Rodez vs Nancy Prediction

Rodez
3-4
Finished
HT 2-1
Nancy
Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez·Gael Angoula 18/09/2026
RodezRodez
3-4
Finished
NancyNancy

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.37
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Rodez Rest
7 days
Nancy Rest
7 days

Rodez vs Nancy: result, form and history

Nancy beat Rodez 4-3 in the Ligue 2 on 18 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Gael Angoula averages 3.43 cards a game, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.32
X
25%3.38
2
29%2.88
Double Chance
1X
71%1.37
X2
54%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.62
No
51%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 0.99 = 2.40
Over 1.5
69%1.25
Over 2.5
44%1.85
Over 3.5
25%3.05
Under 1.5
31%3.75
Under 2.5
56%1.95
Under 3.5
75%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.45
Over 9.5
54%1.79
Over 10.5
41%2.26
Under 8.5
37%2.50
Under 9.5
46%1.96
Under 10.5
59%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%-
Over 4.5
30%-
Under 3.5
50%-
Under 4.5
70%-

Match Events

4'Ilyes HousniAssist: Pape Meissa Ba
7'Yannis NahounouOG
16'Loni LaurentFoul
20'Raphael LipinskiAssist: Antonin Cartillier
47'Pape Meissa BaAssist: Nordine Kandil
51'Nehemiah FernandezAssist: Nordine Kandil
59'Jean Lambert Evan'sAssist: Mathis Touho
64'Steven Luyambula Biwa INCorentin Issanchou Roubiou out
64'Nachon Nsingi INKenny Nagera out
64'Nordine Kandil INZakaria Fdaouch out
72'Mathis SakaFoul
74'Pape Meissa Ba
80'Jean Lambert Evan's INRyan Ponti out
80'Mathis Saka INOctave Joly out
80'Loni Laurent INDamjan Pavlović out
86'El Hadari Raheriniaina INChafik El Hansar out
86'Pape Meissa Ba INMamadou Fofana out
90+1'Mathis MagninFoul
90+4'Walid Bouabdeli INJeremy Gelin out

Lineups

Rodez
4-4-2Coach: D. Santini
Nancy
4-4-2Coach: O. Tanchot
Avg rating6.00
Avg rating6.86
E. Crombez6.130E. Crombez
L. Quenabio4.824L. Quenabio
M. Magnin6.04M. Magnin
R. Lipinski6.83R. Lipinski
E. Jean-Lambert5.915E. Jean-Lambert
S. Luyambula Biwa5.728S. Luyambula Biwa
M. Saka5.410M. Saka
J. Mendes6.46J. Mendes
Antonin Cartillier6.629A. Cartillier
N. Nsingi6.39N. Nsingi
M. Touho6.911M. Touho
E. Basilio5.91E. Basilio
N. Fernandez-Veliz7.04N. Fernandez-Veliz
Y. Nahounou6.077Y. Nahounou
E. Mendy6.621E. Mendy
E. Tacafred6.544E. Tacafred
N. Kandil8.670N. Kandil
K. Kebe6.86K. Kebe
W. Bouabdelli6.68W. Bouabdelli
El Hadari6.512E. Hadari
I. Housni8.29I. Housni
P. Meïssa Ba9.55P. Meïssa Ba

Rodez Substitutes

22O. Joly80'for Mathis Saka5.8
13C. Roubiou64'for Steven Luyambula Biwa5.6
27M. Essimi Ateba
16L. Margueron
7K. Nagera64'for Nachon Nsingi6.3
21K. Nsona
8D. Pavlović80'for Loni Laurent5.9
20R. Ponti80'for Jean Lambert Evan's5.7
17L. Vungele Vangi

Nancy Substitutes

17Mamadou Fofana II86'for Pape Meissa Ba5.8
7Z. Fdaouch64'for Nordine Kandil6.4
45C. El Hansar86'for El Hadari Raheriniaina5.8
10A. Dabasse
11I. Cisse
25J. Gélin90+4'for Walid Bouabdeli
30G. Lembet
14N. Saint-Ruf
22L. Ndenbe

Match Stats

RodezNancy
40%Ball Possession60%
4Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards0
10Total Shots24
5Shots on Goal8
2Shots off Goal11
7Shots Inside Box19
3Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots5
13Fouls9
0Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
349Total Passes531
249Passes Accurate448
6Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

RodezRodez
NancyNancy
1619Elo Rating 1619
1.15Attack 1.73
1.29Defense 1.99
50%Hit Rate 86%
13.5Shots per Game 16.5
4.7Shots on Target 4.9
5.2Corners per Game 5.0
1.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RodezRodez
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NancyNancy
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

RodezRodez2Wins · 33%
Draws467%
NancyNancy0Wins · 0%
2.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligue 223/01/2026
NancyRodez
13
Ligue 209/08/2025
RodezNancy
00
Ligue 219/04/2022
RodezNancy
11
Ligue 220/11/2021
NancyRodez
02
Ligue 208/05/2021
RodezNancy
11
Ligue 208/01/2021
NancyRodez
22

Recent Form

RodezRodez
4W2D4L
11/09/2026
RodezGrenoble
01
L
05/09/2026
MetzRodez
41
L
28/08/2026
RodezPAU
22
D
22/08/2026
NantesRodez
25
W
14/08/2026
AnnecyRodez
20
L
08/08/2026
RodezLaval
31
W
01/08/2026
MontpellierRodez
42
L
25/07/2026
ToulouseRodez
11
D
22/07/2026
RodezNimes
21
W
17/07/2026
RodezCannes
41
W
NancyNancy
3W4D3L
11/09/2026
NancyReims
12
L
07/09/2026
NantesNancy
10
L
28/08/2026
NancyDunkerque
20
W
21/08/2026
PAUNancy
01
W
14/08/2026
NancyMontpellier
01
L
08/08/2026
BoulogneNancy
00
D
01/08/2026
NancyDijon
22
D
01/08/2026
EpinalNancy
00
D
28/07/2026
NancyAnnecy
11
D
24/07/2026
NancyHaguenau
50
W

Referee Profile

Gael Angoula129 matches

3.43Cards per match
3.25Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gael Angoula3.43
Other referees4.00

3.43 cards a match, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).

Cards come from 121 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2MontpellierMontpellier1063113:6+721WWWDW
3PAUPAU1162316:11+520WWWWW
4NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
5ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8DijonDijon1143420:19+115WLLWW
9MetzMetz1135317:17014LDWLD
10RodezRodez1141617:22-513WWLLL
11DunkerqueDunkerque1133514:17-312LDWLL
12GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
13SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
14BoulogneBoulogne111737:8-110LDWDL
15NantesNantes1123612:18-69DLLDW
16LavalLaval1123614:21-79WLDLD
17Clermont FootClermont Foot1108310:15-58DLDLD
18GrenobleGrenoble1122710:20-108LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2MontpellierMontpellier1013:621
3PAUPAU1116:1120
4NancyNancy1012:819
5ReimsReims1020:1218
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8DijonDijon1120:1915
9MetzMetz1117:1714
10RodezRodez1117:2213
11DunkerqueDunkerque1114:1712
12GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
13SochauxSochaux108:1211
14BoulogneBoulogne117:810
15NantesNantes1112:189
16LavalLaval1114:219
17Clermont FootClermont Foot1110:158
18GrenobleGrenoble1110:208
PromotionRelegation

About the Rodez vs Nancy forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rodez and Nancy in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, Nancy are 4th and Rodez 10th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Rodez 17-22, Nancy 12-8. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.