz
15M. Boxall
23M. Duggan
3K. Duncan
20W. Trapp
30O. Gene
13A. Markanich
26J. Pereyra
22M. Caldeira
9K. YeboahPortland Timbers Substitutes
11Antony69'for Ariel Lassiter
6A. Bonetig
21D. Chará68'for Vincent Janssen
22O. Fernandez
88Andrew Guerra
80J. Ortiz37'for Jose Caicedo
23Ian Smith82'for David Da Costa
26H. Sulte
2J. Waterman81'for Eric Miller
Minnesota United FC Substitutes
1A. Smir
11M. Malone78'for Kelvin Yeboah
16A. Jackson
5N. Romero
67C. Harvey88'for Owen Gene
18M. Gonzalez88'for Anthony Markanich
33K. Chandler
8T. Chancalay72'for Marcus Caldeira90+2'
25N. Triantis72'for Wil Trapp
Match Stats
Portland TimbersMinnesota United FC 49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box15
4Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots2
12Fouls18
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
543Total Passes554
465Passes Accurate482
86%Pass Accuracy87%
Team Comparison
Portland TimbersMinnesota United FC1590Elo Rating 1573
1.92Attack 2.01
1.25Defense 1.73
50%Hit Rate 46%
14.8Shots per Game 17.9
6.6Shots on Target 6.6
4.3Corners per Game 5.9
2.1Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Portland Timbers- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Minnesota United FC- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Portland Timbers3Wins · 30%Draws330%
Minnesota United FC4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%3.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
19/04/2026Minnesota United FCPortland Timbers20
31/08/2025Minnesota United FCPortland Timbers11
20/07/2025Portland TimbersMinnesota United FC11
30/06/2024Portland TimbersMinnesota United FC32
19/05/2024Minnesota United FCPortland Timbers21
02/07/2023Minnesota United FCPortland Timbers41
21/05/2023Portland TimbersMinnesota United FC01
11/09/2022Portland TimbersMinnesota United FC10
30/07/2022Minnesota United FCPortland Timbers44
21/11/2021Portland TimbersMinnesota United FC31
Recent Form
Portland Timbers5W2D3L
30/08/2026Portland Timbers
Austin
Los Angeles FCPortland TimbersPortland Timbers
San Diego
Club AmericaPortland TimbersPortland Timbers
Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers
Real Salt LakePortland Timbers
FC Dallas
Portland TimbersAustin12
L23/08/2026Los Angeles FCPortland Timbers11
D20/08/2026Portland TimbersSan Diego31
W17/08/2026
Chicago FirePortland Timbers
Chicago FirePortland Timbers21
L14/08/2026Portland Timbers
Club Tijuana
10/08/2026Portland TimbersClub Tijuana31
WClub AmericaPortland Timbers31
L07/08/2026Portland Timbers
Puebla
02/08/2026Portland TimbersPuebla52
WPortland TimbersSeattle Sounders21
W26/07/2026Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake21
W23/07/2026Portland TimbersFC Dallas22
DMinnesota United FC2W4D4L
30/08/2026Minnesota United FC
Orlando City SC
San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
Atlanta United FCReal Salt LakeMinnesota United FC
Tigres UANLMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FCSan DiegoMinnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
Minnesota United FCOrlando City SC33
D23/08/2026San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FC15
W20/08/2026Minnesota United FCAtlanta United FC12
L16/08/2026Real Salt LakeMinnesota United FC11
D12/08/2026Minnesota United FC
Atlante FC
08/08/2026Minnesota United FCAtlante FC31
WTigres UANLMinnesota United FC4020
L05/08/2026Minnesota United FC
FC Juarez
02/08/2026Minnesota United FCFC Juarez12
LMinnesota United FCSan Diego11
D26/07/2026Minnesota United FCVancouver Whitecaps00
D23/07/2026Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC21
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 72:34 | +38 | 61 | WWLWD |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 59:50 | +9 | 55 | DLWDW |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 56:48 | +8 | 52 | WDLDD |
| 4 |  St. Louis City | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58:48 | +10 | 51 | LLLLD |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:42 | +1 | 51 | LWDDD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 51:38 | +13 | 47 | LDDWD |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 49:55 | -6 | 44 | WDDWL |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 60:61 | -1 | 43 | WWWDL |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 43 | LDWDD |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 43 | LLDDL |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 51:51 | 0 | 42 | LWWWD |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 53:57 | -4 | 41 | WWDWD |
| 13 | San Diego | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 57:62 | -5 | 38 | WLDDD |
| 14 | Austin | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 42:63 | -21 | 34 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 39:81 | -42 | 23 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 33 | 72:34 | 61 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | 59:50 | 55 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 56:48 | 52 |
| 4 | St. Louis City | 33 | 58:48 | 51 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 43:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 51:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 49:55 | 44 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 60:61 | 43 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 33 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 51:51 | 42 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 33 | 53:57 | 41 |
| 13 | San Diego | 33 | 57:62 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 33 | 42:63 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 39:81 | 23 |
Promotion
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This match
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About the Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, Portland Timbers are 8th and Minnesota United FC 12th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Portland Timbers 60-61, Minnesota United FC 53-57. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Portland Timbers have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.