San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
San Lorenzo Rest
8 days
Deportivo Riestra Rest
5 days
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra: the result in context
San Lorenzo beat Deportivo Riestra 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.0 goals a game. Referee Bruno Amiconi averages 6.06 cards a game, 0.96 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.46
X32%2.77
228%3.30
Double Chance
1X72%1.30
X260%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes42%2.38
No58%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 0.89 = 2.22
Over 1.559%1.66
Over 2.533%3.10
Over 3.515%6.50
Under 1.541%2.21
Under 2.567%1.36
Under 3.585%1.10
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.3 = 9.3
Over 8.558%1.93
Over 9.548%2.53
Over 10.535%3.50
Under 8.542%1.80
Under 9.552%1.45
Under 10.565%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.567%1.26
Over 4.548%1.37
Under 3.533%3.60
Under 4.552%2.92
Match Events
20'Alexis·CuelloFoul
41'Alexander DíazFoul
42'Emiliano AmorFoul
45'Gonzalo Alassia INAgustín Ladstatter out
52'Braian SánchezFoul
54'Braian Sánchez INÁngel Almada out
58'Mariano BracamonteFoul
60'Alexis·Cuello INGustavo Del Prete out
67'Teo Rodríguez PaganoAssist: Rodrigo Auzmendi
70'Antony Alonso INGabriel Obredor out
70'Mariano Bracamonte INJonathan Goitia out
70'Alexander Díaz INTomás González out
78'Facundo Gulli INMartín Rio out
80'Nicolás Sansotre INNicolas Benegas out
88'Ángel AlmadaFoul
89'Rodrigo Auzmendi
90+1'Rodrigo Auzmendi INEzequiel Herrera out
Lineups
San LorenzoDeportivo Riestra
5-3-2Coach: G. DuróAvg ratingAvg rating
25J. Devecchi
35A. Cordoba
2D. Arboleda
19E. Amor
24N. Tripichio
62G. Alassia
10F. Gulli
3T. Rodríguez
38F. Farías
29R. Auzmendi
9A. Cuello
1I. Arce
36M. Bracamonte
5P. Ramírez
22C. Paz
19J. Randazzo
15N. Sansotre
8M. Céliz
14P. Monje
10B. Sánchez
11A. Díaz
7A. Daniel Alonso EspinozaSan Lorenzo Substitutes
42F. Lorenzón
14A. Ladstatter45'for Gonzalo Alassia
36Daniel Herrera
34Maximo Atrio
39Elián Uriel Ojeda
13Juan Rattalino
27M. Río78'for Facundo Gulli
44Enzo Alan Salas
6M. de Ritis
21G. del Prete60'for Alexis·Cuello
32E. Herrera90+1'for Rodrigo Auzmendi
20F. Altamirano
Deportivo Riestra Substitutes
17Á. Almada54'for Braian Sánchez88'
23M. Arzamendia
9N. Benegas80'for Nicolás Sansotre
13R. Gallo
6I. Gariglio
27J. Goitía70'for Mariano Bracamonte
21T. González70'for Alexander Díaz
29M. Graneros
20T. Lauro
40G. Obredor70'for Antony Alonso
2C. Quintana
16N. Watson
Match Stats
San LorenzoDeportivo Riestra 65%Ball Possession35%
3Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards4
13Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots4
11Fouls18
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
472Total Passes242
378Passes Accurate146
80%Pass Accuracy60%
Team Comparison
San LorenzoDeportivo Riestra1611Elo Rating 1541
0.91Attack 0.46
1.67Defense 1.88
50%Hit Rate 0%
12.0Shots per Game 12.1
4.1Shots on Target 3.5
4.6Corners per Game 2.5
2.7Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
San Lorenzo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Deportivo Riestra- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
San Lorenzo1Wins · 25%Draws250%
Deportivo Riestra1Wins · 25%
1Wins · 25%1.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
0%3+ goals0 of 4
Previous meetings
25/03/2026Deportivo RiestraSan Lorenzo11
31/10/2025San LorenzoDeportivo Riestra10
20/04/2025Deportivo RiestraSan Lorenzo00
12/05/2024Deportivo RiestraSan Lorenzo10
Recent Form
San Lorenzo3W2D5L
03/10/2026
Defensa Y JusticiaSan Lorenzo
IndependienteSan LorenzoSan Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
Instituto CordobaSan Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSan LorenzoSan Lorenzo
Union Santa FeSan Lorenzo
Huracan
Central Cordoba de SantiagoSan LorenzoSan Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y JusticiaSan Lorenzo30
L20/09/2026San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
14/09/2026San LorenzoBoca Juniors02
LIndependienteSan Lorenzo11
D06/09/2026San LorenzoTalleres Cordoba10
W01/09/2026Instituto CordobaSan Lorenzo10
L22/08/2026Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSan Lorenzo00
D15/08/2026San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe10
W09/08/2026San LorenzoHuracan02
L04/08/2026Central Cordoba de SantiagoSan Lorenzo10
L29/07/2026San LorenzoGimnasia M.10
WDeportivo Riestra2W5D3L
05/10/2026Deportivo RiestraCentral Cordoba de SantiagoGimnasia M.Deportivo Riestra
PlatenseDeportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
Velez SarsfieldHuracanDeportivo Riestra
Newells Old BoysDeportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo RiestraCentral Cordoba de Santiago11
D19/09/2026Gimnasia M.Deportivo Riestra00
D15/09/2026Deportivo Riestra
Lanus
Deportivo RiestraLanus03
L10/09/2026Deportivo Riestra
Banfield
05/09/2026Deportivo RiestraBanfield6171
LPlatenseDeportivo Riestra11
D29/08/2026Deportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield11
D23/08/2026HuracanDeportivo Riestra00
D18/08/2026Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia L.P.
16/08/2026Deportivo RiestraGimnasia L.P.4121
WNewells Old BoysDeportivo Riestra20
L08/08/2026Deportivo RiestraEstudiantes L.P.20
WReferee Profile
6.06Cards per match
5.82Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.06 cards a match, 0.96 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.10).
Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWLLW |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 32 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 27 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 23:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 13:22 | 9 |
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About the San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, San Lorenzo are 7th and Deportivo Riestra 15th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: San Lorenzo 14-14, Deportivo Riestra 5-12. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.