Montpellier vs Dijon Prediction

Montpellier
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Dijon
Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier·Remi Landry, France 08/08/2026
MontpellierMontpellier
1-1
Finished
DijonDijon

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.36
SignalSTRONGModel33%SurpriseHighGap+10.6%
Montpellier Rest
7 days
Dijon Rest
7 days

Montpellier vs Dijon: result, form and history

Montpellier and Dijon drew 1-1 in the Ligue 2 on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.94
X
30%3.35
2
27%3.90
Double Chance
1X
73%1.23
X2
57%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.90
No
36%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.3 = 2.89
Over 1.5
79%1.36
Over 2.5
58%2.10
Over 3.5
36%3.80
Under 1.5
21%3.08
Under 2.5
42%1.70
Under 3.5
64%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'Nordan MukieleSimulation
43'Brandon NdeziFoul
63'Daylam MeddahPersistent fouling
64'N. Mukiele INY. Issoufou out
64'N. El Hannach ING. Ayem out
65'Théo ChennahiFoul
66'P. Bellon INA. Lembezat out
66'Y. Barka INT. Dong out
72'B. Ndezi INS. Chouchane out
73'M. Barreto INY. Aka out
76'Adel LembezatFoul
80'D. Meddah INH. Abderrebi out
82'A. Ntamack INJ. Tavares out
85'M. Camara INL. Megnan-Pave out
89'Lenny LacroixFoul
90'Y. MouangaAssist: T. Sainte-Luce
90'A. Lembezat

Lineups

Montpellier
4-3-3Coach: Zoumana Camara
Dijon
4-4-2Coach: Baptiste Ridira
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.89
S. Ngapandouetnbu7.231S. Ngapandouetnbu
N. El Hannach7.23N. El Hannach
J. LaporteC6.915J. Laporte
Y. Mouanga7.66Y. Mouanga
T. Sainte-Luce7.217T. Sainte-Luce
T. Chennahi7.344T. Chennahi
D. Meddah7.327D. Meddah
N. Vidal-Cartoux6.940N. Vidal-Cartoux
N. Pays6.918N. Pays
M. Camara6.911M. Camara
N. Mukiele6.919N. Mukiele
I. Marie-Rose7.01I. Marie-Rose
B. Hamada6.97B. Hamada
L. Lacroix7.923L. Lacroix
Q. Bernard7.55Q. Bernard
M. Faty6.931M. Faty
J. MarieC6.914J. Marie
M. Barreto6.34M. Barreto
B. Ndezi6.718B. Ndezi
P. Bellon7.38P. Bellon
A. Ntamack6.929A. Ntamack
Y. Barka5.610Y. Barka

Montpellier Substitutes

50V. Dzodic
7Y. Issoufou64'for N. Mukiele6.5
90G. Ayem64'for N. El Hannach6.2
23D. Benlahlou
35M. Chambon
9L. Megnan-Pave85'for M. Camara6.2
32H. Abderrebi80'for D. Meddah6.3

Dijon Substitutes

20H. Vargas-Rios
93I. Bouleghcha
21S. Chouchane72'for B. Ndezi6.9
42Y. Aka73'for M. Barreto6.5
11J. Tavares82'for A. Ntamack7.2
6W. Diouf
17A. Lembezat66'for P. Bellon76'90'7.3
9T. Dong66'for Y. Barka6.5

Match Stats

MontpellierDijon
55%Ball Possession45%
4Corner Kicks0
3Yellow Cards3
22Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box4
12Shots Outside Box6
12Blocked Shots2
20Fouls18
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
434Total Passes359
344Passes Accurate266
79%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

MontpellierMontpellier
DijonDijon
1722Elo Rating 1629
1.92Attack 2.37
2.56Defense 1.02
83%Hit Rate 58%
13.2Shots per Game 14.5
5.3Shots on Target 4.5
4.8Corners per Game 4.4
2.3Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MontpellierMontpellier
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.4 in first half)
DijonDijon
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MontpellierMontpellier1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
DijonDijon0Wins · 0%
5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Ligue 107/02/2021
MontpellierDijon
42
Ligue 127/09/2020
DijonMontpellier
22

Recent Form

MontpellierMontpellier
6W2D2L
01/08/2026
MontpellierRodez
42
W
25/07/2026
Clermont FootMontpellier
01
W
22/07/2026
MontpellierCannes
34
L
17/07/2026
MontpellierLe Puy Foot
52
W
11/07/2026
MontpellierAubagne
32
W
09/05/2026
RED Star FC 93Montpellier
11
D
02/05/2026
MontpellierClermont Foot
12
L
24/04/2026
AmiensMontpellier
02
W
17/04/2026
MontpellierGrenoble
21
W
10/04/2026
AnnecyMontpellier
00
D
DijonDijon
7W2D1L
01/08/2026
NancyDijon
22
D
25/07/2026
SochauxDijon
03
W
22/07/2026
Bourg-en-bresse 01Dijon
12
W
18/07/2026
DijonProgres Niederkorn
41
W
15/07/2026
DijonUNFP
52
W
11/07/2026
Le Puy FootDijon
11
D
15/05/2026
DijonOrleans
32
W
09/05/2026
Le Puy FootDijon
12
W
30/04/2026
DijonChateauroux
12
L
24/04/2026
ValenciennesDijon
01
W

Referee Profile

Remi Landry132 matches

4.40Cards per match
4.19Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
29.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Remi Landry4.40
Other referees3.96

4.40 cards a match, 0.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.96).

Cards come from 118 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1181223:11+1225LWWWD
2MontpellierMontpellier1173116:6+1024WWWWD
3PAUPAU1162316:11+520WWWWW
4NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
5ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1151514:15-116LWLWL
8DijonDijon1143420:19+115WLLWW
9GuingampGuingamp1142516:15+114WWLLL
10MetzMetz1135317:17014LDWLD
11RodezRodez1141617:22-513WWLLL
12DunkerqueDunkerque1133514:17-312LDWLL
13SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
14BoulogneBoulogne111737:8-110LDWDL
15NantesNantes1123612:18-69DLLDW
16LavalLaval1123614:21-79WLDLD
17Clermont FootClermont Foot1108310:15-58DLDLD
18GrenobleGrenoble1122710:20-108LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1123:1125
2MontpellierMontpellier1116:624
3PAUPAU1116:1120
4NancyNancy1012:819
5ReimsReims1020:1218
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1114:1516
8DijonDijon1120:1915
9GuingampGuingamp1116:1514
10MetzMetz1117:1714
11RodezRodez1117:2213
12DunkerqueDunkerque1114:1712
13SochauxSochaux108:1211
14BoulogneBoulogne117:810
15NantesNantes1112:189
16LavalLaval1114:219
17Clermont FootClermont Foot1110:158
18GrenobleGrenoble1110:208
PromotionRelegation

About the Montpellier vs Dijon forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Montpellier and Dijon in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, Montpellier are 2nd and Dijon 8th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Montpellier 16-6, Dijon 20-19. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Montpellier and Dijon have met only 2 times recently, averaging 5.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.