Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot Prediction

Stade Geoffroy Guichard, Saint Etienne·Mickael Leleu, France 14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.43
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+11.3%
Saint Etienne Rest
6 days
Clermont Foot Rest
6 days

Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot: the result in context

Saint Etienne beat Clermont Foot 3-1 in the Ligue 2 on 14 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Saint Etienne had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Clermont Foot.

Saint Etienne have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Referee Mickael Leleu averages 3.45 cards a game, 0.53 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.47
X
26%4.33
2
9%6.38
Double Chance
1X
91%1.11
X2
35%2.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.78
No
54%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 0.81 = 2.35
Over 1.5
70%1.21
Over 2.5
47%1.67
Over 3.5
25%2.70
Under 1.5
30%4.20
Under 2.5
53%2.15
Under 3.5
75%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.1 = 9.8
Over 8.5
60%1.46
Over 9.5
51%1.80
Over 10.5
40%2.27
Under 8.5
40%2.49
Under 9.5
49%1.95
Under 10.5
60%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.7 = 3
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
19%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
81%-

Match Events

23'J. Ferreira INT. Svetlin out
41'I. CardonaAssist: T. Ballo
46'E. H. Kone INO. Diop out
49'J. BreumFoul
54'T. Ballo
59'T. Ballo INZ. Davitashvili out
64'A. Hunou INJ. Sambia out
64'M. Bouchenna INM. Douane out
68'I. M'BahiaFoul
71'J. BreumAssist: A. Csongvai
72'I. Cardona INJ. Duffus out
74'C. Okou INA. Saintorens out
74'I. M'Bahia INI. Coulibaly out
82'A. Boakye INA. Baallal out
83'M. Bernauer INN. Kasia out
83'V. Nsimba INC. Konate out
89'O. DiopAssist: J. Sambia

Lineups

Saint Etienne
4-2-3-1Coach: Ian Cathro
Clermont Foot
4-4-2Coach: David Guion
Avg rating7.06
Avg rating6.55
Gautier Larsonneur6.530G. Larsonneur
João Ferreira6.213J. Ferreira
Julien Le CardinalC7.026J. Le Cardinal
Sohaib Nair6.918S. Nair
Kevin Pedro6.923K. Pedro
Maxime Bernauer7.56M. Bernauer
Áron Csongvai8.014Á. Csongvai
Augustine Boakye6.520A. Boakye
Jakob Breum8.710J. Breum
Thierno Ballo7.28T. Ballo
Irvin Cardona8.77I. Cardona
Théo Guivarch6.730T. Guivarch
Ivan M'Bahia6.228I. M'Bahia
Yoann SalmierC6.321Y. Salmier
Ethan Kena Kabeya6.54E. Kena Kabeya
Vital Nsimba6.012V. Nsimba
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna6.319M. Bouchenna
Jean Grillot6.75J. Grillot
Abdellah Baallal6.72A. Baallal
El Hadj Koné7.06E. Hadj Koné
Adrien Hunou6.323A. Hunou
Christ Okou6.390C. Okou

Saint Etienne Substitutes

16Tamar Svetlin23'for J. Ferreira7.0
22Zuriko Davitashvili59'for T. Ballo6.5
17Joshua Duffus72'for I. Cardona6.5
1Mamour Ndiaye
37Nathan Kasia Nkondo83'for M. Bernauer6.3
2Strahinja Stojković
32Adam Baallal82'for A. Boakye6.5
9Lucas Stassin

Clermont Foot Substitutes

17Ousmane Diop46'for E. H. Kone89'7.9
11Maïdine Douane64'for M. Bouchenna6.5
10Junior Sambia64'for A. Hunou6.7
93Ibrahim Coulibaly74'for I. M'Bahia6.7
29Arthur Saintorens74'for C. Okou6.2
16Massamba N'Diaye
15Cheick Oumar Konaté83'for V. Nsimba6.3
13Julien Astic
44Allan Ackra

Match Stats

Saint EtienneClermont Foot
61%Ball Possession39%
7Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots5
5Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal2
16Shots Inside Box2
5Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots1
15Fouls15
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
519Total Passes340
480Passes Accurate289
92%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
Clermont FootClermont Foot
1711Elo Rating 1530
1.36Attack 1.33
2.39Defense 1.05
69%Hit Rate 0%
10.5Shots per Game 7.5
3.6Shots on Target 2.4
4.6Corners per Game 3.7
2.4Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+181 Elo
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Clermont FootClermont Foot
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne4Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Clermont FootClermont Foot0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Ligue 217/01/2026
Saint EtienneClermont Foot
10
Ligue 213/09/2025
Clermont FootSaint Etienne
12
Ligue 113/02/2022
Clermont FootSaint Etienne
12
Ligue 107/11/2021
Saint EtienneClermont Foot
32

Recent Form

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
5W2D3L
08/08/2026
SochauxSaint Etienne
03
W
01/08/2026
Saint EtienneVenezia
43
W
29/07/2026
Saint EtienneLausanne
40
W
22/07/2026
RangersSaint Etienne
21
L
18/07/2026
Servette FCSaint Etienne
10
L
11/07/2026
Saint EtienneBiel-Bienne
22
D
29/05/2026
NiceSaint Etienne
41
L
26/05/2026
Saint EtienneNice
00
D
15/05/2026
Saint EtienneRodez
7060
W
09/05/2026
Saint EtienneAmiens
50
W
Clermont FootClermont Foot
4W4D2L
08/08/2026
Clermont FootReims
00
D
01/08/2026
Clermont FootGrenoble
11
D
25/07/2026
Clermont FootMontpellier
01
L
18/07/2026
Clermont FootAndrézieux
41
W
15/07/2026
Clermont FootBourges Foot 18
00
D
11/07/2026
Clermont FootOrleans
10
W
09/05/2026
Clermont FootGuingamp
10
W
02/05/2026
MontpellierClermont Foot
12
W
24/04/2026
Clermont FootBastia
11
D
17/04/2026
Le MansClermont Foot
10
L

Referee Profile

Mickael Leleu123 matches

3.45Cards per match
3.30Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
28.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mickael Leleu3.45
Other referees3.98

3.45 cards a match, 0.53 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.98).

Cards come from 60 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2MontpellierMontpellier1063113:6+721WWWDW
3NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
4ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13BoulogneBoulogne101727:7010DWDLD
14RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2MontpellierMontpellier1013:621
3NancyNancy1012:819
4ReimsReims1020:1218
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13BoulogneBoulogne107:710
14RodezRodez1016:2210
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 2 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Saint Etienne and Clermont Foot in the Ligue 2 table

The table shows a wide gap: Saint Etienne are 1st in the Ligue 2, while Clermont Foot sit 17th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Saint Etienne 23-8, Clermont Foot 9-14. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Saint Etienne have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.