Quilmes vs San Martin S.J. Prediction

Quilmes
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
San Martin S.J.
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
Quilmes Rest
5 days
San Martin S.J. Rest
6 days

Quilmes vs San Martin S.J.: the result in context

Quilmes beat San Martin S.J. 1-0 in the Primera Nacional on 12 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: San Martin S.J. had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Quilmes.

San Martin S.J. have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.95
X
34%2.99
2
21%4.15
Double Chance
1X
79%1.20
X2
55%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%2.23
No
61%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.06 + 0.83 = 1.89
Over 1.5
56%1.54
Over 2.5
29%2.60
Over 3.5
12%5.50
Under 1.5
44%2.35
Under 2.5
71%1.43
Under 3.5
88%1.13
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'M. Osores
46'M. Osores INE. Aguilera out
48'D. A. Mercado Carrizo
50'A. Bindella
57'N. Iachetti INL. Ferreyra out
57'F. Coronel INS. Jaurena out
62'S. Gonzalez
68'U. Vera INA. Lavezzi out
73'E. Aguilera
75'J. Yangali
76'J. Novillo
76'G. Acosta
77'S. Gonzalez ING. Hachen out
83'A. Spetale INA. Kippes out
83'J. Yangali INF. Yozwiak out
88'F. Nadalin INN. Paz out
88'A. Ortega INM. Vallejos out
88'R. Martinez INN. Colazo out
90'M. Cocca
90+4'F. Yozwiak

Team Comparison

QuilmesQuilmes
San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.
1520Elo Rating 1563
0.82Attack 0.98
2.31Defense 1.61
41%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

QuilmesQuilmes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

QuilmesQuilmes1Wins · 25%
Draws00%
San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3Wins · 75%
2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional25/04/2026
San Martin S.J.Quilmes
10
Primera Nacional06/08/2024
QuilmesSan Martin S.J.
01
Primera Nacional16/03/2024
San Martin S.J.Quilmes
03
Primera Nacional04/06/2022
San Martin S.J.Quilmes
21

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez351615434:16+1863DWDDW
2AtlantaAtlanta351941242:34+861WLWWW
3TemperleyTemperley351612741:29+1260LDWWL
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy351610952:44+858LWDLD
5MidlandMidland351591143:29+1454WLWDL
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3514101137:34+352LWDLW
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu351491243:34+951WLDWW
8ColegialesColegiales351491236:32+451DWDWW
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3512121137:35+248DDDLL
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3511101429:38-943WLWDL
13QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
14AlmagroAlmagro351191532:42-1042DLWWL
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors351161827:35-839WWLWL
16PatronatoPatronato357161229:35-637LLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago359101625:34-937DLLLW
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes35682126:60-3426LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3534:1663
2AtlantaAtlanta3542:3461
3TemperleyTemperley3541:2960
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3552:4458
5MidlandMidland3543:2954
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3537:3452
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3543:3451
8ColegialesColegiales3536:3251
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3537:3548
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3529:3843
13QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
14AlmagroAlmagro3532:4242
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3527:3539
16PatronatoPatronato3529:3537
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3525:3437
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3526:6026
PromotionRelegation

About the Quilmes vs San Martin S.J. forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Quilmes and San Martin S.J. in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, San Martin S.J. are 9th and Quilmes 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Quilmes 32-30, San Martin S.J. 37-35. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.