Nantes vs Rodez Prediction

Nantes
2-5
Finished
HT 2-1
Rodez
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes·Ahmed Taleb, France 22/08/2026
NantesNantes
2-5
Finished
RodezRodez

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Nantes Rest
7 days
Rodez Rest
7 days

Nantes vs Rodez: result, form and history

Rodez beat Nantes 5-2 in the Ligue 2 on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.73
X
27%3.75
2
22%4.41
Double Chance
1X
78%1.20
X2
48%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.73
No
49%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.96 = 2.33
Over 1.5
70%1.25
Over 2.5
46%1.83
Over 3.5
25%3.00
Under 1.5
30%3.75
Under 2.5
54%1.97
Under 3.5
75%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
62%1.31
Over 9.5
51%1.56
Over 10.5
41%1.87
Under 8.5
38%2.95
Under 9.5
49%2.27
Under 10.5
59%1.85
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.6 = 3.3
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
19%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
81%-

Match Events

4'K. CorredorAssist: M. Cafaro
7'C. IssanchouFoul
15'I. BaldeAssist: R. Ponti
24'K. CorredorAssist: W. Younoussa
45+3'K. Corredor IND. Tabibou out
47'R. Ponti
55'M. CafaroFoul
63'R. Ponti INE. Jean-Lambert out
63'D. Pavlovic INO. Joly out
68'J. MendesFoul
69'I. Sissoko INB. Deuff out
69'J. Lepenant INL. Leroux out
69'M. Cafaro INM. Dabo out
71'I. BaldeAssist: R. Lipinski
72'I. BaldeAssist: R. Lipinski
73'I. BaldeUnsportsmanlike conduct
74'C. Issanchou INS. Luyambula out
74'I. Balde INK. Nagera out
76'W. YounoussaFoul
86'M. Touho INN. Nsingi out
87'H. Guirassy INJ. Kone out
90+5'S. SowOG

Lineups

Nantes
4-1-4-1Coach: Michel Der Zakarian
Rodez
5-3-2Coach: Didier Santini
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating6.99
Maxime Dupé5.31M. Dupé
Frédéric GuilbertC6.224F. Guilbert
Saïdou Sow5.24S. Sow
Lucas Perrin6.25L. Perrin
Kelvin Amian5.698K. Amian
Ibrahima Sissoko6.928I. Sissoko
Mathieu Cafaro7.920M. Cafaro
Johann Lepenant6.68J. Lepenant
Wilitty Younoussa7.323W. Younoussa
Bahereba Guirassy6.211B. Guirassy
Killian Corredor8.312K. Corredor
Lucas Margueron6.616L. Margueron
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou6.313C. Issanchou Roubiou
Loni Laurent7.324L. Laurent
Mathis Magnin6.64M. Magnin
Raphaël LipinskiC7.63R. Lipinski
Ryan Ponti7.520R. Ponti
Jordan Mendes Correia6.56J. Mendes Correia
Damjan Pavlović6.38D. Pavlović
Antonin Cartillier7.229A. Cartillier
Ibrahima Baldé10.018I. Baldé
Mathis Touho5.911M. Touho

Nantes Substitutes

17Dehmaine Tabibou45+3'for K. Corredor5.9
52Bahmed Deuff69'for I. Sissoko6.7
19Louis Leroux69'for J. Lepenant6.3
47Moustapha Dabo69'for M. Cafaro6.5
49Doumbia Koné87'for H. Guirassy6.3
16Alexis Mirbach
65Hugo Lamy
78Tylel Tati
99Mohamed Camara

Rodez Substitutes

15Evan’s Jean-Lambert63'for R. Ponti6.9
22Octave Joly63'for D. Pavlovic6.9
28Steven Luyambula Biwa74'for C. Issanchou7.0
7Kenny Nagera74'for I. Balde6.7
9Nachon Nsingi86'for M. Touho6.5
30Enzo Crombez
17Luzolo Vangi Vungele
5Clément Jolibois

Match Stats

NantesRodez
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal8
10Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots3
14Fouls18
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
512Total Passes341
447Passes Accurate279
87%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

NantesNantes
RodezRodez
1589Elo Rating 1619
0.94Attack 1.15
1.78Defense 1.29
14%Hit Rate 50%
11.5Shots per Game 13.5
3.4Shots on Target 4.7
6.0Corners per Game 5.2
2.5Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NantesNantes
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
RodezRodez
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

NantesNantes
3W1D6L
14/08/2026
LavalNantes
21
L
08/08/2026
NantesRED Star FC 93
01
L
31/07/2026
NantesAl Wakrah
51
W
25/07/2026
Le MansNantes
10
L
22/07/2026
NantesLa Roche VF
11
D
18/07/2026
LorientNantes
10
L
11/07/2026
Fleury 91Nantes
05
W
08/05/2026
LensNantes
10
L
02/05/2026
NantesMarseille
30
W
26/04/2026
RennesNantes
21
L
RodezRodez
6W1D3L
14/08/2026
AnnecyRodez
20
L
08/08/2026
RodezLaval
31
W
01/08/2026
MontpellierRodez
42
L
25/07/2026
ToulouseRodez
11
D
22/07/2026
RodezNimes
21
W
17/07/2026
RodezCannes
41
W
10/07/2026
RodezBastia
53
W
15/05/2026
Saint EtienneRodez
7060
L
12/05/2026
RED Star FC 93Rodez
23
W
09/05/2026
AnnecyRodez
12
W

Referee Profile

Ahmed Taleb115 matches

3.50Cards per match
3.23Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ahmed Taleb3.50
Other referees3.97

3.50 cards a match, 0.47 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2MontpellierMontpellier1173116:6+1024WWWWD
3PAUPAU1162316:11+520WWWWW
4NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
5ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1151514:15-116LWLWL
8DijonDijon1143420:19+115WLLWW
9MetzMetz1135317:17014LDWLD
10RodezRodez1141617:22-513WWLLL
11DunkerqueDunkerque1133514:17-312LDWLL
12GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
13SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
14BoulogneBoulogne111737:8-110LDWDL
15NantesNantes1123612:18-69DLLDW
16LavalLaval1123614:21-79WLDLD
17Clermont FootClermont Foot1108310:15-58DLDLD
18GrenobleGrenoble1122710:20-108LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2MontpellierMontpellier1116:624
3PAUPAU1116:1120
4NancyNancy1012:819
5ReimsReims1020:1218
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1114:1516
8DijonDijon1120:1915
9MetzMetz1117:1714
10RodezRodez1117:2213
11DunkerqueDunkerque1114:1712
12GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
13SochauxSochaux108:1211
14BoulogneBoulogne117:810
15NantesNantes1112:189
16LavalLaval1114:219
17Clermont FootClermont Foot1110:158
18GrenobleGrenoble1110:208
PromotionRelegation

About the Nantes vs Rodez forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nantes and Rodez in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, Rodez are 10th and Nantes 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Nantes 12-18, Rodez 17-22. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nantes and Rodez have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.