Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica Prediction

09/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseHighGap-1.1%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+6.9%
Recoleta Rest
3 days
San Marcos de Arica Rest
3 days

Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica: result, form and history

Recoleta beat San Marcos de Arica 2-1 in the Primera B on 9 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

San Marcos de Arica have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.54
X
33%3.08
2
27%2.63
Double Chance
1X
73%1.41
X2
60%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.84
No
52%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 0.98 = 2.34
Over 1.5
66%1.36
Over 2.5
42%2.15
Over 3.5
22%3.80
Under 1.5
34%2.87
Under 2.5
58%1.63
Under 3.5
78%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'A. Barboza
46'G. Estigarribia INF. Flores out
62'F. Flores
63'F. Alarcon INI. Lara out
63'N. Arismendy INF. Tomarelli out
63'M. Arguinarena INC. Gonzalez out
67'A. Maidana ING. Reyes out
67'E. Benavides IND. Pereira out
78'B. Sagredo INN. Donadell out
79'C. Melivilu Fuentes INN. Zedan out
83'G. Alvarez
84'G. Alvarez INN. Carvajal out

Team Comparison

RecoletaRecoleta
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
1458Elo Rating 1473
1.02Attack 1.29
0.80Defense 1.98
17%Hit Rate 58%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

RecoletaRecoleta
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

RecoletaRecoleta0Wins · 0%
Draws229%
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica5Wins · 71%
2.4Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Primera B05/05/2026
San Marcos de AricaRecoleta
10
Primera B08/09/2025
RecoletaSan Marcos de Arica
00
Primera B04/05/2025
San Marcos de AricaRecoleta
21
Primera B18/08/2024
San Marcos de AricaRecoleta
21
Primera B07/04/2024
RecoletaSan Marcos de Arica
12
Primera B29/07/2023
San Marcos de AricaRecoleta
32
Primera B10/03/2023
RecoletaSan Marcos de Arica
11

Recent Form

RecoletaRecoleta
3W4D3L
06/09/2026
AntofagastaRecoleta
12
W
30/08/2026
Curico UnidoRecoleta
00
D
27/08/2026
RecoletaO'Higgins
13
L
22/08/2026
RecoletaDeportes Copiapo
21
W
18/08/2026
Deportes TemucoRecoleta
11
D
13/08/2026
RecoletaRangers de Talca
42
W
08/08/2026
Union San FelipeRecoleta
00
D
02/08/2026
RecoletaD. Puerto Montt
01
L
28/07/2026
Union EspanolaRecoleta
21
L
07/07/2026
Colo ColoRecoleta
22
D
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
2W2D6L
06/09/2026
San Marcos de AricaDeportes Copiapo
21
W
01/09/2026
CobreloaSan Marcos de Arica
20
L
22/08/2026
San Marcos de AricaRangers de Talca
12
L
16/08/2026
Union EspanolaSan Marcos de Arica
21
L
13/08/2026
San Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
01
L
08/08/2026
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos de Arica
11
D
06/08/2026
Coquimbo UnidoSan Marcos de Arica
10
L
01/08/2026
San Marcos de AricaDeportes Iquique
11
D
26/07/2026
San Marcos de AricaMagallanes
20
W
06/07/2026
Deportes LimacheSan Marcos de Arica
41
L

League Table

Primera B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CobreloaCobreloa29159552:30+2254WWLWW
2San LuisSan Luis29159544:30+1454DWWWW
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers29148748:32+1650WWLLL
4AntofagastaAntofagasta29139751:26+2548WDWWL
5MagallanesMagallanes29137945:44+146LLWWW
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica291110835:28+743WDLWW
7RecoletaRecoleta29119941:43-242DLLWD
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo291181043:42+141DLWWW
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola291161234:37-339LWLLD
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique29911942:33+938WDWWW
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt291151329:36-738WDLLL
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco30991246:45+136LLDWL
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido308101230:47-1734WLDWL
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz294121329:43-1424DDLLD
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe29581619:53-3423LDLLL
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca29561828:47-1921LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CobreloaCobreloa2952:3054
2San LuisSan Luis2944:3054
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers2948:3250
4AntofagastaAntofagasta2951:2648
5MagallanesMagallanes2945:4446
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica2935:2843
7RecoletaRecoleta2941:4342
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo2943:4241
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola2934:3739
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique2942:3338
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt2929:3638
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco3046:4536
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido3030:4734
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz2929:4324
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe2919:5323
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca2928:4721

About the Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Recoleta and San Marcos de Arica in the Primera B table

San Marcos de Arica and Recoleta are close in the Primera B table, 6th and 7th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Recoleta 41-43, San Marcos de Arica 35-28. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

San Marcos de Arica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.