Riga vs Kairat Almaty Prediction
World · League Stage - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseHighGap-10.1%
Riga Rest
5 days
Kairat Almaty Rest
5 days
Riga vs Kairat Almaty: the result in context
Riga and Kairat Almaty drew 1-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
151%1.92
X26%3.46
223%4.00
Double Chance
1X78%1.22
X249%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.82
No51%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 0.89 = 2.16
Over 1.570%1.30
Over 2.547%2.01
Over 3.528%3.50
Under 1.530%3.25
Under 2.553%1.80
Under 3.572%1.28
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
5'M. Gual(Penalty)
12'S. Oulad M'HandAssist: M. Tonisevs
23'J. OksanenRoughing
28'M. Badamosi(Penalty missed)
56'E. TapalovFoul
61'M. Badamosi INReginaldo Ramires out
73'Edmilson INI. Bekbolat out
79'A. Mrynskiy INA. Tuyakbaev out
80'G. Mendonsa IND. Kasabulat out
86'R. Aouani INS. L. Robalo Pedro out
86'M. Diop INC. Saco out
90+3'A. MartynovichRoughing
Lineups
RigaKairat Almaty
4-2-3-1Avg ratingAvg rating
12K. Pirić
23M. Tonisevs
21B. Musah
5K. Gameni Wassom
C13R. Jurkovskis
40A. Ankrah
8I. Siqueira Augusto
22M. Diop
18S. Oulad M'Hand
7R. Aouani
19M. Badamosi
1T. Anarbekov
20E. Tapalov
C14A. Martynovich
25A. Shirobokov
3L. Mata
22G. Mendonca
13J. Oksanen
24A. Mrynskiy
28M. Gual
19O. Jukkola
9EdmilsonRiga Substitutes
10Reginaldo Ramires61'for M. Badamosi
44Marcis Kazainis
91Frenks Orols
34Antonijs Černomordijs
6Coli Saco86'for M. Diop
15Samuel Pedro86'for R. Aouani
25Abdulrahman Taiwo
Kairat Almaty Substitutes
81Ismail Bekbolat73'for Edmilson
82Sherkhan Kalmurza
5Lev Kurgin
4Damir Kasabulat80'for G. Mendonsa
6Adilet Sadybekov
8Olzhas Baibek
17Azamat Tuyakbayev79'for A. Mrynskiy
27Mukhamedali Abish
15Mansur Birkurmanov
Match Stats
RigaKairat Almaty 64%Ball Possession36%
2Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots14
8Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box9
4Blocked Shots5
8Fouls16
4Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves7
620Total Passes351
540Passes Accurate271
87%Pass Accuracy77%
Team Comparison
RigaKairat Almaty1765Elo Rating 1649
2.41Attack 2.05
1.87Defense 1.15
61%Hit Rate 34%
18.2Shots per Game 12.8
7.0Shots on Target 2.8
4.8Corners per Game 4.2
1.7Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+116 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Riga- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Kairat Almaty- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Riga6W3D1L
10/10/2026
TukumsRiga
FS JelgavaRigaRiga
AudaRiga
BFC Daugavpils
FK LiepajaRigaRiga
KI Klaksvik
TukumsRiga02
W03/10/2026
ArisRiga
19/09/2026ArisRiga12
WFS JelgavaRiga01
W15/09/2026
Super NovaRiga
11/09/2026Super NovaRiga01
WRigaAuda22
D07/09/2026RigaBFC Daugavpils11
D03/09/2026
Rīgas FSRiga
31/08/2026Rīgas FSRiga23
WFK LiepajaRiga32
L27/08/2026RigaKI Klaksvik21
W23/08/2026Rīgas FSRiga
Rīgas FSRiga33
DKairat Almaty5W0D5L
10/10/2026Kairat Almaty
ZhetysuKairat Almaty
FK Tobol Kostanay
AnderlechtKairat AlmatyKairat AlmatyAnderlechtKairat Almaty
UlytauKairat Almaty
Levski Sofia
Kairat AlmatyZhetysu10
W17/09/2026
FC AstanaKairat Almaty
13/09/2026FC AstanaKairat Almaty10
LKairat AlmatyFK Tobol Kostanay14
L09/09/2026Kairat Almaty
Zhenys
Kairat AlmatyZhenys30
W05/09/2026
KaspiyKairat Almaty
KaspiyKairat Almaty03
W31/08/2026
Yelimay SemeyKairat Almaty
27/08/2026Yelimay SemeyKairat Almaty02
WAnderlechtKairat Almaty30
L20/08/2026Kairat AlmatyAnderlecht03
L15/08/2026Kairat AlmatyUlytau31
W11/08/2026Kairat AlmatyLevski Sofia01
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Conference League
Explore more predictions
This match
- Riga Predictions
- Kairat Almaty Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League top scorers
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the Riga vs Kairat Almaty forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Riga and Kairat Almaty have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.